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It’s not that close. I think the best hope is to get the southern system close enough and then elicit some pressure falls as the northern stream vortmax approaches and trigger another inverted trough. When you loop H5/vorticity there really doesn’t seem to be a chance for the northern piece to be able to dive in and phase in time at our longitude.

Um we don't need to know what your plans are tonight...TMI.

Has a chance to be BOS biggest snowfall this winter to date.

The really big story this year has been the record breaking number of days by a wide margin with wind gusts exceeding 40 and 50 mph across the area. This is the result of an unusually active storm track through the Great Lakes and to the west of the I-95 corridor. Nearly all the days with these stronger gusts had a west to northwest flow. The lack of coastal systems this year really stood out as there was only a small number of days with 40 or 50 mph gusts from a southeast to northeast direction. So a continuation of the very dominant northern stream of the Pacific Jet pattern. At least December allowed our region to get two 4-8” clipper systems for the first time during the month. But since these were northern stream storm systems, we couldn’t get into a coastal KU benchmark track. Plus the Great Lakes cutter pattern remained active so we had two warm ups with rain and fog shortly after the two snowstorms. These clippers narrowly focused the snowfall to such an extent, that it’s the first time since the 1980s and 1950s in December that the heavier 10”+ snows focused around NYC Metro. Which didn’t allow Philly and or Boston to share in the heavier 10”+snows.

Best in a Nina to just focus on 5 days out. When you start unicorn hunting 2-weeks out, you are setting yourself up for disappointment. Should be some decent squalls around next 36 hrs off and on.

1-4 west to East

Timing of the squalls could line up perfectly for ringing in the New Year. Someone might have a whiteout at exactly 12 midnight.

16.1 this morning.

The SEC isn’t as overrated as the Big 10, so there’s that! However fanbases of both of those conferences generally have no idea how terrible CFB has gotten. You guys are only just now seeing surface level stuff. And yes the sec and big 10 did it to the sport. I hope some humility finds its way back into the sport so that way people remember what made CFB great. The bluebloods have become absolute vampires, and not the sexy kind. It’s killing the spirit of the game.

24 when I left the house. Some light radar returns overhead this morning but nothing was reaching the ground. Excited to see who can catch a squall later tonight. Hope everyone has a fun a safe New Year’s Eve.

I support Capes thoughts completely. This is no-mans land during winter.

Impressive snow squall threat tomorrow around daybreak.. Looks like a summer time squall line.. Probably looking at coating to an inch tonight away from SE New England and Maine. Then another coating to an inch or so with the squalls tomorrow morning.

GFS is like 150 miles north every run since yesterday, a few more moves like that and we have something, still 4.5 days out ... Heres GEFS trend

It's amazing how quickly the deterministics flipped. It seems like they were locked in on some sort of storm tracking east of the Mississippi for a week's worth of runs and the we had that massive storm on an 18z run Monday. I don't think there was any sort of a step down process. It's like they were drinking over Christmas and then sobered up and said "pattern conducive for eastern snow? No says I !" It may be the MJO is about to come out in 6 like y'all said over night. I saw GaWx mentioning that yesterday on the GFS suite's RMMs. Perfect timing I guess, lol. It looks like it is getting riled up on the less favorable regions: If that is really what is going on, it'll take it at least a couple of weeks to cycle through into the Western Pac and would line up with what the OP Euro and GFS (non AI) showed over night. La Nina and MJO over the Maritime continent seems to = ye olden qpf fire hose. The other thing I noticed was that the long prophesied jet extension isn't quite as extensive as promised and that I supposed that would tend to pull the whole pattern back west some too.

This was about the perfect "medical ad"

Yes but you are not including the posts with whinging about people whining or the post with people whining about people whinging about people whining. But by the forum standards yes there is not too much whining.

Nada IMBY

21 in Ashburn

BOX going for 2-4" for Pit 1 GYX calling for 3" at Pit2. I'll call that a win.

So it seems like our awesome pattern change already is playing kick the can down the road…? It seems like almost every year this happens and it just gets pushed farther and farther out lol

Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 333 AM EST Wed Dec 31 2025 PAZ012-018-019-025-034-037-041-042-045-046-049>053-058-010845- Northern Clinton-Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Blair-Bedford-Tioga- Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union- Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-Schuylkill- 333 AM EST Wed Dec 31 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. 1 to locally 3 inches of snow is expected this afternoon through Thursday morning. In addition, A line of snow showers/squalls will move through during the evening hours this New Year`s Eve. If a Snow Squall Warning is issued for your location, delay travel or exit the highway at the next opportunity. Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 333 AM EST Wed Dec 31 2025 PAZ026>028-035-036-056-057-059-063>066-010845- Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Fulton-Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon- Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 333 AM EST Wed Dec 31 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. A line of snow showers/squalls will move through during the evening hours this New Year`s Eve. If a Snow Squall Warning is issued for your location, delay travel or exit the highway at the next opportunity.

I just woke up and see some light returns had just passed through the area. Checking the grill top tells me it was just virga here.