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Probably time for a February thread. The Euro is already trying to shaft us with a system next week that looks about like this one. Weak sauce here and it buries NE Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina. Meanwhile, the GFS gives us rain and smokes southern Kentucky with 6 inches. So we are right in the middle of the two, but we know it'll either fade far south or go north.

Why does the Euro hate Greenville? Did they make God angry?

Don’t love the dry slot between Raleigh and Highway 17 .

The butthurt DC area folks are a bit annoying, so Im popping my RVA area ass over here to see what's up. Hell, I'm interested even if Richmond only gets a few inches

You could have the issues Carvers mentions, but across all modeling you're looking at 4-10+ inches at this point.

Awesome, it seems too me that you think they will win it all this year. Go O's!!!! Hopefully things will change today with these models to at least give the eastern shore some love today. Let's go fern!!!

Only model with a hit is the 0z navgem so far. This model did pretty damn well in the last storm we had.

John, how is your gut feeling about Greeneville/Greene Co? Is this finally looking like the storm to give us a solid snowfall? At least 3-4”

I think its amazing how some posters here are just "throwing in the towel" on this storm like there is no chance of any snow when parts of the region could still receive anywhere from 2 - 8 inches AS OF NOW or more if there is a slight northwest jog of less than 100 miles. if you receive 4 -8 inches it will seem like a bigger deal because of all the snow already on the ground and frozen solid piles and VERY cold temps. The only good thing is it would be overnight Saturday once again very little traffic and Sunday a majority of people don't have to go to work or school. I also think the title of this thread is misleading - FYI it could be coming but only a smaller event than previously expected.

3-6" Kuchera -it's fine-wind gusts approaching 40 much of the time also

And by stepped back, I mean for those of us in the screw zone/western edge. It still pounds the far eastern areas with 6-10 inches.

Well, this may be nothing, but the Euro actually looks decent. But that it is pretty much the only model holding serve right now.

Rutschman is remaining a pumpkin Westburg is overrated Beavers and holliday have no tools Alonso regression + horribly aging + no fielding Cowser is playing in japan next year Basallo Ks too much Ward can pop a HR once and a while but thats it Trevor Rogers due for BABIP regression Kyle Bradish has had one (1) healthy season Baz and Eflin are Rays name brand merchants Dean Kremer is Israel's greatest soldier Bullpen is Ryan Helsley and a bunch of slapdicks

Euro Ai QPF

so no chances at all this moves enough north west or the precip shield goes back enough to get any snow in central PA?

Well I will gladly take none just so your ass gets none

Not surprisingly at this point, the Euro stepped back from it's 18z run. It's so odd that it's changing the same way every other run.

Beautiful.

Wow, some of the DC crew are really butthurt. Must hate those gov jobs. 0z Euro not so good

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Interesting to see Lee Goldberg's first "guess" (he said it was a model run he agreed with, but his first forecast will be out tomorrow), which I think is reasonable and WxRisk's first guess which seems very aggressive and based heavily on the 18Z Euro. I'm also still stunned by the NBM being so high - and it has been cut down significantly since 18Z (maybe from the ensembles being still snowier than their Ops). With the 0Z Op models all showing very little snow in our region, except for far E LI (and except for the stubborn Euro still showing an inch for the NJ coast and a few inches for E LI), I wonder if we'll finally see the NBM really come down and DT cut back on his totals (and maybe even Lee). Sucks to see so much potential likely being unrealized, but I did just get 19" worth of "snow" (as frozen snow/sleet mass), so it's hard to complain too much. On the other hand, we're still 3.5 days out, and it wouldn't take a monumental shift to at least bring a few inches to 95, so you never know.

I wonder why there is such less moisture closer to the slp

Do you by chance have this that shows more of Georgia? Thank you

We’re cooked chat.