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Interested to hear what anyone in the Leesburg to Frederick area has for totals from this one. Left town Friday morning and came back last night to see that 5.75” of rain had fallen here. Impressive!
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1.69 inches about twice was predicted.
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US National Weather Service State College PA Favorites ·n͏t͏r͏s͏o͏p͏o͏S͏e͏d͏c͏1͏6͏0͏h͏l͏i͏0͏1͏f͏1͏6͏l͏2͏a͏4͏4͏c͏7͏f͏c͏f͏4͏5͏3͏t͏u͏1͏i͏3͏i͏i͏t͏8͏h͏f͏h͏9͏2͏l͏m͏m͏l͏2͏c͏2͏m͏3͏8͏i͏ · Which one are you looking forward to more?
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We don’t know the specific yet the details that far out. But the latest Euro continues the record WWBs at least into next March. This is why the model is trying to develop a 2nd warming peak near the end of the run like the CFS. -
3.11 was the final talley.
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2.67 total
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About 2.2” storm total
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What an epic win
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1.56" total.
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4.07 final total...really impressive event
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
They seem to have downloadable archive files in addition to 3 text files which can be viewed directly on a web browser. With the downloadable ones also containing the text files. I thought that was weird too. Not sure what the purpose of that is, but I'm sure they have their reasons. The following 3 links are the text links which will be displayed on a web browser. Full list of data (since 1953): https://www.atmohub.kit.edu/data/qbo.dat Singapore data only (since 1987): https://www.atmohub.kit.edu/data/singapore.dat Singapore data for 2026 only: https://www.atmohub.kit.edu/data/singapore2026.dat -
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My final was indeed 2.91"
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If the IOD guru Adam were still posting (will he ever come back?), I’d now be asking him about the potential very strong +IOD that’s been expected this autumn. It clearly is positive, but it isn’t strong per BoM (at least not yet as it still has til Nov to see if it will jump way up based on the past): As of 10/4/26, the weekly was +0.6. Note that the peak for 2026 so far was actually way back on 3/8/26 (+0.9). Then it fell back to 0 in May, but was then followed by a general rise til now. How does 2026’s +0.6 compare to some past Oct 4ths for Ninos/warm neutral along with 2 Ninas that had an unusual +IOD? 2026 +0.6 2023 +1.8 2019 +1.8 2018 +0.1 2015 +1.1 2014 +0.1 2012 +0.1 2011 +0.6 (mod Nina) 2009 -0.3 2008 +0.2 (weak Nina) —————— As one can see, Nino 2023 and warm neutral 2019 both had triple 2026! Also, Nino 2015 was nearly double. In addition, Nina 2011 was the same! (Aside: Nino 2009 was still negative although it had an unusually very late IOD peak of +0.7 on 1/4/2010.) So, as I said, 2026 isn’t exactly setting the world on fire so far regarding a +IOD. I’ll keep following. Any thoughts? ———————— Weekly IOD 2008+: https://www.bom.gov.au/clim_data/IDCK000072/iod_1.txt?1791781094025 -
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3.77 northern Waynesboro By far the highest event here since the final two weeks of September 24. In fact this summer June - August only measured 5.49 here, so this was much needed..
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Thank you for your sacrifice!
