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From everything that I am hearing about the super El Nino, it's not likely at all that we're going to have a very cold winter. The likelihood is milder than normal, but that doesn't mean we'll just have rain, even if we're a few degrees warmer than the average temps. We can still have big snow storms if everything is timed well. So hard to know. I think that's what keeps. All of us coming back is the unknown and the hope of what we'll see. At least we're heading in the right direction as far as seasons go for all of us snow lovers

Rough game....

Beating a dead horse, but it appears that the entire precip field is getting eroded as it approaches w Suffolk.

Dumpage right now..it must be a hell of a sight down in places like Brant rock, scituate, revere and the usual spots with waves crashing against the shore. I think we’ll see a few good boulders, maybe even the odd old scooner or two washed up when things begin to settle down late sun!

Let’s keep this going through March. With Arctic highs of course.

Be careful you may be accused of hyping. Just five decades ago this was just a little rain shower!

Early in the season too. Pretty good storm in late September.

I’m in a safe spot luckily.

One of the more impressive looking daytime wind/rainstorms I can remember around here. Leaves on the trees helps a lot!

Be careful what you wish for. A bird might sneeze and SW CT gets a flood.

I'm in Cranston near the Johnston Providence line. Been coming in in sheets. Lasts about 10 to 15 minutes. Wind cranks while it's pouring. Sitting at 1.83".

so far at home I've got.31" new, and the highest gust was 28 sustained is around 10-15 but wavering... tonight will be different say from 10 onward.

Up to 14.99% in Ulster County.

.13” so far. Was nice this morning and now breezy, rainy and chilly. Love it

Heavy heavy drizzle and breezy , hopefully that stuff to the southeast rotates in

It just keeps eroding. Rain totals may vary greatly over a matter of miles.

I’m under .05”.

18Z RGEM rains

Nice rain back here north of Winchester

Tropical storm out there.

if only this was a couple months later... let's hope we can get a monster or two this winter, with the ENSO placement further west than normal, it's going to be hard for models to get a handle on what happens, and the AK low, NAO, polar vortex split etc, we could end up with a rat or something special, I'm on the fence. I'd like a mild winter winter cold storms, heating bill gon suck if it's cold like last couple seasons...

Raining steadily in Dulles. Wind has dropped somewhat.

Yeah, most of the tropical convection is very east based with the MC completely shut down (finally, after 10 years). Interestingly there is some remaining convection right around the dateline or just to the east of it. If I loop the forecast forward, that piece stays there. I think it may actually help us a bit this winter if it keeps going. If not, and it stays this east based, that won’t be good news for our cold/snow chances.

Went from a beautiful sunny day in Hagerstown to steady light rain for the last couple of hours. Quick way to ruin a weekend.