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it's very similar to the late 80s we even had big southern snowstorms in 1988-89 and 1989-90 just like we did last winter
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2400 MLCAPE and 3000 SBCAPE here in central CT. Let’s try to get at least one chaseable nuke to detonate down here.
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All chickens fully erect
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It goes both ways...there are plenty of deniers, too....so I get why some feel the need to overcompensate on the other end of the spectrum, but we need to all make a concerted effort to be a bit more moderate or else objectivity becomes compromised. -
Hoping for some good ones here.. I'll gladly take your storm
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84 degrees (one reading says 86, I can believe it) and nasty outside. Can confirm, I just walked in it. Hopefully the storms don't fire up too strong.
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Mid to long range discussion- 2025
UnionCountyNCWX replied to wncsnow's topic in Southeastern States
Yea i think theres "somewhat" of a debate as to whether it's gonna be just strong pop up storms or if it's gonna end up being an entire line coming through, just based on reading different FB posts. Regardless, im sure storms will hit uptown charlotte right at 7pm Saturday as I'll be at the bananas game lol. -
Hundreds of chickens downed . Not a COC K left upright
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2025-2026 ENSO
brooklynwx99 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
there was a span of time where pretty much every KU pattern hit from like 2016 through 2021, and people got spoiled and thought that would continue... I am one of those people and have tried to remove that bias. it just happened so often that it was easy to assume that kind of loaded WB -NAO pattern would give a 75-90% hit rate - in reality it's much lower -
Hopefully battered by 3" stones.
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Lol I can’t upload the photo that I have because apparently iPhone 16 is rendering in too much HD I had an antiquated iPhone 7 up until recently… Never had a problem with pasting in photos. But I can’t with this iPhone 16.Keep getting a space exceeds notification instead.
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87 here as of 1:30, fwiw the NWS has placed this area in a marginal risk of severe wx later today.
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Yup He’ll lose 3/4 of his chickens from lightning strikes later on and complain
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Lot of models target dendrite. They get severe when it’s 50/49.
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87/71 here in Holyoke. Juicy enough for some action, but we'll see..
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81/73 .... after a severe storm ? what is this, Texas
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Flood watch up for the LSV - and numerous flash flood warnings out now.
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Union north . Your favorite
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
CC probably did play a role in that, too....I am in agreement with the idea that it fosters greaters variability with the overall trend line pointed downward, but that doesn't mean that you have to go robocop on people to tie it to every missed opportunity for a snowstorm. There have always been misses and rough stretches during which the misses far outnumbered the hits. -
I hope Tip is okay!
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I could see something popping near you
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We went through a great stretch that most living in our area never experienced and might never again. Some said that was the new norm too.
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What a time to be alive! Just wish the storm threat wasn’t north of us. CT is done
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Bruins losses, Sox home again for off-season etc