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I got a dusting of sleet out of that, let alone an inch.

With 2 colder than average Winters (DJF) in the Northeast (24-25 and 25-26), I was wondering, do we have a higher chance of seeing a cold El Nino Winter next year?? (3rd consecutive cold Winter?) Since 1950, I found 10 analogs where there were 2 cold Northeast, US Winter's before an El Nino. That is extremely high. It is 38% of El Nino's were preceded by 2 cold Northeast, US Winters. The odds of 1 is about 40%, using my guidelines, odds of two 20%, so about +2std, but limited examples. So check it out.. This is the DJF before an El Nino the following year: This Winter (25-26) so far: DJF 11 months before an El Nino: Winter 25-26 so far: The pre-El Nino composite was a great predictor this Winter, even outscoring forecasts such as the CPC. Now what did the following, 3rd Winter, El Nino Winter, look like? ^About your average El Nino composite. I'm a little surprised the map is a little warm. The precip is also surprisingly below average in the Mid Atlantic, but this is just based on 10 examples: So history says that 2 cold Northeast, US Winters followed by an El Nino does not lean cold for the 3rd, El Nino, Winter.

soon!

Brother. We wont see snow out here either.

Dont worry guys only a few weeks out and we have another ULL bowling through haha

Oh Boy.....

That was a different setup with best north . Instead it was 1-3” SOP and 2- 4 north, This one ( if this north trend is real) would drop snow south of 90

I still feel bad for those in the screw zone, but everytime I see this I chuckle a bit too hard.

"ineedhelp", awesome!!

Drove down to Concord today for an MRI. It really is a different world down there. Bright sunshine, gorgeous late winter day. Snowed all day up here and came back to light snow still falling and snow covered roads. Got out for a few runs early this morning and the skiing was outer worldly. Pure champagne powder.

SREFs?

Similar to a dust devil? Temp thing??

Yep. Got 18” from this last little storm

Only about 1/2" less

It would’ve been nice to see the euros improve but such marginal changes from their previous OP runs. See what the ens say in a sec (I’d gamble they are worse, but ya never know)

I've moved on from snow to Nascar Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

^Interesting that they have such high El Nino probabilities, using RONI. For the last 3 years (23-25), RONI has been -0.533c the value of ONI month-by-month (0.0 ONI is -0.53 RONI). That means they are predicting a Moderate El Nino [ONI] by September.

Really? You made the same claim for the past event.

They need snow

I have a colonoscopy Monday, so Sunday will be a flood locally. I don’t want to deal with that only for Monday to get canceled. C’mon rain lol (it looks like so little precip nothing will matter but better safe than sorry)

Ineedaninternetcoach is like a happy face troll

FFS let it go. God.

Great day to catch a connecting flight