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Is it triple phasing like the Euro?

0z CMC is awful. Way to warm for most.

This storm is definitely going to paralyze TN for a few days.

Scary thing is the north trends better stop now lol…

Mix is part of it if you want the goods. Unfortunately.

It’s up past Baltimore - Winchester for a time

We all go to sleet the next panel

Canadian is def going to bring sleet into the picture. has a warm nose at around 700.

This I'm okay with. verbatim that's puking snow for so many of us HOLY SHIT LOOK AT THAT FUCKING FRONTOGENIC FORCING! its like over my house lol. either that's vomiting snow or sandblasting sleet but either way, wow!

00Z would have me buying candles if I live anywhere in SC or GA. Trends have not changed much for a crippling ZR event and we're creeping inside of 72 hours. Man the sails and secure the hatches lads.

CMC brings the mix line to just south of Philly sheeesh. Good for us though .

cmc huge hit

not loving the trends on the 00z suite so far. GFS looks more like a coastal than a slider, while the numbers looked good there isn't much more room for error left, and coastal influence definitely will hurt in RIC towards Hampton Roads. CMC jumped north 100 miles, now RIC is on the very southern edge of significant snow - it'll be a sleet bomb most likely.

Congrats to @brooklynwx99 on his CMC run! This run officially makes suppression no longer my biggest concern if we're going to have this much energy out west.

Bothe the gfs and the cmc build heights rapidly over the east coast and se canada from 84-102hrs. It went from slightly more risging to a lot more ridging fast. Thats what caused the shift.

The CMC is where NYC starts sniffing the sleet line....when will it stop?

QPF isn't that high for most in this subforum, 0.7 qpf given the temps etc seems reasonable for around a foot. If it trends north then it would be higher.

Good things can happen when you pump a ridge into the north pole.

Onward march northward. Must be crazy sleet with this run here in Lake Norman area

This place is like gooning central rn geez

Soooo. We realistically are still too north for the weekend system right? Kinda seems like a northern feature has sped up and is now phasing with the ejected cutoff and pumping up the SE ridge enough to just about get precipitation up this way? Would love an expert's opinion here lol

GFS AI AIFS

Yeah CMC is too much of a good thing, honestly.

GFS was the outlier to begin with.

If these are the new goalposts I think we can throw suppression worries out the window, lol