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Hearing really good things about 18z EURO but can’t confirm it myself. Trust the people, though.

Thanks...sorry, I was in here several hours ago when this thread started and haven't seen or looked at all the intervening stuff when I had to step out for awhile. Good discussion!

The Apple weather app says 18-21” for Saturday into Sunday. Lock it in [emoji1787]

Much rather be a bit too far north at day 5 than too far south!

FIFY...for @stormtracker!!!

It’s only Monday, I like the set up. We’re getting snow, it will only be a matter of how much

Please refer to my post back on page six. Went over all that stuff there. The GFS fails to eject it due to destructive interference with the NS vorticity caused by another storm out in the Pacific. The Euro has that vorticity instead phase and amp the SW.

This is a really good post. Might want to throw this in the storm thread. If we see a widespread snowstorm this weekend, that’s the thread we will be searching for 5-10 years from now.

So far through hour 64 the Euro seems unchanged with its handling of the SW and vorticity related to ejecting it...

A related question might be why other models are showing that trough ejecting better and perhaps better interaction with the NS, but the GFS is "refusing" to do so. While I'm not saying it will be or is correct, it does give one pause.

We all want the big dog, but at least we have a back up if not.

Any pics of totals

Me too. And the potential for snow on snow if it turns out the way. A big snow during Vodka cold and then more snow.

18z GEFS mean depth...

Went out today feeling great about the weekend now i want to drink

For all the people saying "the GEFS/GFS was better" or "its fine it has time to change" I want to put a word of caution against that. Yes, raw numbers wise they are better; however, if either of them are correct we lose the big dog or even large storm potential unless dramatic changes occur in the NS. The reason I personally hate the GFS is because they do NOT eject the SW. As for it has time to change, this is true; yet, the SW should eject within 4-5 days and we should know if it'll eject within the next day or so. We need the GFS to be wrong with its handling of the SW to get a big storm.

The 18z AIFS (entire run) buries portions of the forum...and I don't take that term lightly. No idea if it is right, but wow.

I'm excited about a 4"-8" event.

Ai ECM also south CMC south

Follows the Euro .

You have no idea what you’re talking about

Exactly This isnt a typical La Nina. Its a weakening one.

No it hasn't

I'd recommend taking your eyes off the models for a few days. Things won't really come into focus until Thursday at minimum. And avoid the hype posts on social media... they're going to be relentless

The 18z AIFS is a major snow an ice storm for the Tennessee Valley region...end to end.