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Yeah, they're basically going full bore canonical Nina Pattern for Winter. If those SST'S in the GOA and along British Columbia I'd wager not a canonical Nina Pattern. Looks to me with that a general Trough axis average would be Rockies and Plains. Blocking would allow for a good setup for us with that alignment as it would support slider's and maybe some Miller A's if Jet dives deep enough as trugh would be shunted east under block.. Just some food for positive thoughts.

I am just hoping for no more 90 or above.

Fall like day here today. Low of 64, high of 75 but the steady NE winds and cloudy day made it feel cooler.

Yeah, it's a concern as I don't like late season near record heat. Doesn't bode well. Hopefully a Monkey Wrench gets thrown in and alters the projected Pattern. Unforeseen TC Activity could do it.

Down to 43.3 this AM....topped out at 70.7. Already back to 48.7

Great work Man !

This also what I am alluding to when I tell folks to not obsess over the absolute PDO value, as it's the trend that is more important.

This composite looks like a lot of my preliminary stuff. Extratropical Pacific, Polar and EMI composites.

It's also in a very low lying valley. Just perfect radiational cooling conditions there. https://www.njweather.org/station/79

Well, it is getting more difficult to get very cold winters in an absolute sense (against shifting climo is different)....that said, it's not as pronounced where you live as it is in the east coast.

totally bro rock on

I assume that was aimed towards me but I have no idea what that means. "your winters" ?? um ok my winters? I dont wish cast "Torch" tiger "

Maestro works PR for the Os and the Ravens...

Steep decline. Just like your winters

Still have 1 or 2 here. The males left the week before Labor day. I'm sure they'll be gone by next week.

so now mets in this sub post 300 hr surface anomaly maps to prove their points?

so out.

All you do is saw logs and copy bad tweets . Time to think about a change ?

Some of us enjoy both very much. Pigeon holing peeps is so out.

Walpack at 36 is wild to me. Im 50 miles East and woke up to a balmy 55. The woods are a cold, cold place.

summer is over. 70's and 80's deep into Septorcher is a real treat. Like how the cold fiends lust over teens and 20's in March/ April

76 today.

hoping it cools off Novie-December, early snows, then torch the winter

It's kind of amazing after the beat down they took in August and early September they're back for more. What's that saying? Gluttons for punishment?