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We’re about to see another slow torturous trend of a miss huh? Haha

It's down to 34 already!

Good call earlier.

AIFS median was a horrific drop, though. Won’t post since there are minors but DCA went from a median of like 5.5” down to 2”

Counted about 21 members at 18Z with accumulation v. 9 members at 12Z.

One reason why the ECMWF may be off on its own, it may not being handling (or handling better?) the Wed and Fri events. A lot IMHO hinges on how those impact things upstream and downstream. This is not a your typical calm pre-storm environment. It's a bit "crowded" aloft as to s/w. Subtle differences can magnify greatly as to details in 4-5 days.

majority of ensemble members have yet to fully support the OPS - except maybe an AI ensemble which is not a proven in the long term to be accurate yet - so they never actually lost the storm

If that 10PM observation for tonight comes to pass, it would be so epic to be there!

Told y'all something was brewing lol

Words of wisdom!

It’s rare for sure. Can you squeeze out a love song for us? Faithfully by Journey maybe ?

The water treatment plant on 295. Nice and smelly.

Can we get that tucked inside the elbow? Asking for a friend.

New maximum daily rainfall records were set at DFW and Lubbock over the weekend, also. Both old records are from 2017.

Which snowman here is obsessed with wind events? This could be your storm

1. Which Major Players are NOT showing it? 2. How many times has the GFS or Euro shown a Major Storm almost exactly the same way for 8 tim’s in a row? I can’t Believe the negativity on this thing. The only fun here is Kevin and I are on the same page for Once.

Nice! I see you .. you see me !!!

We’re getting recon data tonight and 00z tom

I saw people arguing about it so I posted the maps. Data may be wrong but it is what it is.

I didn't say it was gone, Its still days away but today's trends have been less favorable, You still need to weigh the euro even if its been off, Still plenty of time left on this, Need to get past tomorrow and see where Saturday ends up first, Otherwise we follow the trends.

No, his classic line when I would downplay an event, he'd always go, "WE'LL SEE!!!"

I'd have this event as highly likely nothing right now if the initial storm Friday was more of a pure coastal low, but because its more GL low transferring I am not quite as worried about the whole baroclinic zone/trof etc being forced east making it AS hard for the followup system to get going. I am still leaning more than slightly though that this thing whiffs.

Everyone needs to calm. This is the one. The winter finale.

As long as the machines look like this at H5 we’re in the game