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Insane Clown Map Posse Wooo wooo! We are Mapaloos

alberta vort phases on the NAM, looks very 18z esque so far

Lol..if you know, you know.

Does anyone have the latest NBM?

True. But we might be in the mid 30s which is different.

very high chance some of us will loser power

That was a awesome day going to SWAD with my daughter today.Shes all into to severe now.Shes doing her major in computer science at Lipscomb right now but wants to in the Met field now.

I just checked the temp out at DCL and it's also 37F out there, same as eastern Calvert. Not sure what to make of that but I'll take it for Calvert's snowfall potential's sake. UHI in DC though boooo.

8" - 12" for me

if you want to avoid the crowds sure, but it should be ok to drive until the afternoon, it starts early but it cranks up in the afternoon/evening

@MillvilleWx Could you please post that “Model ratio” 0z HRRR map for the CTP regional view. I’m curious to see the difference vs. Kuchera.

Prior runs had it east of OBX, didn't it?

I feel like some of those models are specifically geared towards ensemble forecasts. You never hear about the NMM or ARW being used on their own as operational runs in forecast discussion.

MU just released a full discussion. He admits he is low balling most other forecasts but defends his reasoning in a fair way I believe. He also said this is the most difficult forecast in his career and his bust potential is high but he's riding on what he feels will happen. Used several analogs and pattern recognition to make his forecast.

Insane Clown Whore Posse?

It also not March or April. Moderate rates near 32 will get the job done except in urban heat islands.

Yeah. That was insane. Surprisingly, these runs haven’t been on an island. Storm is so massive, so perhaps a nice little surprise? I’d take 70% of what that was and be happy

Will be heading to stores earlier then I wanted.

My wife has (had) extended family in Mclean. When we first built our house in Calvert 20yrs ago they came down to check it out and we were talking about decorating. He said, and I quote "you don't have to do anything too fancy, it's not like you're in Mclean or anything". Must be the elevation, they're good at looking down on the rest of us lol. Jokes on him now...but that's OT.

Clown Map Whores would be a good metal band name

Bullseye right over me. Big day tomorrow.

NAM has Low over outer banks at 12

Yes. The latest was the Blizzard of 1983 (2/11-12/1983).

Might be a steep gradient through this area. You are in the best spot in the county for heavy snow - the far eastern part!

Actually a met on twitter is also echoing that the HRRR came in less amped lol. Looks damn fine to me