All Activity

Hopefully by tomorrow we have a better idea but every solution is still on table

I don’t get the euro bowing down lol it’s also been all over place strung out ots graze

Yup, that’s why will not believe the trend. I gotta see a hat tip to some degree.

Even though we rebounded back into the 40s since early February, the warmest departures have been missing miss the Northeast relative to other regions. So the Northeast continues to hold into the colder pocket compared to the rest of the CONUS. The forecast into early March looks like more of the same.

Wiff for you guys. Scrape fringe for Nova Scotia(Cape Breton might get shovelable). Crush job eastern Newfoundland. That’s my thinking. Seen this movie and its reruns multiple times this season and hated the show everytime…lol.

We always end up here, hoping the GFS somehow scores a coup.

Definitely a good trend but it occludes before it really hits our area so we don’t get the goods S NJ does. The storm is starting to wind down by then.

Hahaha yes! Except Last year it was the eps teasing us at this range.

I wish the energy over MN would dissapear.

It's only the Euro that i give that kind of weight to. If it was the GFS, CMC, UK or something stupid like the Icon id hit the ignore button.

March is easy #1 worst weather month of the year outside of 1993 and 2017 and 2014

Gefs fwiw. I'd post the 0z Geps but it's surprisingly bad.

Yep going the wrong way

We all know that slp placement will determine the final solution. GFS is Hatteras to Ocean City hugging the coast. The EURO and CANADIAN flirt with the coast east of Hatteras then OTS. Way back in the formative equation. The Pacific is hostile. This places the western ridge a little too far east. Instead of an axis at 105 - 110, that axis needs to be back at 115 - 120 which would encourage a coastal solution. Is it too late for a shift? Time is running out......

I think you gotta go with the whiff runs. What's more likely, a huge blizzard or a whiff especially given the seasonal trends. My guess is the next few runs the gfs shifts east. AI models were also east this morning so there's no support of a 6z GFS solution. My forecast would be snow showers at best and a miss. Little to no snowfall

This would be quite the coup by the legacy EURO if it holds on an island and everything caves to it.

We are seeing the same thing. In our hearts we know where it’s headed today lol. The IVT wouldn’t work for the city, NW it could, closer you are to the city though more BL temp issues

Hopefully we jump into April weather in March. March is the only month I can't stand. I miss the bright sunny mornings we had during the nw flow from the arctic. I love that arctic blue sky.

Eps

right

Of course we will lose the gfs. Pointless to look at it at this point. .

Didn't we do this at the same time last year. I'm still waiting on the 40" the gfs gave Annopoils.

Another 12hrs to shake this one out.

“Fun” that we jumped into crappy March weather 2 weeks early

how?