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  2. Nothing burger in Westchester thus far. Dry slotted and winds are tame. Hopefully it stays thru the daylight hours
  3. So far a bust here. .16" or rain an a gust to 16 mph. We were always on the boarder line for heavy rains.. 1" to 5 inches in the span of 30 miles by most models.
  4. If this were winter it would be painful. Nina-like miss--gets going too late, smh And we need the rain more down here than they do
  5. @dendrite so is this the “fruiting” of the paw paw?
  6. I usually get up at 3.. might just wake up a hour earlier.. won't be as good up here but interested in what those to the south get
  7. Periods of wind-driven rain, some of which could be heavy are likely tonight through tomorrow night. New York City and nearby areas remain on course for a storm total 1"-3" with locally higher amounts. Parts of Long Island will likely see 2"-4" of rain with locally higher amounts. Coastal erosion and flooding at high tide are again likely tonight and tomorrow, especially at high tide. Winds could gust past 50 mph in the region. Temperatures will remain unseasonably cool with highs mainly in the lower and middle 60s. After some early showers, Monday will dry out. The temperature will rise into the upper 60s. Tuesday and Wednesday could see some sunshine along with warmer readings in the lower and middle 70s. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.0°C for the week centered around September 16. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.73°C. Both ENSO regions have tied their all-time warmest anomalies. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The SOI was -19.85 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.215 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 74% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 68.8° (0.4° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.8° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  8. Looks like all of fire island is out of power now. That can't be good
  9. Not down here, I don't think. Meanwhile, my "lull" is actuallyl just pouring rain rather than insane rain.
  10. Now up to 0.80” on the day here in Lebanon and 8.61” on the month…36.00” now on the year .
  11. Coastal flooding products just updated. I got 2 more rounds of moderate flooding
  12. I'm declaring the pattern has officially changed.
  13. Continuing to add to the record east based nature of this event with the first ever daily Nino 3 anomaly crossing the historic +4 mark.
  14. Looks like we get a short break coming across the vineyard now.
  15. 'Grats! Hopefully that keeps training right over the south coastal areas
  16. Hey Kevin - thanks! It has some subtropical characteristics....but it's more of a hybrid mid latitude cyclone....the storm Thursday-Friday was cold core for sure.
  17. Dam my whole house was just shaking like craft in the winds all sudden
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