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  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    You are really latching onto the far east part of this 2nd Kelvin wave. When the next one moves across, warm subsurface anomalies will recenter - overall they are further west in the mean than 1997.
  3. The Iceman
    Styers Orchard up near me in Bucks County announced the same thing, lost pretty much their entire apple crop this year and are going to have to import them to sell. Very sad, I enjoy fresh apples in this area over the summer. The last freeze killed my one blueberry bush but the other is looking like its about to fruit and do OK. My rasberries and strawberries are doing better than ever though.
  4. snowman19
    Maybe, maybe not. We aren’t going to have a good idea where the forcing will actually set up during the winter for several more months. For now, so far, this event looks a lot more like 1997 than it does 2015
  5. vortex95
    Or 6/1/2011. Even when a spinner occur in Weymouth a few years ago, Scott was unimpressed! "If I do not SEE it, doesn't COUNT!" LOL.
  6. vortex95
    Use 2m temps w/ caution, esp. in the longer ranges. They do not have MOS incorporated, so often run much too warm. I recall the GFS at times when a heat wave is fcst, showing BOS max of 110 on days 8-10. And look at the GFSX MOS for BOS, 70-75 Sun-Mon.
  7. bluewave
    Other stations have done it further back in time with Caldwell being the most recent in 2021. Monthly Highest Max Temperature for CALDWELL ESSEX COUNTY AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2021 84 90 91 91
  8. Herb@MAWS
    0.11” Sunday afternoon 0.04” Monday morning 0.43” so far in May
  9. HIPPYVALLEY
    Nobody in SNE is hitting 90 next week.
  10. CoastalWx
    5/21/96 or bust.
  11. metagraphica
    lol...never offended by anything I read online, but you do certainly make me laugh at your pretentiousness.
  12. vortex95
    In this case, Templeton got the best storm of the day, and its intensity max right over the area, and then weakened. When you are not expecting it, and the isolated happens to be in your backyard, of course you are going to be elated! Also, early season convection after a long winter always gets more notice.
  13. Stormchaserchuck1
    I don't think this one is going to be as east as 1997. That one hugged South America The forcing with this one may actually be quite a bit more west Nino 4 is much different now than in 1997
  14. snowman19
    Out of the last 4 “recent” super El Niño events (1972, 1982, 1997, 2015), this one matches 1997 the closest, by far. Although this one is warmer in the subsurface than 1997 was. It looks nothing at all like 2015 at this time in either the subsurface or the surface. The DWKWs have just begun to surface at the coast of South America over the last couple of days. This one is certainly following a classic east-based/EP progression…..
  15. MN Transplant
    The radar QPE algorithm is having a terrible time with this event. I’m sitting at 0.23” and DCA is 0.21” and the radar estimate is ~0.7”.
  16. BlizzardNole
    @CAPE you got some yellows and orange on radar heading in?
  17. mreaves
    She only looks petrified, she's actually frozen stiff.
  18. AnEndlessMaze
    I haven’t moved the rain magnet from my old house yet, so congrats SOMD
  19. SACRUS
    in NYC? Its happened in EWR - NJ. Ill have to check
  20. North Balti Zen
    That’s a pretty classic last four or more winter events kinda precip shield for our area - just hilarious watching the moisture hit a wall around Baltimore City and not advance north at all
  21. PhiEaglesfan712
    If we get a 90-degree day in May, this spring would be the first ever to get an 80 in March, and a 90 in both April and May, correct?
  22. BlizzardNole
    0.16 so far which is the most I've had for weeks. Hoping for more from that batch in central VA. You're right about it looking heavier on radar that is actually is. Yellows on radar just produce light rain. But I'll take it! Glad it held off for Mothers' Day
  23. SACRUS
    Ridging building in 5.17 - beyond next shot at 90s 5/17 - 5/24 - beyond
  24. SACRUS
    SST Anomaly
  25. dailylurker
    It's been a steady moderate rain here all morning. It looks heavier on radar than it actually is. There's probably some big wet snowflakes aloft.
  26. Today
  27. Typhoon Tip
    Hm Not sure that you do ( bold ^), because your ensemble of reply is overbearing, out of line, and looks petty - seriously ...why in the fuck are you bolding text that was completely in jest. He knows that.... chill out and go away Besides ... those are outliers. They don't represent the intent and spin of his typical attempt at overselling - so ...I'm just bustin his balls Hopefully, you are sufficiently offended now.
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