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  2. weatherwiz
    I'd actually be shocked if the ICON wasn't
  3. scoob40
    3.18" for the total at CEF.
  4. Santa Claus
    i love the rain because i am pure of heart and soul
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Despite a short heat wave near the 4th of July, this month turned out cooler and drier compared to last year at my cooperative observation site (RSTM2). July 2025 - 16, 90 degree days & monthly precip total of 6.5" July 2026 - 10, 90 degree days & monthly precip total of 3.6"
  6. ineedsnow
    Euro also has something just not as robust.. ICON also faintly seeing it
  7. LakePaste25
    97-98 was not half bad for the Great Lakes/SNE if i remember correctly. December ‘97 was decent here while it was a total shutout in 2015.
  8. GaWx
    1. The July SOI comes in way down at -26.8, by far the lowest July SOI on record. The only lower ones during met. summer were the -27.7 in June of 1905 and the -27.0 in June of 1896, both incoming El Niños. 2. This brings us to 82 straight days of -SOI. Going back to when records are readily available (since 1991), this is second only to the 100 days of 1998! It’s too early to tell whether or not the current streak will reach 100 days.
  9. Snowacane
    Hit 59 last night, fall is coming!!
  10. Weather Will
    WB 6Z GEFS and EPS thru Day 5. Rain chances moving back in later on Sunday through Tuesday on Eastern shore.
  11. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  12. LakePaste25
    CANSIPS now getting close to a +4C ONI peak…
  13. George001
    I buy that for the mid atlantic but even up here? I’m concerned it will be too warm for sustained winter and we aren’t going to get the nickle and dime events we normally get.
  14. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  15. Stormlover74
    Monday looking rainy
  16. Brian5671
    Couldn't agree more. Very disruptive and destructive in places.
  17. Today
  18. weatherwiz
    Pretty classic wet microburst look on soundings if we can get anything to materialize
  19. stormy
    51.6 this morning. Depth, orientation and slow movement of ULL over OV in opposition to HP off the coast will determine who gets how much rain from Sunday - Tuesday. We need to start August as a wet month! I have only received 62% of normal for July.
  20. MN Transplant
    After no measurable rain in the last 9 days and the low dews over the last few, the lawn is crunchy. Sprinklers are on full send this morning.
  21. CoastalWx
    Monday could be interesting. We are juiced to the teets as far as. Moisture goes. If we can get decent shear like gfs has, could be severe in spots. At the least could be prolific rain and maybe decent ltg with those dews.
  22. CoastalWx
    Monday could be interesting. We are juiced to the teets as far as. Moisture goes. If we can get decent shear like gfs has, could be severe in spots. At the least could be prolific rain and maybe decent ltg with those dews.
  23. donsutherland1
    I was still editing and added an opening paragraph. This is projected to happen during climate change. I am not certain about seasonal variations, though June 2026 has been quite wet. A Finland publication describing climate change refers to increasing winter rains. https://itameri.fi/en/state-of-the-baltic-sea/climate-change/ This year, January-February were drier than normal in Scandinavia, but March was wetter than normal.
  24. weatherwiz
    Looks like a typical GFS fantasy storm
  25. GaWx
    Thanks, Don. But do you have any comments on the wet W, C, and N Europe (~+7”/year) averaged out year-round 2016-25 per the map I posted and how it does or doesn’t relate to CC?
  26. Damage In Tolland
    Monday seems kind of meh
  27. frd
    060 FXUS61 KPHI 311012 AFDPHI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 612 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... The timing of the late weekend/early next week frontal system has slowed a bit, with Sunday now looking mostly dry and most precipitation coming in Sunday Night into Monday. A Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall was added for areas along and north/west of the I-95 corridor on Monday. Updated aviation discussion for 12z TAFs. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1. Tranquil weather takes over through Saturday though a few very isolated sea-breeze showers cannot be ruled out this afternoon. 2. A frontal system on Sunday and Monday will bring the next opportunity for widespread showers and thunderstorms. Increasing confidence in potential heavy rain on Monday.
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