All Activity

Would agree that 2026-27 looks promising. To maximize our chances we would need to achieve a mod-strong Modoki Nino or a weak-mod east based Nino (i don’t think we’ll get a west based Nino). Would say that if either of these outcomes occur the PDO should be at least neutral, further improving our chances. However, that is a season that needs to be a blockbuster. If we don’t achieve 25-40”+ then I’m not sure how the Mid-Atlantic scores.

Really wish they would stop running the operational models past 120 to be honest.

18th goes poof on the gfs

Seems like the west coast is experiencing that Pineapple Express you spoke on earlier. Id assume that’s causing some errors with each model. .

The more amplified storm here, completes negates anything two days later. Seems like, as usual, it’s one or the other, or nothing. Not both

I take 18z ai gfs for $2,000 Carver. It would be nice

I am mad at the models! The amount of digital snow they show for mid Atlantic that bust… something needs to be tweaked. .

This hobby can be truly tiresome. Our rei sucks.

Exactly. Last year there was multiple times they were lit up and it meant nothing

There were some runs that had a decent signal. But not really consistent.

Texans are gonna smoke the Steelers.

25th of January—2027.

Been sippin bourbon for hours. Replied to the wrong post lol. But yeah, still time for changes with my storm(lol) On to the 25th!

We snow . That’s a lock

Doesn’t even snow here when they do show something. lol

Oh I can’t wait to see the Euro! The same model that was playing catch up to the GooFus?? If that’s truly the case, we likely are watching cold dry wispy cirrus clouds floating by at this rate.

The irony is the 18z GFS, now that it has sobered up a bit, is still producing some decent clown maps. It could have a little bit of DGEX in it, and probably does. However, I do wonder if it is handling the qpf a bit better? Still has 6-10" over TRI w/ both systems, and the GEFS has been pretty steadfast in that. It still would be a coup, but at least now it would be a realistic coup. The 1,000mi Pacific fetch is not present on this run. The 17th vort looks pretty vigorous. I suspect your original thoughts may end up being correct. The NBM is pretty aggressive for a model which most of the time is not.

People can keep their heads in the sand but the GEFS and EPS ensembles were never showing much for late week. Ignore them at your own risk. I learned this the hard way too....

I’d rather it be over and get moving towards next winter when we may have a actual chance.

this is becoming a "hope we get one storm" winter. Hopefully its a good one

Way off the coast. NE gets screwed too.

My focus has been on the ULL and energy south of that that curls up into it.

Yeah but if this is yet another messy interaction thing then that doesn't seem to be a battle we wanna fight again...

That said. It’s not the final chapter. We can do this.

Bills over the Rams were my preseason pick... Barely had both teams squeek out 1st round wins... Jags changed the game and lost momentum with another bypassed 1st quarter 3 points by going on 4th down and failing ... And in the end they lost by 3... Alot of coaches seem to have the Dan Campbell fever lately, makes for good entertainment but it ain't always the best choice especially early in a game....