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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
paulythegun replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
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It's not going to die a slow death at this rate. Between settling, the bit of rain, and the sun, it looks like half what it was all fluffed up.
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Oh yeah ... BD madness too. In fact at a larger seasonal consideration, I'm wondering about that April/May period with the local SSTs being down.
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Sunday will drop a couple to refresh and if thats it.. then what can you do. I remember how long it lasted in 2015. I know this is a different pattern . So it’ll go faster unless that furnace mutes a lot
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No ice storm ?
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Oh I see what I did. I referenced the ESandwich Cocorahs..not the COOP. The ESandwich Coop (21") definitely sounds more reliable than the CoCoRahs report (31" and 5" of qpf ) Sorry for the confusion!
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Let's get 5 to 10 inches of rain and a quick melt out.. I want to see some epic flooding
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Never ending winter...by April everyone was up in arms after that last snowfall.
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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
Ginx snewx replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
No mail last 3 days. My daughter works for prime shutdown for 3 days -
E. Sandwich COOP was also measured...so you have two conflicting reports of 21 and 31 in about the same spot. Hard to know what to do
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Might not be much snow cover next week, it’s fading fast in city. Just the piles won’t melt
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Pack is gonna die a slow death. Nothing worse then heading into early March with no events and dying pack. Soon you’ll be heading home the “shady” way to avoid the bare spots.
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Regarding Tips post. I can not think of a winter that didn't have missed opportunities ,including the monster 96 1t5 years
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agreed... I'm starting to lean like we need to get past this poorly seasonally timed warm synoptic surge. Here's the thing - experimental. But it is one I have growing confidence for, tho the sample size is a bit light. I have noticed these late winter/early to mid spring warm burst synoptic patterns that started happening around 2010+ have had a tendency to decay into -NAO. In 2018, we were in fact warm burst prior to the NAO collapse and onset of a couple of blue beauties that year as an example. It's just something I'm leery about as we head into what looks like > 50/50 odds for another early warm synoptic pattern scenario. Get a load of 588 dm heights as far N as the Del Marva out there 270 ...it's long way off... so much of his still hypothetical, but I do have growing confidence that succeeding "too much" of this signal early might lend to -NAO last hurrah later on
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I mean, it was measured there. I only estimated, and I could be underselling a few inches. You're right, just over the canal are some upper 20's/low 30's, which is literally only 5-10 miles from me. I wish there were more reports for Sandwich, but I understand that has been tough with the power situation on the Cape.
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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
powderfreak replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
There’s a lot to dive into about that video of him driving around but some is best not said, especially when you don’t know where to start. Not sure what the point was… to validate your own disappointment or to say no one knows how to measure snow… -
Thompson, CT?
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The E Sandwich COOP is 21". Your total was also 21"? I might remove it. There was a crazy gradient there with far SE MA getting well into 30s. 37 in Bliss corner for example, 30.1 in Wareham. On barnstable it dropped off but there was a report of 28" in N Falmouth, however the 21 in E Sandwich does make more sense than 31. Just so tough with these with wind, drifting, measuring etc. I can pull it...
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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
ORH_wxman replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Correct...when you are ripping 4" per hour, you are gonna have to some fluff factor even if there are winds. Sometimes the extreme rates can stabilize the winds a little in the heart of the banding....the snow itself acts a drag on it....which also helps ratios. -
I'm sensing the non-zero probability that the blizzard was the last storm we'll see. Low probability for now, but the thought popped in there when seing that this impending pattern change that others are attempting to psycho-babble erode the significance of..., appears to be surging in a little earlier than the 10th - which was the previous index suggestion. Still not totally sold on the timing aspects. Amid yesterday's runs this earlier notion started happening, and it probably led to those couple of GFS idea for an icing event along the BUF-BOS transit... Early warm push deals with lingering cold, etc. However, the 6z is gone, and the wave producing that has been re-positioned N-W ... It's all an homage to what and where the hemisphere wants to do and go. May have to wait out a warm burst and see if there's a later month blue-bonnet spring special. Otherwise, these indexes and operational tenors, et al, are signaling the end. Note, I'm not discussing the magnitude of the warm up... It's a recognition of the pattern foot and realism for March being a transition month with hot sun (hello). Which is unfortunately for the winter fans gathering around old man's winter bed, bad pattern health timing.
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he made a youtube video, as we thought...F storm everythings too high by 10-20"
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"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
dendrite replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
PVD depth is 31” this morning…so they’ve lost 11” since near the end of the peak of the storm. -
"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.
dendrite replied to Ginx snewx's topic in New England
Those rates were large enough that there was a period where they were racking up high ratio snows. Compaction is real especially with big totals like that. I think it’s a little insulting to assume everyone in that 30”+ zone doesn’t know how to measure new snowfall…especially paid, trained observers at PVD.
