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Richmond Metro/Hampton Roads Area Discussion
Conway7305 replied to RIC Airport's topic in Mid Atlantic
this is interesting. The GFS ensembles do not appear to be north at all. In fact there are a lot of southern ensemble runs.lol -
January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential
Eskimo Joe replied to Ralph Wiggum's topic in Philadelphia Region
No pressure, just the hopes and dreams of every Delaware Valley snow weenie resting on your shoulders. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
SJonesWX replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
36" here, 47" at Rays house, and 50+" in S Wey. seems legit -
Late ECMWF DataSubscribe Investigating - We currently see no 12z data queued or being disseminated from ECMWF. We will process data as soon as they provide it. Jan 21, 2026 - 12:29 EST
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RLX has issued WSWatches
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Seems like a mixture of huge hits and whiffs. I wonder if the huge hits mix though.
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Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27
NJwx85 replied to TriPol's topic in New York City Metro
Basic physics tells you that you can’t run the upper level low into a 1038-1040mb high. If we didn’t have blocking it would be a completely different story. Heavy snow to a dry slot followed by the potential coastal on Monday is much more likely at this point than significant mixing issues. However, even 96 had some sleet up this way. Can’t rule it out but any guidance holding on to that primary North of say Pittsburg is likely wrong. -
0 consistency on that thing. EPS was much more similar for each member.
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Euro is definitely a bit late today.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
-2F for my low Not easy to get below zero these years -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
tamarack replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
56.8" where I grew up in NNJ? We had 50" there from Jan 19 thru Feb 4 in 1961, but the above shows 7" more and a week shorter. Can always go up from there. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
HIPPYVALLEY replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Ahhh, a voice of reason! -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
weatherwiz replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I've noticed the euro has been a bit late the past several days (at least on weathermodels). Even the 12z GFS bufkit was late on pennstate today -
This is all sorts of fucked, doesn't make much sense. I would love the GFS operational outcome but it also doesn't really make sense. Mentally throwing out the GFS fam 12z suite.
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Maybe I am wrong, but It seems that forecasts were more accurate/nuanced back then. Maybe not, but I wonder if reliance on tech has made people less likely to analyze all the possibilities, maybe even the hesitancy of even considering certain patterns because they are too much in the contrarian camp. The dependency of relying on AI and computer modeling I think causes us to lose aspects of human intuition.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dryslot replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Late ECMWF Data Subscribe Investigating - We currently see no 12z data queued or being disseminated from ECMWF. We will process data as soon as they provide it. Jan 21, 2026 - 12:29 EST -
Weather Underground showing all rain event for my area south of ATL. Strange. Temps above 32 until Sunday at midnight.
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LOL. I have a feeling there will be more... a lot more.
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We all should really wait until 00z tonight when the new data is in. That’s when we should either celebrate or panic
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1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to AMZ8990's topic in Tennessee Valley
met on southwernwx is saying the euro and euro aifs are delayed... -
North Georgia Winter Storm Watch: WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to 4 inches and ice accumulations greater than one quarter inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of north central, northeast, and northwest Georgia. * WHEN...From late Friday night through Monday morning. * IMPACTS...Expect power outages and tree damage due to the ice. Travel could be impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. Persons should consider delaying all travelSaturday and Sunday. If travel is absolutely necessary, drive with extreme caution. Consider taking a winter storm kit along with you, including such items as booster cables, flashlight, shovel, blankets and extra clothing. Also take water, a first aid kit, and anything else that would help you survive in case you become stranded. .
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Thrasher, Notice who has been left out of all that!
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Banking on something not even to CA coast much less formed and moving probably should not be in a forecast
