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12Z UK: still has a TS but delayed vs 0Z and not as far N moving WNW at 168: NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 20.5N 51.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 14.08.2025 120 21.1N 53.2W 1011 29 0000UTC 15.08.2025 132 22.3N 56.9W 1011 27 1200UTC 15.08.2025 144 23.4N 59.6W 1009 30 0000UTC 16.08.2025 156 24.7N 62.1W 1008 34 1200UTC 16.08.2025 168 26.0N 64.3W 1006 42

Was 56.5 here, sadly a good bit of haze/smoke in the sky today after the fog burned off.

I clicked his profile...and he even lives in and is from NE PA...that makes this even more ridiculous. He must be a Flyers fan

It's like saying 90F because Tolland only got to 88. I hope that is not a serious post by him and if so, I hope someone is biting back in the comments, I mean that is just ridiculous. But given those forecast temps at AVP...yup there will be lots of 90's around.

Yeah it's up at 1,000ft... it's exactly like using ORH to show regional temperatures. Same game is played in southern New England lol. Here's the ORH temp, only hit 89F, not that hot out.

Where is he “forecasting” for?

All FL needs is another Andrew but 10-20 mi further north and it’s lights out for their insurance and real estate market.

I love how he uses AVP to make that point. AVP is not a spot that hits 90 particularly often (I don't believe). If AVP is into the lower 90's then the hottest locations within the region are into the mid to upper 90's and EWR is probably 100. AVP is our ORH.

Finally something worthwhile to track

I dunno, these setups don't scream good radiational cooling. But I guess if touching like 67-70F at night makes the cut, then yeah, could be worse. Dews could be in the 70s, true. Instead of 65-70F.

Not much humidity , good radiational cooling with temperatures in the '60s at night. Could be worse...

LORENZO INNIT I’m thinking she might turn into the Carolinas last minute but idk lad

I'm watching that 60W/20N spot. Storms that pass north of it stay out to sea almost all the time, barring some major H5 +anomaly over the top.

97LLLLLL BAM BAM BAM SCORE SOME FAKKIN GOALS LASS Invest 97LAs of 12:00 UTC Aug 09, 2025: Location: 10.1°N 17.0°WMaximum Winds: 25 kt Gusts: N/AMinimum Central Pressure: 1006 mbEnvironmental Pressure: N/ARadius of Circulation: N/ARadius of Maximum wind: 90 nm

Real nice Tpalm5. I’ll be bookmarking this station also!

Glad to be escaping the heat tomorrow to head to Texas. Looking forward to the recurving whiff to kick up some surf. GTG at Weekapaug?

The heat is back back again The heat is back tell that ACATT the heat is back, the heat is back, the heat is back

56.3 here last night.

Well we shall see if the prophet is right. Now designated as Invest 97L.

That's a solid heater right there on the GFS... Monday through Thursday 18z temps.

that "climo" of 76/52... and it's rattling off 86F, 90F, 93F, 94F, 88F, 83F, 85F, 81F. Climo drops 2F in highs over the next week... from 78F to 76F. Good grief those departures are going to sky rocket in flight.

Yea weenie land. Whats the lotto tickets ?

AFRICAAAAA BAM BAM BAM SCORE SAM FAKKIN GOALS

OI LADS LEZAK HAS SPOKEN GTFIH BAM BAM BAM LADS