All Activity

Looks like pure zzzzs after the midweek duster

6z GFS almost has a 50/50 low.. We have a strong composite in our biggest snowstorms for DC/Balt for negative 500mb anomalies in the 3 areas I marked with a black line. In the last few days it's come a little closer. We need that Great Lakes trough to trend south or SW.

That's one heck of an ice storm for the whole southern states

Magnolia Delaware Extended forecast as of now shows possible Saturday 1-3". Sunday 1-3". I like the conservative forecast till Thursday and see how things shake up. One thing to remember is the GFS showed this past storm to be suppressed before the other models. If I'm not mistaken I did not see the 1050H on any of the current maps.

about 3 or so.. mod fluff coming down now

Around 8 inches of cement. Over 100k without power here in Nova Scotia at this hour. Yore !

If you get a chance, take a look at the Cfs2 on Tropical Tidbits. It has the fun going thru March.

How reliable is the AIGFS when it comes to Qpf?? .

It holds the sw vort back so it's just overrunning and that can't come north. Though 6z run did weaken the Midwest high pressure.

WB 6Z GFS is still south but further north than 0Z.

Looks like around 5 inches out there. I was a bit worried yesterday afternoon, but fortunately looks like the storm played out as expected here. Plowable snow + Pats W, what a weekend!

6z GFS is continuing to do one of these things.. it's at least showing significant southern jet stream energy, which is something we haven't seen for several months.

The fact the one gfs shows a cutter and the other one shows surpressed tells you all you need to know about America’s long term flagship model future

chatgpt list of the coldest places in hell

This might be a big dog…. Snow breaking out at 12z Saturday. .

The gfs ai continues to cut nw although it’s much colder

0z EPS has a strong signal for a storm around 162hr With so much CAD, it's likely going to either be a wintery storm, or slide south. Much less chance for rain, especially with AO near -3, and PNA neutral or positive around the coldest few days of the year, on average -AO is our best pattern for winter snow.. doesn't mean it can't slide to the south though. But a significant NW cut trend is unlikely.

Just saw the longer BOX loop on CoD. Looks like it may have been over you for a bit?

I bet that's a sight out there! Congrats man!

Looks like that was east of me

4.5" yesterday, 7.75" total for the last two days.

Man I want to believe. Give me this 84 hours before, and I will bite. It's just so hard these days in the NC Piedmont.

Congrats man. Long time coming.

This was Spot On in Both Statements. And I’m Just West of Attleboro and 200’ higher. I’m going to end with at least 6.5” in an Overachieving Happy Storm. Been Big Flake Fluff since 6pm.

My neck of the Lake Norman woods got all cold rain today. Just over an inch total. Banking on next week to make it right.