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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
vortex95 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Synoptically there is light NW flow at 925 mb over FL still tdy, so that makes such events more likely, but as we saw ydy, the mesoscale details were everything. It all lined up perfectly for 2-3 hr. Law of averages and large numbers say this will happen at times! And this time, it just happened to be at a long-term climate site. Also, when one extreme occurs, another one like it in the short-term is often much more likely. Similar patterns breed similar sensible wx. How about that period Jan-Feb 2015? Probably one of the most spectacular examples for New England, and it was so localized, confined to ern MA/RI and Downeast ME, but it was @CoastalWx "VIOLENTLY RELENTLESS! " It used to be thought heat bursts were rare, but once the NWS and FAA installed ASOS/AWOS in the 90s w/ so many more locations and 1-min obs 24/7, we found they are a lot more common than we thought. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Ginx snewx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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NAM and Canadian mesos are bullish. Hrrr has a few storms. FV3 says maybe some breeze and clouds?
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
No Coc anywhere, but cocked -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Cyclone-68 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
And we never had another hurricane ever again. The end -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Ginx snewx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Sun baked -
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Ginx snewx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Some know what the next hour would be. Very very typical down here in the morning until the marine layer retreat. I can see for miles and miles...Men in suits taking Chamber photos for next years calendar. Watching my pool temp drop every day now. The beginning of the end of a fantastic summer. Only 8 90 degree days and a ton of COC days. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
vortex95 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Thanks. As w/ so much, there is usually more to the story, or details to add that change what one (or the MSM) may think immediately. You can't just gloss over every event. Not all record high temps, for instance, are due to a large-scale pattern that promote high heat or anomalies. An example would be a heat burst, which are mesoscale phenomena, and I think all-time records at some locations across the globe are due to this phenomena. Another example, and in colder climates this is often the reason for record temps, are local, strong downslope winds (chinook, foehn, sirocco, etc, -- there are many names across the globe for this!). Here's another recent case for hot temps. Hong Kong recently recorded its all-time record high temp (98) on Aug 9. Why?, b/c downslope offshore winds from Typhoon Dolphin that made landfall well to the N. So given the strong tropical sun and lower dew points, why wouldn't this happen? But it does not mean there was a big heat wave in progress across southern China or "heat dome" present! Dolphin was a very large typhoon at landfall, so the atypical part here was that many typhoons make landfall in ern China, and the vast majority of the time, you don't get record hot temps to the S. In this case, you had very long parcel trajectories originating deep within the Asian continent, so there you go. Daily or monthly record high temps have occurred in the CONUS b/c of this. Corpus Christi has had this happen a few time when a hurricane made landfall to the NE, as one example. Where did the dry air pocket come from in FL ydy? I don't know, but it was small-scale, so it does not represent the synoptic or hemisphere pattern either way! And aren't such wx details cool? It shows the sheer variety of what can happen and how there is always something new to learn or something one was not aware of. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
metagraphica replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Dews n Stein n CoC. Same old same old. Ya'll can come over here if you want some summer weather. High and lows for the month: -
Hopefully not here-we are waterlogged. Was odd I was in south Jersey for vacation it's been really dry there-trees dropping leaves and burnt out grass
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I'm not suggesting that we are going back to the 60s in a few years, so I think we're on the same page there. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
SouthCoastMA replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
79/71 it's a solid beach day -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Bbbbuuuutttttt the cccc hhharrttss…. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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IMO no. I think we’ve got a long stretch of 90s coming in Sept at some point before we get entrenched in a long, cool & wet pattern.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Ken gone wild. Ginxy doesn’t live in CON but ok -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Beer? -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
It was near 70 at the time of your post. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
SouthCoastMA replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
pretty sick storm in my hometown. yuge surge -
If some of the models are correct there could be a flooding threat tomorrow with some areas getting 2 to 4 inches of rain. Probably will be the usual situation with some spots getting a lot of rain while other spots get a little.
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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
the beginning of the end of summer? -
Looking at Mt Holly and the models watch this be a reverse June 27th.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Torch Tiger replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
