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A poster is going to lose their mind if you start talking about BD possibility during the heat hype-up period .

4 home games, 4 blown 3rd period leads.

Bears lucky to get to OT. Really scuffling and miss Frank. Lots of defensive zone turnovers.

Ready 2 drought.

Ain't happening. Euro is always too hot beyond D3.

its ensemble disagrees

Florida looks nice. Hope everyone who moved down there from New York stays dry!

Highs ACY: 84 EWR: 81 PHL: 80 New Brnswck: 79 TTN: 78 LGA: 78 TEB: 78 ISP: 76 NYC: 76 JFK: 75 BLM: 74

Records: Highs: EWR: 97 (2017) NYC: 93 (2017) LGA: 96 (2017) JFK: 92 (2017) Lows: EWR: 47 (1951) NYC: 48 (1979) LGA: 49 (1979) JFK: 49 (1980) Historical: 1881 - Severe thunderstorms spawned more than half a dozen tornadoes in the Lower Missouri Valley. Five of the tornadoes touched down near Saint Joseph MO. In south central Kansas a tornado nearly wiped out the town of Floral. Hail and high winds struck Iowa and southern Minnesota. In Minnesota, Blue Earth City reported five inches of rain in one hour. (David Ludlum) 1915: An estimated F4 tornado moved northeast from northwest of Waterville, Iowa crossing the Mississippi River two miles south of Ferryville, Wisconsin. A man and his daughter were killed in one of three homes that were obliterated southwest of "Heytman," a small railroad station on the Mississippi River. 60 buildings and eight homes were destroyed in Wisconsin. This tornado caused approximately $200,000 in damage. In addition to this tornado, another estimated F4 tornado moved northeast across Fayette and Clayton Counties in northeast Iowa. One farm was devastated, the house and barn leveled. Heavy machinery was thrown 300 yards. Clothing was carried two miles. 1947 - A heavy wet snow blanketed much of southern and central Wyoming, and gave many places their heaviest and latest snow of record. Totals included 18.4 inches at Lander, 8.7 inches at Cheyenne, and 4.5 inches at Casper. (11th-12th) (The Weather Channel) 1948: The Columbia River Basin flood peaked on this date in the Northwest. The flood produced the highest water level in the basin since the flood there in 1894. The damage estimate for the 1948 flood was $101 million, and 75 lives were lost. 1969 - Record late season snows covered parts of Montana. Five inches was reported at Great Falls and east of Broadus. Billings, MT, tied their June record with lows of 32 degrees on the 12th and the 13th. (The Weather Channel) 1983 - The state of Utah was beseiged by floods and mudslides. Streets in downtown Salt Lake City were sandbagged and turned into rivers of relief. The town of Thistle was completely inundated as a mudslide made a natural dam. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced softball size hail around Fremont and Ames, and 3.5 inches of rain in less than one hour. Four and a half inches in less than an hour caused flooding around Ithica, NE. A tornado destroyed a mobile home near Broken Bow, NE, injuring both occupants. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Fifteen cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Asheville with a reading of 40 degrees. Drought conditions continued to intensify across the eastern half of the nation. Rainfall at Nashville, TN, was running 12.5 inches below normal. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from Tennessee Valley to the Central Appalachians in the afternoon and evening, and produced severe weather in Oklahoma and Texas during the evening and night. Thunderstorms spawned ten tornadoes, and there were 164 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 100 mph at Amarillo, TX, and wind gusts to 110 mph at Denton TX. Hail three inches in diameter was reported at Tucumcari NM. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2005 - A tornado in Hammond, Wisconsin damaged 22 homes and produced $3.6 million in damage (Associated Press).

3k NAM is robust Friday.

That seems more reasonable.

Sounds like the Central PA crew is skeptical of 90s based on the GFS. How plausible is that outcome verbatim?

If we use Central Park for 90 degrees then yeah. That site hasn’t represented Manhattan climate in awhile. It is literally in dense canopy. All I’m saying is calling for 5-11 days of 90+ in early June, when 90 degree days happen well into September is pretty bold call. Especially with guidance looking the way it looks right now. Most of the long range guidance continues to show plenty of chances at 90 just this month.

Wow quite a few tor warned storms between myself and @Brian D. Tree removal companies are going to have a field day.

Convection is so hit and miss. I pray for those cut of low, east wind, +2-+3 sd pwas and 850's. 5 days of nothing but rain where temp is between 62-68. That is a beautiful June forcast Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

They must still be ingesting the new data :-). But in reality it is still the ridge position. If GFS is right it is going to be fairly wet next week. GFS takes the W for the lack of a heat wave this week.

I went down the rabbit hole Truly strange world

WPC has you just inside the 0.10" line:

Stms my way got "Pac-Man'd" by the Lake. Stms coming in drew in cold lake air. Temps around 60 now.

SW of Duluth has a nasty warned cell. Good tornado sig there. Same with the one in the lower left near Brainerd.

I would happily take it. I just have PTSD from last June where models gave me over 13" 24-48 hours out if I added it all up but reality was barely more than an 1". Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

Pine trees that look like they're dying mystery solved. I've been checking the news everyday. Finally! https://www.nhpr.org/environment/2024-06-11/why-are-nhs-white-pines-turning-orange-signs-point-to-last-years-wet-spring

To further illustrate the point I just made, this is probably not 90+ degree heat for most of the NYC Metro Region. A b-door front came through on the 20th and winds here are light but right off of the ocean from the southeast. A backdoor front such as this could eliminate 2 or 3 of the potential very hot days at the end of next week holding temperatures in the mid-upper 80s or lower. Then if you do follow the 18Z run of the GFS which I personally wouldn't take too seriously at this point, when the winds finally do back around they are from the south-southwest ushering in 75 degree dew points and not 95 degree heat. There are worlds of differences from one model to another and run to run on the same model right now. So while I tend to believe it's going to come back to at least 3 days of heat, I'd be careful about betting on 5 at this moment. WX/PT

I highly doubt it. too much to lose for the people that were actually involved.