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A worthwhile read https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=qpfhsd

It already has busted thermals bc of a GLL it’s gonna rain

Updated Hazard for the next 7 days and if your hoping for a warmup, the CPC Week 3 and 4 Outlook suggests we stay cold into late February.

Nice snows Monday too .

Never gets above freezing thru 384 either no setup in sight. Amazing run of winter weather. We will be referring back to this one for a long long time. Savor every second.

You are a good egg, nacho

Wondering about my Monday afternoon flight. In isolation, I think BWI will be fully operational by then. But 2-3 days of nationwide flight disruptions are going to take a while to clean out. So dunno.

CF hangs right there too.

Sure. It'll do.

18z GEFS for next weekend. Again I know its far out there but it's our next storm to track after this weekend.

That looks more like I would expect with this wall of moisture moving north. Not these .7 to .8 stuff

You always find a way

I think they were hitting Bourbon up north pretty hard. Looks beast in SNE

I gotcha. I’ve been trying to improve on that.

fringed meh

Holy GFS. Anything else sniffing this candy?

6 imby this run lol Manifesting

Euro looks great! Big thump and then sleet

Anybody with a Euro clown map?

Until February

Just hates metfan, with good reason.

If I get 8” snow/sleet we meeting up for quiche and white wine in DC 6:30 obs- 40.5/11.5 and windy. The cold has arrived.

Some major differences there... I imagine there's a fine line between sleet vs freezing rain at 31 degrees vs plain rain at 32 degrees. A couple degrees in the mid-lower levels of the atmosphere could make this a lot better or a lot worse for a lot of people