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65 here today. Felt really nice to get a little yard work done.
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Here are the rules for NYC: https://www.nyc.gov/site/mayorspeu/resources/heat-season-resources.page#:~:text=Heat Season (October 1st - May 31st),least 62°F%2C regardless of the outdoor temperature.
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It actually peaks on the 22nd (after midnight) and it turns out that's on a new moon (yay) and it's also the peak of the Orionid meteor shower! There are three comets and two meteor showers this month!
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It will turn milder during the weekend. Partly to mostly sunny conditions should prevail. Temperatures will reach the lower and middle 60s tomorrow and then upper 60s to perhaps lower 70s on Sunday. A cold front will move across the region Sunday night. Low pressure will likely form along the front and move across the region. Periods of rain and perhaps some thunderstorms are likely into Monday. A general 0.25"-0.75" with locally higher amounts appears likely. In the 18 past years where Central Park saw at least two 80° or above highs and Newark saw at least two 84° or above highs during the first week of October, the temperature returned to 70° or above on at least one day during the second half of October in 17 (94.4%) of those cases. For all other cases, 84.1% saw at least one such high temperature during the second half of October. Therefore, the sharp cool spell very likely won't mean that New York City has seen its last 70° or above high temperature. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.3°C for the week centered around October 8. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.12°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.42°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue through mid-winter. The SOI was +1.09 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.328 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 62% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.6° (0.7° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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Thanks Don, it looks like JFK has their first 30s before NYC does by a few days. I don't know what the criteria is for landlords in the 5 boroughs to have to turn on their heating but when I lived in Brooklyn the heat had to be on by November 1st. After I moved to Long Island I remember seeing in the news that had changed to the first high temperature below 55 and the first low temperature below 40 on or after October 1. I wonder what the requirements are now?
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what about BWI lol
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I thought the climate was warming faster than it is, but apparently that's not the case. Our first high temperature in the 50s has barely budged Chris. No wonder most people don't think climate change is a serious issue-- that will only change when months like December 2015 become the norm, and not just for December either.
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Big heat wave starting December 24th until January 2nd. Set your watch to it.
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1977: Early snow in the Washington Baltimore, MD area and 18 inches in PA. (Ref. Oct. Snowfall History by Herb Close) weird how come no record of snow in our area from this storm? EWR: 90 (1938) NYC: 90 (1938) our latest 90 on record, Tony?
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the wind made it feel cold all morning and really did a number on my allergies they only went away when the wind died down and it got warmer after 1 pm
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62.6 in Syosset & 62.3 in Muttontown for the high.
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it was windy here until 1 in the afternoon
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That was too cold, the weather only got tolerable after about 1 pm when the winds calmed down and the temperatures rose above 60.
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I see the midwest is very warm, what's keeping us from getting into that warmer air for the same length of time they have it in the midwest?
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Is this thread not for climate change on a world wide, United States, State Level or County basis? I do present climate change thoughts on a county basis. For example I posted real climate stats showing climate change across Chester County regarding the number of 90+ days. That is a climate post correct?
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Voyager replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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Again- Please take the Chester County, PA. back and forth to the thread created for the Chester County PA. back and fort. Please.
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Now that we are done with any 90+ degree days. Below is the by-decade trend of the average number of 90+ days across Chester County PA from the 1890's through the 2020's. There is a clear decline at all elevations in the number of such hot days. In fact, the 2020's are trending to be the 2nd lowest number of average 90-degree days behind only the 1970's.
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
ChescoWx replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Now that we are done with any 90+ degree days. Below is the by-decade trend of the average number of 90+ days across Chester County PA from the 1890's through the 2020's. There is a clear decline at all elevations in the number of such hot days. In fact, the 2020's are trending to be the 2nd lowest number of average 90-degree days behind only the 1970's. -
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Up to a pleasant 67 today.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Now that we are done with any 90+ degree days. Below is the by-decade trend of the average number of 90+ days across Chester County PA from the 1890's through the 2020's. There is a clear decline at all elevations in the number of such hot days. In fact, the 2020's are trending to be the 2nd lowest number of average 90-degree days behind only the 1970's. -
2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
My afternoon point and click forecast is showing 34 for the low Monday morning and again on Tuesday morning. Wednesday morning is showing 32. Next week is looking chilly. -
Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
ineedsnow replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
It's perfect today the snow will come soon enough -
Monday, October 20, 2025 Squall Line Potential
Damage In Tolland replied to weatherwiz's topic in New England
Reminds me of the Oct 3, 1979 Windsor Locks setup