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  2. Snowedin
    Solar max or solar freeze your ass off minimum..this is still a great time to get out and keep that glorious nape going strong or perhaps get it going for the first time if you’re one of those unfortunate chilly loving punks!
  3. Stormlover74
    Yes its fizzling fast
  4. NEG NAO
    main line comes through this evening BUT some areas MIGHT experience a pop up storm prior IMO
  5. CheeselandSkies
    6th anniversary of the Big Wind Bag of 2020:
  6. GaWx
    Mainly for entertainment: The image below is the TT E US 2m mean of the last 12 CFSv2 for Feb ‘27. It is extremely cold from the C Plains to the SE US with anomalies of -8 to -11 F even vs 1984-2009 climo, which is a bit colder than 1991-2020! It’s just about as cold there as the frigid Febs of 1978, 1958, and 1905 and is a bit colder than Febs of 2015, 2010, 1968, 1963, 1947, and 1902. It isn’t quite as cold as the record coldest, 1895:
  7. sbnwx85
    Legit laughed out loud at that output. What do you mean an Illinois MCS won’t do a U-turn and move northwest and slam into another random MCS in Iowa?
  8. A-L-E-K
  9. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
    Maple Trust Rx [url=http://mapletrustrx.com/#]medications canada[/url] pharmstore canada
  10. tamarack
    We probably step off the summer plateau on Wednesday. After 42 days (July 1 thru tomorrow) with our mean between 65 and 66, August 12 is likely to be 64.xy, as the long slide begins. (The equivalent winter bottom is much shorter - the period within 1° F of the current coldest, 13.55°, is only 12 days, January 18-29.)
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yup...which is why they are my two top polar analogs.
  12. SnowGoose69
    Looks like 23-01z. Some models suggest activity tomorrow well north of the mid-Atlantic activity, likely keying in on a boundary or subtle shortwave but I'm thinking tomorrow is dry
  13. NEG NAO
    its shrinking as it moves east - also there are no severe warnings with it SPC about 2 hours ago thought a watch was possible but no watch has been issued
  14. ineedsnow
    about to leave for the Southwick's zoo.. seems like a great day for it
  15. Stormlover74
    Looks like Middlesex on south for that first one
  16. GaWx
    1982-3 and 2015-6 are two super strong ones with both a +QBO and descending solar fwiw. 1957-8 was a super strong with a +QBO and was barely after peak.
  17. A-L-E-K
    nest with a goofy looking convective evolution hate seeing our friends in droughtville struggling
  18. Paleocene
    12z 3k NAM has a line moving thru the DC metro around 21z. Latest HRRRs are less enthused.
  19. *Flash*
    Good morning, all! Long time, no talk. I'm going to share more specific thoughts as we get closer to DJF, but for now I want to offer a reminder for those newer to the forum. When we start talking super ENSO, you're inevitably going to hear about the climatology-backed warm biases—and understandably so, given precedent. But speaking strictly as a layman with more than 30 years of lived weather experience in Middle Tennessee, I've learned not to equate the seasonal mean with our ability to capitalize on a winter-weather window. Those windows may be fewer or shorter in a super ENSO regime, but every super ENSO winter I've experienced here has still produced at least one notable storm to hang a hat on. Are we overdue for a dud? Absolutely. But some of the best winter-weather windows I've experienced have been sandwiched inside otherwise meh winters on paper. Give me a highly amplified, mobile, extreme pattern with radical variables in play, and I'll take my chances.
  20. cyclone77
    The early morning round that some of the models had for this area ended up not existing. Looks like the late day action will be another northeast IL hit. Dogshit pattern lol.
  21. NEG NAO
    # 1 threat with these storms this afternoon is the wind - usually strongest right at the beginning of the storm unless one is in an MCS complex where it lasts most of the storm
  22. yoda
    So are the storms currently in Ohio the ones we should be watching for this afternoon?
  23. forkyfork
    warm and rainy
  24. CoastalWx
    He's just regurgitating what the ECMWF shows.
  25. WxUSAF
    Rain looks just about done
  26. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
    Maple Trust Rx: Maple Trust Rx - Maple Trust Rx
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