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You’re certainly not wrong. Love how the vacation guy weenies you for saying exactly what has happened every single time this autumn, and now early winter season.

That ain’t even a torch for New England…all the best with that Ken.

It’s starting to look like a +TNH develops maybe just after we pass mid-January into late January. The caveat with +TNH patterns is that they are also correlated with +AO (+NAM), +NAO and a healthy SE ridge. So, while certainly arctic cold, it’s not going to be a “KU” pattern with ‘big dog’ snowstorms up the I-95 corridor, DC-BOS as some folks on twitter are saying….

Forecasts seems to have bumped up to 4”+ around this way. With the 1.5” we have on the ground already, this will provide a nice blanket for the week with the weather. Nice to have snow on the ground again and be getting chances over 1” rather than what it’s felt like the last few years of chasing anything.

Nice! Appears to have been virga here

Every time they’ve tried to warm up they reverse back to cold since the fall. Same thing will happen again

In all honesty, it feels like we have had back to back wins here. The 8ish inch storm (2nd biggest in 4 years). Then despite the cutter/rain, still ended up with full snow coverage afterwards. Prior years, that would have been wiped out with only a brown glacier left behind...it actually looks and feels like winter, during winter, at least around here. The kids actually got to sled, when we got back yeaterday, I definitely did not think that was going to be possible after all the rain....now lets get some more next month

Although I will say there’s an overrunning risk so maybe we are on the right side.

Why? .

Appreciate it.

This time it’s more of a SE ridge vs the weird conus ridge dome.

A few favorite memories of this storm: • Being at my childhood best friend’s parents’ home during college Christmas break the night before watching Paul Kocin (my buddy has since become a meteorologist!) break down a development • Waking up around 6 the next morning hearing my dad say if it was 50 miles further east it would have missed us • Essentially seeing a foot and a half of snow drop in under eight hours at our house Pre-smart phone weather is something we will never got back. There was some mystery there. [emoji1410] .

I’m bringing the torch back.

You’ve become quite the X weather geek lately…

My guess is when it’s all told it was one of the more wintery Decembers in awhile. And unfortunately winters can be days on end of 33 and clouds. Rarely wall to wall snow and cold. Throw in a tornado warning for some as good measure.

The west coast rough ruins everything. Pumps heights in the eastern US.

Short lived.

Headed to Berkley Springs, WV from Friday to Sunday. Hoping to see some snow on the ground.

Just going by the trend so far this season Ken…c’mon, get with the program.

I thought nobody knew? You seem definitive

congratulations~!

That’ll mute and be short lived like all the other warm ups have this year. Now, Go on vacation.