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  2. Wind is slowly starting to pick up a bit. Strong enough for spray to ruin my sandwich on my way across the bay, but I simply dont see the Major flood criteria being achieved as forecast. Im just not buying that this will be 8/10th of a foot less than Sandy. I imagine they will slowly walk it down.
  3. My heat has almost nothing to do with $ and everything to do with laziness. Gotta move stuff to change the filter, gotta get humidifiers running because forced hot air makes me feel like the dewpoint is -44, my bedroom is at the highest point of our house so it gets hot as hell unless its legit cold weather…etc etc lol
  4. I try to wait until it gets into the 30s here at night. Saving costs becomes penny wise dollar foolish when it goes subfreezing and can freeze your pipes.
  5. Comments: Strength of storm not dependent on Lowest Pres but pressure gradient (MB between high and low at least 1kt/mb-my own rule of thumb) Not sure of the average return interval for an October northeast wind coastal wind event of G50 MPH? This looks to be a bit above average nor'easter in winter taking into account: qpf, coastal flood and wind gusts impact on travel. We shall see what wind and water do for any power outages... tomorrow night Monday morning? Unknown. If there is tree branch on your car... or in the road. MINIMUM gusts NJ coast and s Coast LI should be 40-45 MPH per 12z/11 SPC HREF. Suggestion is to stay with NWS messaging and not confuse the issue-mislead. Preparedness can be important.
  6. Rain mass is west of Ricky Mount and still moving wnw and that’s a historical reference to me for rain mass making it thoroughly over DC
  7. I have some ideas but not going to unleash them yet.
  8. You know it's getting colder when Wiggum is up and throwing in the bullpen.
  9. I was going to send someone out to wake you from your den. Winter thoughts or still compiling?
  10. First heavy duty band just roll through. Sky's already brightening..
  11. Pretty sure this won't be neutral. But what do I know? (restrain yourselves from answering that last part, ty)
  12. If this was winter, being a Nina, a good chunk of us would know getting a clean flush phase isnt usually in the cards. Going to be a long winter for ppl that hug the long range stuff.
  13. Long weekend ruiner for most. It's a complex interaction with the shortwave to the north which is throwing models for these fits, but generally seems to be settling into a nuisance event that hopefully replenishes the water table to some degree. Back bays and NJ coast will see moderate flooding in some places due to the easterly fetch, but beyond that an inch of rain and some gusts to 40 isn't notable at all.
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