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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  4. The last three charts are from Larry Cosgrove's winter forecast. He included some of the CanSIPS maps too.
  5. Wizards are already at 22% of last year's win total through 7 games this year lol
  6. I don't religiously follow or listen to just a few accounts on Twitter but I really like this write up by this one user. We really do need some miracle like Jan 2016 if we want to see a decent snowstorm this year probably. But every year and El Nino is different in its own unique ways that aren't always fully apparent. I do agree with them this one will stay east based. Also I was looking at record highs for the months of Nov Dec and you see the other two super el nino year's pop up a couple times with 1998 and 2015 https://x.com/WeatherSphere22/status/2117343739295240430
  7. Today
  8. How am I coping? Address the actual points, leave the lazy ad hominem at home. And it's not straw man. I didn't make those statements about NYC March snow since 2020.
  9. RIP NAM model as we transition to the RRFS tomorrow.
  10. Exactly. Cansips is set in Stone. It's going to take quite the turnaround to make me think there's a possibility of a Cansips outlook outcome.
  11. A lot of Bears fan in Seattle apparently
  12. The Connecticut river, where it meets the Deerfield in Turners Falls, is pretty much as low as I’ve ever seen it. Have lunch at the Wagon Wheel on Rt 2 sometime. Good comfort food.
  13. 1982-83 was a rough winter for the Dakotas regarding seasonal snowfall totals: Grand Forks ND: 16.9" of snow (31.5" below normal) Aberdeen SD: 18.9" of snow (23.8" below normal) Fargo ND: 23.2" of snow (28.2" below normal) Rapid City SD: 24.9" of snow (23.5" below normal) Bismarck ND: 32.2" of snow (18.3" below normal) International Falls MN: 46" of snow (26.9" below normal) However, some other places across the upper Midwest ended up near normal to even well above normal like Duluth, Minneapolis, Marquette, other portions of Wisconsin and UP Michigan. So it's important to remember that, even on these maps showing a blazing red torch across the upper Midwest, it's all relative to normal and it can still snow there.
  14. I have located something known as a "mid-latitude storm," with something called "snow," and "rain," around Denver. I haven't heard of these creatures for a long time.
  15. It’s been really dry upstream of there. We need some rain.
  16. The Wizards won again and held an opponent to under 100 points. Hmmm
  17. 05/06 -15/16, 7 of those marches had 2" or less here with 5 having 0 snow. Other long stretches over the years have happened too if you look at hiatory.Its just plain dumb when people declare march snows have ended, no other way around it.
  18. PolarWx has a history going back to 1958-59 https://www.polarwx.com/strat/#history
  19. https://x.com/commoditywx/status/2117313687887171752?a=Zg5oH9FXThn1Pewn078&s=46
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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  21. Today, Bridgeport, New York City (Central Park), and White Plains recorded highs of 66° and lows of 43°. Today is the first day on record that all three stations had identical high and low temperatures.
  22. Midwest Weather 3 hours ago · Another piece to the puzzle behind my high confidence in potential polar vortex impacts overpowering the strong El Niño pattern after the 20th of this month. We continue to see consistent signals for an extended period of negative NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) and AO (Arctic Oscillation) phases. The main thing currently fighting against this setup is the positive EPO (Eastern Pacific Oscillation), which is allowing milder Pacific air to influence the pattern. However, around the 20th, that is expected to trend negative as well, driven by the ongoing Stratospheric Warming Event. This would put all three major teleconnections in favorable phases for Arctic air to spill into the Midwest and Northeast. The image on the left shows a classic negative AO/NAO/EPO pattern associated with a disrupted polar vortex, while the image on the right highlights the negative NAO teleconnection. Interesting times ahead! See less
  23. Unseasonable warmth will prevail through much of the first week of November. Parts of the region will likely reach or exceed 70° tomorrow through Thursday. Dry conditions will likely persist until late in the week. The potential exists for a 1.00" or greater rainfall Friday into Saturday. Behind the storm, cooler but not especially cold air will move into the region during the weekend or early next week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.4°C for the week centered around October 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +5.22°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +3.27°C. ENSO Region 1+2 breaks the all-time record while 3.4 ties the all-time record. The ongoing strong El Niño, will peak either this month or December. The SOI was -17.56 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.384 today.
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    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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