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george

Bourbon in hand. Lets go. If it sucks, there is more bourbon.

Here's a link to the 18z GGEM. Yes, the GGEM and not the Rgem. The GGEM runs at 6z and 18z too, but as far as I know, only Meteocentre has it; I'm sure you may be able to find it somewhere else, so have at it. The region I chose from the top of the page is Quebec because it's as close in to our area as you can get on this dos based website. Anyway, the link below is for precip totals that fall as snow during the 84hr forecast period in mm. Basically, the dark blue stripe across central MD is at least 5mm, or .2". So figure 2"-3" at 10:1. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?mod=cmc_gdps&run=18&type=SN&lang=en&map=qc&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest Other info for the model are here: https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest

this reminds me of Nemo but the opposite. euro was on the western front that time showing 36 inches for NYC, ended up with like 8 inches. also gfs ended up showing the most eastern solutions than lost it for a day than brought it back! Euro never wavered until the storm was about to hit! this reminds me of that but the opposite meaning GfS should start showing western hits again by tonight the latest otherwise my theory is wrong. Also euro isn't as good since that last upgrade a few years back theory is euro won't cave west until go time, gfs will keep trending snowier convinced we live in a simulation

Who was the guy that used to come in and just post a couple times during the winter. "Models are wrong big blizzard!" Maybe a bit off. Blizz 24 or something similar?

I don’t think Saturday is widespread enough for most

Sunday threat isn’t dead yet. GEFS keeps this subforum in the game. RGEM and RRFS bring the precip shield way west too.

He’s just the pope…with a different handle I think.

yes i did but just trust me on this just this one time if euro stays course and gfs shows a bigger hit in the next 6-12 hours than i want an apology otherwise im just a poor that feens for snow, deal?

Great, now there's flat earthers here...

Didn't you already get scolded by 40/70 for posting this?

i'm convinced we live in a simulation

Cocked?

What about not getting skunked Saturday?

Good points. I do think AI currently has solid value beyond just "tame patterns". In any case, just wait until we have a blend of AI, physical inputs, and quantum computing. In a way, I hope modelling doesn't get too good, it will take the fun out this. Like watching the UConn women play Xavier or some team like that.

WRAL predicting 34-37 degree snow , sleet Sunday ugghh

Completely different setup. The pattern is more progressive.

bro what

The January formula for having a chance to save this winter: 1. Don’t get skunked Sunday (at least give a chunk of the region a few inches…doesn’t need to be massive) 2. Grab a warning event out of the SWFE pattern late next week/weekend 3. Grab a major event out of the El Niño +PNA pattern between 1/26-1/30.

This is your storm, make it so

this reminds me of Nemo but the opposite. euro was on the western front that time showing 36 inches for NYC, ended up with like 8 inches. also gfs ended up showing the most eastern solutions than lost it for a day than brought it back! Euro never wavered until the storm was about to hit! this reminds me of that but the opposite meaning GfS should start showing western hits again by tonight the latest otherwise my theory is wrong. Also euro isn't as good since that last upgrade a few years back and

Yeah, the op runs are finally showing some hits now. Now we can officially switch gears.

i said this earlier... anyone have a memory of what happened three days before nemo hit. how did the models behave? this reminds me of Nemo but the opposite. euro was on the western front that time showing 36 inches for NYC, ended up with like 8 inches. also gfs ended up showing the most eastern solutions than lost it for a day than brought it back! Euro never wavered until the storm was about to hit! this reminds me of that but the opposite meaning GfS should start showing western hits again by tonight the latest otherwise my theory is wrong. Also euro isn't as good since that last upgrade a few years back and

Let’s get the euro something better than a Cape scraper. At least get some advisory stuff to E MA coast and we’ll have something to work with at 3 days out.

GFS is storm after storm