All Activity
- Past hour
-
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It definitely has been wet here this month. -
It's time to grade Winter 2025-26(now that it's actually over)
CAPE replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
It snowed in D,J,F,M. Brutal cold period after the glacier. 3 weeks with snow/ice cover- that period ending up bone dry was the one nitpick. The Feb storm topped it off with 10". Over climo with 22.7"- and my measurements are usually low because I typically measure what's otg as I am often not home during the whole storm. (There was a report from an EM in Greensboro of 14" in the Feb storm). Anyway.. A- Had there been even a modest 2-4" snow event on top the Glacier I probably would have gone with a perfect score. -
How many times within a short period of time is Eric Webb going to Tweet essentially the same thing regarding his feeling about a near certain super Nino? Does anyone recall when he kept Tweeting over and over about a near record strong WWB occurring in Feb. that never occurred? He loves to be bombastic. Snowman, Don, and myself commented about this being a big bust in the 25-26 thread:
-
How many times within a short period of time is Eric Webb going to Tweet essentially the same thing regarding his feeling about a near certain super Nino being jump started by a very strong WWB? Does anyone recall when he kept Tweeting over and over about a near record strong WWB occurring in Feb. that never occurred?
-
Not much rain here either like .10
-
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
pawatch replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Picked up .67” off the storms. 45 degrees this morning and windy. Not really sure I’m in agreement with the drought map. -
Nice to Stein. Do not need or want any more rain for a month
-
It's time to grade Winter 2025-26(now that it's actually over)
Terpeast replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
Solid B. It was a frustrating tracking season for the most part, but the last two snows in March really lifted us. The snowcrete storm and month long snowcover was what made the winter, and we stat-padded our way to median climo. Also, mby got at least 2” for each of the 4 winter months. -
2026-2027 El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The Atlantic is very interesting now too….have we finally, at long last flipped to a -AMO cycle? The last time we were in a -AMO cycle was the tail end of the 1970’s through 1995….. @Stormchaserchuck1 -
-
Yup, .11" last 24 hrs here, temp now down to 42/chill@38 breezy.... shop heat back on
-
Very little rain here, just enough to wet the ground
-
Well, he lives near you, doesn’t he?
-
Rain had some crazy high rates, but thankfully nothing crazy as far as wind here during the storm. It was a nice warm, windy afternoon yesterday.
-
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
If we ever merged with NY I’d delete my account the next day. Way too many weenies and blowhards up there. Imagine dealing with multiple mickeytims every year? No thanks. Some, I assume, are good people. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
0.50 in Day 0.69 in Event 1.55 in Week 6.48 in Month 8.33 in Year Well I'm over the 6 inch mark for rainfall for March,. -
2026-2027 El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
23-24 was similar in strength for total Nino 1+2 to Nino 4 SST warmth and would have registered a peak ONI around +2.4 C had they not changed the baseline making the departure artificially smaller. This is one of the challenges of measuring the El Niño in a warming world. The winter temperatures in North America and 500 ridge was of super El Niño intensity. But the stronger subtropical ridging didn’t allow for the typical Aleutian Trough strength and the Nino trough we typically see in the Southern and Eastern U.S. This could be a function of the continuing mid-latitude marine heatwaves overlapping wit the ENSO influence like we have frequently seen over the last decade. This effectively means that a super El Niño using the weaker RONI started somewhere near +1.4C with the SST configuration we had in 23-24. -
Starting to rain, because God forbid I should ever get to walk to the metro station on a morning that's mild enough to not need a jacket without being rained on!
-
What the hell happened to the rain? Less than a 10th of an inch.
