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  2. Euro better into like region with 1-3 or so. Going to be a strong CF close to BOS. May enhance the snow too.
  3. 18z Euro trended much worse with more ZR less snow and less IP....this would be a not great solution!
  4. What a farce this ended up being. Moving forward I’m going to take modeled QPF and divide by 10. I think about .01” has fallen here vs the .10+ that was modeled up till last night.
  5. Euro was weak… no sleet really and a few tenths of zr for the favored areas. Besides what the gfs is showing - this one might be cooked.
  6. I kind of see it that way 3" to 5" of snow/sleet and then freezing rain....not a big fan of ZR!
  7. It was raining with a few mangled flakes. Now seems to be changing over to snow. I just want 1”
  8. We all want the ICON to be right about Friday/Saturday but it must be a worse model than I thought if even that isn’t bringing any hopium.
  9. Because you have a wife and hes not on the receiving end
  10. Man RRFS is the perfect replacement for the NAM, it jumps around just as much as it's drunk brother run to run .. Some of the radar hallucinations will be epic on Friday night .. FGEN bands crushing Syracuse headed right for SNE but wake up Saturday morning just to see it's still brown out ..
  11. It has that feel out of the gate when the street lights are like a curtain
  12. I suspect there will be a convergence zone near the 28F isotherm in n/c NJ with enhanced totals similar to that event last winter (?) (or was it two winters back now?) ... 3 to 6 inches might be a good general forecast with this narrow band of 8 to 12 inches possibly somewhere like Long Branch - Sayreville-NB-Somerville NJ. That convergence zone would represent the southern boundary of unmodified arctic air, a second boundary further south would limit the mixed precip zone across parts of central NJ and e PA. That one would likely run through n DE and ne MD into the PA/MD border region. These two frontal zones would both likely stall for several hours then drift south near end of event, so mixing north of the strong convergence zone might be negligible.
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