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  2. The bolded is a huge exaggeration, lol. But Texas summers are like Michigan winters in that a lot of people are staying under the A/C or heat as much as they can.
  3. Eastern portions of Montgomery County benefitted from some outflow boundaries today. Was in Layhill pouring concrete with @wxmeddler and we got a nice one pass through around 2 pm.
  4. Today
  5. A gust front (outflow boundary) moved SW into this area at midnight. Then at ~12:45AM, a small area of thunderstorms well to the E of the main area moved SW into this area producing only a few rumbles of thunder and light rain, which continues. Oddly enough, after blinking off and on ~20 times, my power finally went out ~1AM despite my not noticing a big gust of wind or any nearby CTG lightning. Edit: Power came back on just before 1:55AM.
  6. It was Solar/NAO. What I found is that the only 6 sub -0.25 DJF NAOs since 1979-80 were all within ~two years of a cycle minimum and that every cycle minimum since the mid 1980s has had either 1 or 2 -NAO winters. 1984-5, 1986-7, 1995-6, 2009-10, 2010-1, 2020-1 Will we get two -NAO winters within the very late 2020s to early 2030s?
  7. Try MPV. I’m at 1250’ and recorded about 110” but could never really sustain a seven snow pack.
  8. Wish it south please and thank you.
  9. I think that really is, only about a one out of three summers phenomena, in SNE. Or maybe any season in SNE
  10. Lightning bugs / fireflies are also out in force tonight !!
  11. The bugs are out tonight Don =\ The rain and these warm minimums must have a lot to do with it. Are the temperatures going to stay above 80 most of the night? With a cold front coming through and rain falling you'd think they'd fall faster.
  12. 76/68. still pretty thick out there at midnight.
  13. No worries here is the other site I used for the in comparison years. https://solen.info/solar/index.html Im sure I have more elsewhere in my bookmarks but there are a lot of saved bookmarks to go through lol
  14. I think Gawx has done research correlating the Solar cycle with ENSO states. I think he found out that there might be a few year lag for highest correlation.. he posted it in ENSO threads in previous years (or maybe I am thinking of the NAO). Thanks for the solar data by the way, that is actually really hard to find!
  15. I wonder though if we put this with data about hurricanes either globally or solely the Atlantic if we can see some interesting trends come about.
  16. Maybe for the bolded but we also just saw an extended La Nina like pattern emerge at the start of this cycle. Numbers and intensity though are two different things. We had some rather intense flares occur over the last year but numbers overall seemed to be about on par with what is near the 'average' amount based on the number of cycles we have seen. Cycle 24 started off as an El Nino and in fact had a strong Nino at that followed by another significant one just after peak. Cycle 23 also started off in an El Nino quickly to La Nina and then a moderate Nino just after peak (2002-03) so im not sure there is too much correlation going on there. Cycle 23 was double that of 24. https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression I mean if we extended this all the way to 1750 we would actually be seeing while this year was active the overall numbers are still in a decline mode over the 50+ years. Wonder if start to see it trend up in the upcoming cycles?
  17. Mon, Tue, Wed record highs and Wed highs compared to old records for all 10 climo sites in BOX/OKX. I doubled checked everything this time so hopefully no errors
  18. Will be an interesting roller coaster if this forecast comes true:
  19. Couldn’t recall if that stat was just a single station or the whole state. I thought whole state, but the anomaly would be crazy high for such a large area. I’m assuming this is BTV or Morristown now that I’m thinking of it. Insane statistic regardless, and pretty surprising that snowfall numbers were still pretty good up high. Lots of elevation dependent events that year
  20. Anything is possible for forecasters with higher values than this heat wave produced, it's probably 50-50 whether a warmer spell comes along or not ... 1952 had similar heat and repeated it in mid-July. Some other years never got back to the June peaks they saw (1943 for one example, I think). The 1952 repeat was something like July 14-17.
  21. Lots of thunder in my area but we completely missed out on the rain but the outflow cooled us down nicely to the low 80's from the upper 90's.
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