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99L right between two areas of dry air. Conditions in the central Caribbean are not favorable for development as per the NHC. It will reach there on Tuesday.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
donsutherland1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Statistically, the back-to-back 102° highs at JFK during late June are a lot rarer. -
Here it is with 1951-1980 (which is used by NASA GISS): The most recent summer that was cooler than the above baseline was summer 2017.
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You aren’t kidding. We are at a place called Sebasco Harbor, close to Popham Beach. My pictures don’t do the waves justice.
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13-14 was also a +QBO winter. These were the QBO numbers from Nov-Mar, 13-14: Nov: +12.45 Dec: +12.55 Jan: +13.13 Feb: +12.68 Mar: +11.72
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High of 80.6 and very low humidity. What sort of sacrifice did y’all make to the weather gods? This is becoming a historic august
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2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season
NorthHillsWx replied to BarryStantonGBP's topic in Tropical Headquarters
I’m just saying- it hasn’t hit 90 yet this August in Raleigh NC and we’re looking at 50s this week. We’re getting into record territory for coldest August in history. If anything, this burns clock during the peak of the season -
Mid to long range discussion- 2025
WinstonSalemArlington replied to wncsnow's topic in Southeastern States
Summer is in critical condition -
82 here on coastal Maine. Great waves again today.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
wow you're very lucky, our longest heatwaves were in the 1950s and the 1990s. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Don is that more rare or is the back to back 102 at JFK in late June more rare? -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
It's interesting, while that happens the number of 100+ highs around here in August and September has dropped markedly since the 1950s. -
Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
LibertyBell replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
To be fair, thats a little too extreme lol. 2010 was my ideal winter/summer/winter I don't think it can get any better than that around here. -
How about if we use the 1951-1980 baseline we all want to use Don?
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This was the first earthquake I've ever felt! 2011: Earthquake today at 1351 that lasted 30 seconds that was rated a 5.8 magnitude and the epicenter was near Mineral, Virginia. The quake was the biggest in Virginia in 114 years since May 5, 1897, when a 5.8 tremor began in Giles County and was felt in 12 states. The Charleston, SC earthquake of August 31, 1886 was a powerful intraplate earthquake the strongest earthquake recorded in South Carolina. The shaking occurred at 9:50 p.m. and lasted just under a minute and is estimated to have been between 6.6 and 7.3 on the Richter scale. The earthquake caused severe damage in Charleston, South Carolina, damaging 2,000 buildings and causing $6 million worth in damages (over $141 million in 2009 dollars), while in the whole city the buildings were only valued at approximately $24 million. Between 60 and 110 lives were lost. After the 1811 and 1812 quakes in New Madrid, Missouri, the Charleston SC earthquake is the most powerful and damaging quake to hit the southeastern United States. Three Main Shocks of the Missouri Earthquake, December 16, 1811 - Magnitude ~7.7, January 23, 1812 - Magnitude ~ 7.5, February 7, 1812 - Magnitude ~ 7.7. Also in 1755, a quake with around a 6.0 magnitude struck off the coast of Massachusetts. The one last year in April 2024 felt stronger here though and that was actually a double (I felt another earthquake later in the day.) Also in 1755, a quake with around a 6.0 magnitude struck off the coast of Massachusetts. Would this have caused a tsunami? I wonder if this was felt around here and how bad it was here? 1963: Project Stormfury was armed and ready as Hurricane Beulah moved across the Atlantic Ocean north of Puerto Rico. An armada of planes carried out the seeding and monitored the results of the experiment. On the 23rd, Beulah did not really meet the criteria for seeding. On the following day, the storm met the criteria of having a well-formed eyewall and the seeding appeared to be successful as the eyewall disintegrated. No other hurricanes would be seeded until 1969 because of a lack of good targets. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) Why haven't we seen more of this? Why wasn't Katrina seeded in 2005 for example? Everyone knew it was going to be an epic disaster. Might as well try to do something about it in advance.... 1806: A hurricane of great size and destructive power raged along the Atlantic coast from the 21st to the 24th. As the slow moving storm gained forward speed, shipping suffered severely. The coastal ship "Rose in Bloom" capsized during the morning off Barnegat Inlet, NJ, with the loss of 21 of the 49 persons on board. This disaster received wide national publicity. Further north, Cape Cod, MA received 18 inches of rain, which ruined crops. The storm also caused major shipping losses. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) I've not read about this anywhere, the 1821 hurricane is mentioned far more often. What was its strength and where did it make landfall, Tony? 1683: A hurricane which made landfall in Virginia and moved from Virginia to Massachusetts. Extensive damage was done in Rhode Island, and the torrential rains from the hurricane caused the Connecticut River to rise 26 feet above its usual level causing a tremendous flood in the Connecticut Valley.(Ref. Hurricane of 1683) Never heard of this one either, did it make a second landfall up here and what was its strength?
- Today
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Sat nights are the new storm times. Last week I got my 22nd storm late into the wee hours of Sun but tonight it may be a dud. The line was broken and I hit the gap. At 8 it was eerie darkness like a sickly pale colour in the sky - my unit showed 0 lux but seemed brighter than that. Despite the clouds the air was great like cottage wood mix with grass trimmings. 27C for a high.
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Everyone talking about it in the main thread. Tropics are alive.
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You need a trough to bring these storms up the coast.
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
donsutherland1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
For those tracking the heat in the Pacific Northwest, Portland has now reached 100° or above for the second consecutive day. August 22-23, 2025 is the latest two-day or longer streak on record. The prior latest two-day streak of 100° or above occurred during August 19-20, 2016.