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Wind is slowly starting to pick up a bit. Strong enough for spray to ruin my sandwich on my way across the bay, but I simply dont see the Major flood criteria being achieved as forecast. Im just not buying that this will be 8/10th of a foot less than Sandy. I imagine they will slowly walk it down.
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My heat has almost nothing to do with $ and everything to do with laziness. Gotta move stuff to change the filter, gotta get humidifiers running because forced hot air makes me feel like the dewpoint is -44, my bedroom is at the highest point of our house so it gets hot as hell unless its legit cold weather…etc etc lol
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"Potentially" powerful Nor'easter Sun-Mon 10/12-13/25 with needed rain-especially south of I84, and fairly high impact sct coastal gusts 50+ MPH and possibly moderate or greater coastal flooding at the midday Sun and Monday high tide cycles.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Didn't we have hype like this for the April noreaster last Spring? I remember we were complaining about that too.- 298 replies
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"Potentially" powerful Nor'easter Sun-Mon 10/12-13/25 with needed rain-especially south of I84, and fairly high impact sct coastal gusts 50+ MPH and possibly moderate or greater coastal flooding at the midday Sun and Monday high tide cycles.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
we'll definitely be doing it for frost advisories and freeze warnings at this rate- 298 replies
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"Potentially" powerful Nor'easter Sun-Mon 10/12-13/25 with needed rain-especially south of I84, and fairly high impact sct coastal gusts 50+ MPH and possibly moderate or greater coastal flooding at the midday Sun and Monday high tide cycles.
LibertyBell replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Lee Goldberg said we shouldn't blame the models because it's very difficult to make accurate predictions before the low forms.- 298 replies
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It really has risen to that level of stupidity. People are slowly waking up to it, at least.
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I try to wait until it gets into the 30s here at night. Saving costs becomes penny wise dollar foolish when it goes subfreezing and can freeze your pipes.
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Periods of very light rain, mist and drizzle ongoing here for last 90 minutes or so.
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Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
ineedsnow replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
better in October.. get it done and over with -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Gotcha. Another wave ready to roll through... -
Comments: Strength of storm not dependent on Lowest Pres but pressure gradient (MB between high and low at least 1kt/mb-my own rule of thumb) Not sure of the average return interval for an October northeast wind coastal wind event of G50 MPH? This looks to be a bit above average nor'easter in winter taking into account: qpf, coastal flood and wind gusts impact on travel. We shall see what wind and water do for any power outages... tomorrow night Monday morning? Unknown. If there is tree branch on your car... or in the road. MINIMUM gusts NJ coast and s Coast LI should be 40-45 MPH per 12z/11 SPC HREF. Suggestion is to stay with NWS messaging and not confuse the issue-mislead. Preparedness can be important.
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I hear we're going to have oppressive sunshine later this week, NJ is thinking of declaring a SOE.
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The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
WEATHER53 replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Rain mass is west of Ricky Mount and still moving wnw and that’s a historical reference to me for rain mass making it thoroughly over DC -
media and social media just run wild with everything these days...
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Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)
Torch Tiger replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I have some ideas but not going to unleash them yet. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Mikeymac5306 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
You know it's getting colder when Wiggum is up and throwing in the bullpen. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I was going to send someone out to wake you from your den. Winter thoughts or still compiling? -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
First heavy duty band just roll through. Sky's already brightening.. -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Pretty sure this won't be neutral. But what do I know? (restrain yourselves from answering that last part, ty) -
We have had real nor’easters down into the 960s against 1040 highs that were less hyped
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Classic Nina rug pull? -
E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2025 Obs/Discussion
Ralph Wiggum replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
If this was winter, being a Nina, a good chunk of us would know getting a clean flush phase isnt usually in the cards. Going to be a long winter for ppl that hug the long range stuff. -
Long weekend ruiner for most. It's a complex interaction with the shortwave to the north which is throwing models for these fits, but generally seems to be settling into a nuisance event that hopefully replenishes the water table to some degree. Back bays and NJ coast will see moderate flooding in some places due to the easterly fetch, but beyond that an inch of rain and some gusts to 40 isn't notable at all.
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