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  2. Fast moving, not super dynamic and marginal temperature profiles in early December. Not the greatest recipe for widespread SNE snows. We’ll see what happens, but the GFS sort of had this one sniffed out. I’m hoping the mesos don’t continue to warm the mid levels.
  3. Sure. Event hasn’t even started but let’s just say it’s over. Maybe then the people that post in this thread will be the ones who are happy to see a couple flakes
  4. Well at least we are all used to this by now, shouldn’t really surprise anyone. By tonight it’ll show rain in Poconos. How do they say…wash,rinse, repeat
  5. The ARW’s are very warm as well. I understand them overall biased cold so I find that interesting.
  6. Yup right on queue for the Christmas Torch
  7. it’s December 1 today but week 1 is done. So really it’s December 8 for our purposes.
  8. so the storm tomorrow is now rain up to Kingston. The storm Friday disappeared. Now we’re in mid December. Great.
  9. Or at the very least a few more snowblower purchases.
  10. Parade of clippers would be nice to see for once.
  11. Ray is on the line too. I know it’s tough. I hate to see anyone get screwed. But can’t let it get to you. If it did, I’d be 6 feet under.
  12. Yeah right. Because the pattern ahead is offering so much opportunity . This one hurts
  13. I'm trying to figure out what Ray's doin' in the same bathroom where Kevin's taking a bath
  14. The biggest things is getting into climatology that supports snow in the valleys. It is well within precedent to snow, but the likelihood is just lower until we hit mid-December. This is a good pattern, but just a bit too early in the season as the cold just isn't as deep.
  15. So we can’t have some fun? I have a lot of experience with this since 2022. Just have to go along with it. At least it’s 12/2 and not 2/2.
  16. I am still baffled at no warnings, 5-11" is a big range 18 hours out Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk
  17. Hi-Res models coming in a little juiced/phased... Looks like things may bump north a bit with a more neutral trough. We shall see!
  18. You guys in Sullivan should do very well with this. Rock Hill, MSV areas are prob a lock for 6-8". As long as we dont see any sneaky warmth in the mid levels here in northern orange we should be good for 4"+
  19. Where is the pic of Ray dropping the toaster into Kevin‘s bathtub? Is that possible?
  20. They issued that before this last minute model do over
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