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CIPS is beginning to like this more. Top 12z, bottom 00z.

It’s on

No idea. I guess we'll find out.

That's the one my parents experienced like 2 weeks after moving here from South Africa in '79. No shovel. Dug out with a baking sheet and wondered wtf they'd gotten themselves into...

That's what they said March 2001. I think it's going to be too warm.

Every ten years!

Almost exactly the same, which is what would expect at this point.

Sorry for your loss. I’m sure she is watching from above and saying the same thing. Keep doing it in her honor.

Thank you so much. I'm reminiscing right now about all the conversations we had before/when these storms would hit haha. And when I'd go outside starting in 1996. "Don't go out exploring!". She'd be fine doing things like making donuts on our intersection way after the storm was over haha.

i hope that you guys are aware that you are watching a borderline BDB level resurgence

It struck on a Sunday night. I was supposed to report for my first day of work at DTNSRDC in Carderock, Md (Potomac River near Bethesda) Monday morning but of course that never happened. In fact, it wasn't until the next Monday that work opened. Expecting a tolerable 4" of overnight snow I woke up to what I thought was fog outside. With the onset of daylight I about fainted when I realized that "fog" was torrential snow. Cars were completely buried and drift were to the top of storefronts. Tractors were used to clear Georgia Avenue (Georgian Towers in Silver Spring.) https://vlab.noaa.gov/web/nws-heritage/-/unpredictable-the-president-s-day-storm-of-1979

sorry man, that's awful

If this comes to fruition the GFS is a champ, and all other guidance are chumps. It figured out the complex interplay of the individual pieces of vorticity and once it locked on it never waivered.

At least this storm will be easier to clean compared to the last one. It's just that you're going to get a few inches on your porch and a mountain of 40" on your garage or kitchen door, or the other way around depending what direction your house faces.

If something like this actually occurs, that would be quite something! Boom potential.

east of the Potomac where?

Another weenie gfs run. This doesnt appear to be the end just yet.

Even though the well of tears never runs dry, a mother’s love can never dies. May you find peace in your sorrow. As always …..

The GFS is still the furthest NW of any guidance, tucking the low back nearly ashore in Ocean City, MD before the fade to the benchmark…which is even more than the NAM. Unless the new 0z Euro pulls a fast one here in a bit we’re still looking at the same US vs Non-US modelling battle for another run. Things are coming much more in line across the board in favor of the bombing coastal, but Euro/Canadian has been taking this more direct from the Outer Banks to the benchmark with less of a tuck back toward the Delmarva. And that’s the key to both the more excessive totals and also getting any kind of double digit stuff back into any of the LSV.

i remember Ji on eastern

We talked about it last night or maybe it was a night before? QPF is not nearly as important as identifying the machinery the cyclone at this range cause that’s gonna get moved around like kids with finger paint for the next 24 to 48 hours.

Wright Weather or Eastern - good ol days