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Yep. Now the eps is also south. Looks like the models latched on to the blocking tonight.

agreed and its only 5 days away....

Its further south like the other models. Good trends tonight.

The problem with the Euro is that HP in Canada is not holding in place compared to the GFS - the LP is allowed to move further north

0Z GFS is wanting to utterly nuke Grand Rapids to Detroit with an ice storm the day after Christmas

Several inches This is getting interesting

have a snow map?

That’s not just a cold shot though. That’s a 500mb map with a clear trend toward a stronger, more west based ridge (+PNA) and a trough forming in the east. Block is establishing etc. That being said… still very far out so it’ll change 50x. Grain of salt yada yada

Euro !

Euro south

AI euro is south for next week

00z ecmwf ai is also south snow to rain.

IF's And's or But's -all involving where that HP is in southeast Canada and the strength of it throughout the event- pattern is changing back into a colder one along with more blocking developing

Those totals will shift around a bunch this week but good to see something on most models.

I think it's fair to say that in the last 24 hours this potential storm has become more interesting and that if trends continued it could open up the possibility of a mostly frozen or even a mostly snow event Friday. But there's a lot of *ifs* there. WX/PT

May be the beginning of models moving toward analogs

Gefs also shifted well south of 18z. Ukie also shifted south. Nothing like the gfs as of right now.

Operational GFS is mostly snow for that event and a good amount of it. It shows a more suppressed storm track primary low dies over the Appalachians and re-develops well offshore east of Delmarva Peninsula. We'll see this change more than a few times over the next 3 days. I think it's worth watching. 18Z Euro AI had storm track right over us with nothing but rain. WX/PT

Holy fuck I want Greg Roman back

We are just a few miles from big increases in snow totals. However, the lack of housing inventory and liking where we currently live, make it hard to think about moving just for snow. Sometimes, it is a little maddening to know, that it is probably a 60 minute hike, to better snow totals in winter and cooler temps in summer.

The Canadian is into the vodka for cold to close the month. Dry as a bone unfortunately.

And bad coaching fucked that up. Yet Harbaugh and Monken are still employed..

Great video by BAM....only point I am at odds with him is the PNA for January, but that is probably a bigger deal for the mid Atlantic than my area.

I don't need to jack, just cover the ground back up and get ponds and lakes re-solidified. Drilling through 5" of ice to fish last weekend, at least down this way, and wouldn't dare set foot on it today.