-
- Today
-
Impressive back door gradient between the CT Shoreline and NJ. My average high has been 47.2° vs 55.3° at Newark. So I haven’t been getting the record warmth that the rest of the CONUS has. Climatological Data for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT - March 2026 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Sum 1226 808 - - 668 0 4.79 Average 47.2 31.1 39.1 1.3 - - - Normal 46.2 29.4 37.8 - 707 0 2026-03-01 41 26 33.5 -1.2 31 0 T 2026-03-02 27 15 21.0 -13.9 44 0 0.00 2026-03-03 34 15 24.5 -10.6 40 0 0.41 2026-03-04 48 28 38.0 2.6 27 0 0.10 2026-03-05 40 28 34.0 -1.6 31 0 0.75 2026-03-06 39 35 37.0 1.2 28 0 0.31 2026-03-07 41 34 37.5 1.4 27 0 0.09 2026-03-08 55 35 45.0 8.7 20 0 T 2026-03-09 64 30 47.0 10.4 18 0 0.00 2026-03-10 63 31 47.0 10.2 18 0 0.00 2026-03-11 60 41 50.5 13.4 14 0 0.30 2026-03-12 53 32 42.5 5.2 22 0 0.22 2026-03-13 39 31 35.0 -2.6 30 0 0.00 2026-03-14 47 30 38.5 0.7 26 0 0.00 2026-03-15 42 29 35.5 -2.6 29 0 0.00 2026-03-16 55 40 47.5 9.1 17 0 1.68 2026-03-17 53 31 42.0 3.3 23 0 0.01 2026-03-18 35 26 30.5 -8.4 34 0 0.00 2026-03-19 38 28 33.0 -6.2 32 0 0.00 2026-03-20 49 27 38.0 -1.5 27 0 0.08 2026-03-21 53 41 47.0 7.2 18 0 0.00 2026-03-22 48 40 44.0 3.9 21 0 0.17 2026-03-23 49 35 42.0 1.6 23 0 0.67 2026-03-24 46 31 38.5 -2.2 26 0 0.00 2026-03-25 48 28 38.0 -3.0 27 0 0.00 2026-03-26 59 41 50.0 8.6 15 0 0.00 2026-03-27 M M M M M M M 2026-03-28 M M M M M M M 2026-03-29 M M M M M M M 2026-03-30 M M M M M M M 2026-03-31 M M M M M M M Climatological Data for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - March 2026 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Sum 1437 963 - - 486 3 3.71 T - Average 55.3 37.0 46.2 4.4 - - - - 0.1 Normal 50.0 33.5 41.8 - 605 0 3.48 5.1 2026-03-01 44 29 36.5 -1.8 28 0 T T 1 2026-03-02 34 21 27.5 -11.0 37 0 0.00 0.0 1 2026-03-03 38 30 34.0 -4.8 31 0 0.42 T T 2026-03-04 47 37 42.0 2.9 23 0 T 0.0 0 2026-03-05 44 39 41.5 2.2 23 0 1.62 0.0 0 2026-03-06 43 37 40.0 0.4 25 0 0.16 0.0 0 2026-03-07 50 37 43.5 3.7 21 0 T 0.0 0 2026-03-08 73 48 60.5 20.4 4 0 T 0.0 0 2026-03-09 73 44 58.5 18.1 6 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-10 82 46 64.0 23.3 1 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-11 82 53 67.5 26.6 0 3 0.35 0.0 0 2026-03-12 64 35 49.5 8.3 15 0 0.07 T 0 2026-03-13 45 30 37.5 -4.0 27 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-14 53 34 43.5 1.7 21 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-15 46 36 41.0 -1.1 24 0 T 0.0 0 2026-03-16 67 45 56.0 13.6 9 0 0.60 0.0 0 2026-03-17 47 31 39.0 -3.7 26 0 T 0.0 0 2026-03-18 37 25 31.0 -12.0 34 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-19 44 32 38.0 -5.3 27 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-20 66 35 50.5 6.9 14 0 0.07 0.0 0 2026-03-21 60 48 54.0 10.1 11 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-22 64 44 54.0 9.7 11 0 0.08 0.0 0 2026-03-23 52 35 43.5 -1.1 21 0 0.33 0.0 0 2026-03-24 50 32 41.0 -3.9 24 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-25 55 34 44.5 -0.8 20 0 0.00 0.0 0 2026-03-26 77 46 61.5 15.9 3 0 0.01 0.0 0 2026-03-27 M M M M M M M M M 2026-03-28 M M M M M M M M M 2026-03-29 M M M M M M M M M 2026-03-30 M M M M M M M M M 2026-03-31 M M M M M M M M M
-
This wasn't a sudden end though. This winter was basically from early Decemver to end of February. Non stop cold and storms to track.
-
-
-
2026-2027 El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This basin-wide warming across the North Pacific overwhelming the PDO is something new. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02482-z Pan-basin warming now overshadows robust Pacific Decadal Oscillation The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) has served as a key index linking basin-scale climate variability to marine ecosystem changes in the North Pacific. However, recent apparent breakdowns of PDO–ecosystem correlations have raised concerns about the stability of the mode and its continued relevance in a warming climate. Here we show that basin-wide warming now overwhelms PDO-related sea surface temperature (SST) variability, although neither the PDO’s spatial pattern nor its strength have changed. We introduce the pan-basin pattern as a complementary index to describe the non-stationary SST baseline of the North Pacific. Regional SSTs increasingly reflect the superposition of these two signals, providing an explanation for weakened or inverted PDO–ecosystem correlations. Future use of the PDO index in management will require discerning the effects of internal dynamics from those of absolute changes in SST as extreme and no-analogue ocean conditions driven by interacting natural variability and anthropogenic warming become more common.
