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Yup looks like it was separated into two parts on the 20-21st and the 23rd. The pns lists it as two separate events even though it was part of the same system. https://arctic.som.ou.edu/tburg/products/realtime/models/?model=era5&base=ptype&background=plain&state=states_brown&country=countries_brown&proj=conus&archive=false&run=2010121100

Snow is still deep. The old Honda says no, no , we won't go.

Pictures from my sunrise Shenandoah trip on Friday. Drove out from NOVA at 5am and had to brave 30 miles of dense fog as I neared the mountains. Then as I started up the mountain the clouds cleared as temperatures climbed through the low level inversion. Had a perfect clearing to the east to see the sunrise sandwiched between the cloud decks. Watched it rise into the mid level clouds with my friend and got some pictures of rain wisps falling in the distance with a lenticular cloud making an appearance (not captured). Got lucky with a brief period of sun rays hitting the cloud deck. Afterwards hiked to Mary's Rock and got to see the difference in cloud coverage between the east and west side of the mountains. Finally we headed back down and saw the sun finally clear out the mid level clouds. Was a magical experience.

In Baltimore for dinner and the sun was out from 4 pm or so onward. About to bed chile and probably run into a nice storm.

Models are showing cold fronts with rain to snow along it for our area. Interesting.

The million dollar question is if that line of showers in central PA makes it here. [emoji3]

The Mist outside waiting for the monsters

Beer

Dense fog has descended like a horror movie

SOI was +30 today.. it certainly hasn't been leading the past few years Somewhat correlated to -PDO phase sustaining

Tornadoes happening while the lake is still frozen is nasty work

Maybe they moved from Canada and think it's CM? I don't see any other way you come up with that number

My high so far is 48F, but I think temps are expected to rise as we approach midnight. 1.30” in the bucket for the week.

Oh yes, I can barely stand to walk the dog. Look away, look away!

Day 5 https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/#

Tossed like your account if I lose warmth on Tuesday too

Im still holding out hope for snow but it doesnt look good.

Feels like an eternity

Well how else do the flowers start growing?

they were lame. honestly. and one was a car topper. i did get an early dismissal and snow day out of them though.

big snow storms rarely produce more than 10 inches in march in nyc. source; mitchell volk. so a big storm for us in march is well, anything over a few inches. sometimes, i've seen a few inches accumulate on grass and cartops, but not on the street, like in march 2013.

The last ST sunset saw low clouds linger all day and EWR: 50 / 37 (+4) NYC: 50 / 36 (+3) LGA: 47 / 36 (+1)

If Phoenix reaches 100°, it would be extraordinary. Since March daily records started in 1896, Phoenix has hit 100° just once in March (March 26, 1988: 100°) and 99° three times (most recently on March 25, 2025).

Welcome to March!

I don't care what paper says.I work off my own memory and experiences. Another pretty wild system considering a good chunk of the US has barely warmed up on the lower levels. I've seen this before, and it's my thinking we're on business end of a three year uptick in severe weather. The last two systems had no problem kicking off decent storms, in low level environments that you wouldn't normally expect to see them yet. The amount of lightning that some of the meager cells have been able to generate this spring in parts of the country this early is reminiscent of some great storm years.