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ehh, 2016 was not luck. there was a very strong west-based -NAO that developed, which is a classic KU signal

Yep, h5 pattern seems to be trying for some light to moderate events for MA-NE. Maybe a 96-like big dog can happen, but extremely unlikely.

I'm becoming more convinced over the years that snow around here is completely random luck that can happen any winter. 2016 was a warm turd except for the week prior to the storm and another short period of cold around valentines day.

I just hit 60 for the first time in a month! It feels great too!

95-96 was a Niña

I hope its 85F on April 17 so I can watch playoff hockey outside with just a jersey on

2032.

Winter finally ends April 17th…

My recommendation for those people then would be to move to the Sierra's or Cascades lol. I mean if we're active with 3-4" events and people are still complaining then something is wrong. Surely we all want the big storm but there has to be some sort of realistic expectation too.

4 months? Lol

most will be gone by the time we see the first drops of rain-tomorrow looks sunny and 50-55

Lets go nuts and have Boxing Day II

I would take that in a heartbeat. I'm not nearly as greedy in the lead up to Christmas...in January you can F right off with that.

I love a high frequency of smaller events. Pack sustained and always looking fresh

Hit 50.6 degrees briefly about noon here, first time above 50 since 11/27. Was a high haze/cloud cover, now lowered clouds, looks like rain soon? although with an 21 degree DP it'll be virga. Temp down to 47.8 degrees at 1:30 pm.

sir, this is a La Nina

Absolutely.

I doubt it would. It isn't about hitting climo averages. I think most would sign for a 3 footer and then spring. I'd sign for 1" a day for the next 4 mos myself.

No, I agree a low first half of a season correlates with a low season in general...what I am saying is that a very low December is a much more dire signal in a cool ENSO season than in a warm ENSO. Side note...that response sounded more abrasive than I intended...wasn't trying to be a dick.

Temp is up to 46 here -- the mildest day in quite awhile. But the last couple days really felt like deep winter with 6 inches of snow on the ground and frigid temps. It was a real treat for winter lovers to have that situation in mid December. Now though the snow is melting quickly.

I could see a marginal get thrown up for far eastern CT/RI/SE MA. the NAM would certainly argue it but sometimes the NAM gets a little overzealous with elevated in stability in these setups. NAM does have a pocket of steeper mid-level lapse rates (and greater CAPE) but I think its overdone in that regard. The key for eastern areas will be little to no shower activity ahead of the main area

We need blocking. These NS waves are cute for a day or two, but this area needs a region-wide snowstorm with overrunning moisture from the south on top of a slow moving, dense dome of arctic air blocked by a downstream traffic jam.

I bet a marginal goes up for us on Friday... wouldn't be shocked.

Yeah I agree, I definitely would like to start getting some bigger systems, but if we can pull off a good two week stretch where we get 3-4 systems in the 2-4" range...I would hope that makes everyone a bit happier lol.

I actually get the occasional blizzard dream and we are due. I might regret selling my jeep in a month or two.