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SNE narrowly missed a HECS in March...nailed CNE. Big SSW in Feb.

Dang didn't the SER rage that entire winter, though? Not sure anybody on the EC got much of anything (0.5" down this way)

Strongly strongly considering buying one.

Totally buy that analog with more subdued west coast troughing....

Solid snow pack left in SW CT. Even down to the coast. 100% coverage in Fairfield County. Got almost an inch NYE and then another half inch to an inch last night. Looks like it’s gone by mid to late week. SMH. It seems we are stuck in a multi year cycle of storms not coming through this area when the cold is here, but when it’s warm it rains, rains and rains. Epic Greenland blocks that go to waste, negative NAOs go to waste, cold air but very little precip. Very odd weather. Heard the 80s were very similar (I was born 1990). Yes, December was pretty cold and we have a little over a foot of snow this season so far but it’s been years since we’ve had a true nor’easter with totals over a foot plus (several years). Hopefully the mid month time frame works out. I can see a big storm happening followed by another warm up and a lot of rain in this type of set up this January. .

Flip back to RNA in January is as fraudulent as Mark Moregarbage's met creds.

This times 1,000,000.

Could even get delayed a bit, but will happen...

Edge of my seat...

Looking a bit stormy in the SE next weekend on the 0z GFS. Euro has also has some convection next weekend. At least we are starting to moisture across the SE after this week.

Watching the cliff jumpers become cliff hangers.

Biggest thorn in LR modeling is a slp in the GL region. Other than that, decent looks after Jan 10. Just need a storm to hookup w/ some cold. I have definitely seen a trend for split flow w/ the EPO ridge. Might be a good sign to see a wetter So Cal in terms of that verifying later on. Getting more precip into the pattern will certainly help our chances. Drought is tough to overcome even if cold.

Looks to me like the transition to an eastern trough is quicker by abut 18-36 hours. I think the first window for snow is Jan 11-12. Likely it is NW flow w/ an outside shot at a wave riding the cold front.

Several cities in the eastern half of state broke daytime high temp records today. Due to the dryline reaching all the way east into ETX. A deeper westerly downslope flow was found even in College Station and Tyler in the afternoon. Aside from the tied all-time January temp maximums in both Austin and San Antonio, the biggest jump in maximum daytime high from previous record for today (January 2), was actually in Waco.

Decent looking 12z suite so far. If modeling isn't seeing cold(as we have seen many times this winter), could be a really good pattern. Overall 500 trends are good. Get that EPO ridge in place, and let's see if we can get cold into those ensuing troughs. The 0z GEM is definitely cold, but rarely isn't!

Quinsigammand lake is starting to freeze over. I’ll try to grab a pic when I have the chance.

Let’s get Anafrontal This is really close to a redeveloped anafront You see the northern side of the front pushing farther E, while the energy at the base of the trough is trying to redevelop. Whats a winter without an Anafront? .

Models have a colder pattern by the 12th.

That northern fringe actually stretched as far south as Baltimore. Jan 2019 fringe hurt, lol It was nice scenery with 4.9" but we definitely missed the bulk of it

Models have a colder pattern by the 12th.

Ive been thinking something similar to 2022-2023i,mayve more or less the wave lenghts dont match up,but it was a cold Dec Christmas 2022,and much AN into J/F,i dont see that being a bad analog year,least right now unless something changes

Already changing, lol

*pretend shocked face*

Give it a few days it will change lol