All Activity

I agree. It was good to see the sunshine.

Tomorrow and Wednesday will be variably cloudy days. A few locations could see a shower, but dry weather should be predominant. Highs should reach the lower and middle 60s. Some rain and showers are possible Thursday and Friday. The extent of the precipitation will depend on the track of a developing storm. For now, the system looks to pass far enough from the region to produce lighter to perhaps moderate amounts of precipitation. Uncertainty exists. Temperatures will remain unseasonably cool throughout the week with highs mainly in the lower and middle 60s. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.0°C for the week centered around September 16. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.73°C. Both ENSO regions have tied their all-time warmest anomalies. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The SOI was -23.00 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.435 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 65% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 68.5° (0.7° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Just got smoked by a cell, 25 mph gusts and already .9 inch rain. Temp bombed to 70F from 90F in 20min

Yeah only 70° on Sunday…would like a few more degrees for picking honeycrisp.

Get used to that

1.28" this afternoon. Shocked we did so well. 3.17" for the month; the first time I've exceeded 3" since May (there you go Raven).

GFS still not there but better

Gfs alot further west

In all fairness to my earlier GFS post, the rest of the models all have this affecting us one way or the other…just depends on the severity which is why I found the GFS surprising.

Is this finally ushering in the wet pattern or is it another head fake?

That sounds nice, ha. High of 57F and now 50F here.

18z GFS AI still east but closer to SNE this run

I think it will get pulled back west a bit more this run.. lower pressures east of NC

18z GFS pretty much looks identical to 12z so far, maybe a tad more to the west?

If EDC is the problem, we are in big trouble for years to come and Lamar's ring is out the window--because Biscotti is not firing him unless the team continues to fail to make the playoffs. I am hoping that it's just that EDC has a blindspot/stubbornness for just the OL as opposed to the DNA of the players he drafts. The ladder would be the worst case scenario. The former I think can be overcome eventually (although whether that's this year remains to be seen. I think the SB window is gonna be between now and the end of next season.)

They gotta be smoking something really strong to go against the major models.

Season was over in July

Wild still 63-70 in CT

Kind of crazy it’s just suddenly the time of year where it drops into the 40s at like 6pm.

I look at it this way: It's possible that this could be a sign of growth on his part that carries over into next year. And also...of all the horrible ABs we've seen with RISP this year, that was by far THE stupidest: so bad that he couldn't help but call it out.

It seems unification has taken a backseat to 'quantum gravity'. It may be that in efforts to unify the 4 forces ...they keep running into a mathematical wall they can't get over because they've slaved the logic to (inevitably) needing to Quantize gravity - which I wonder if that can be done. But again, I don't believe that is possible in 'this' universe. Paraphrasing before ... gravity may have a field equation/origin that is different from its force - 'why' the force emerges. My conjecture is a Plank scale "pixerlarium" flow of information density. Analogous to how electrical flow produces a corresponding magnetic field - as an oddly useful analog. The former form ... it's not electrons, however. It's "bytes" of "god code" Only the gravity field is a monopole ... whereas magnetic monopoles have not yet been conclusively observed in nature. One creepy idea I was dancing with is that it is dipolar but the other side is "on the other side" It's kind of like starting out with a goal that would eventually require quantum gravity. Why not? every metric in physical math is quantum or can be quantized. But, my conjecture is that Einsteinian/GTR emerges out of Quantum Mechanics - trying to reconcile the math in either direction would then become a universal, improper epistemic direction. Another way to describe "synergistic heredity" is a "grand projector theory" Imagine the analog, a reel-to-reel cinema machine humming away... The gears inside are the plank mechanics, the lens is the quantum mechanical 'event horizon' and the the screen is the result. Machine --> Lens --> Reality. We are the far right. GTR is the mathematics of the far right result. Not the source. I don't believe Quantum Mechanics is the source, either. Again, the pixelarium is where the discussion begins in this holistic idea. Hint hint... a black hole event horizon is a boundary in which the complete reality wave function collapses - reality as we know it suffers decomposition at that boundary ... perhaps a distorted sort of "primordial" version. The "object" lurking inside is pure Plank information - if the information slows below the pixel-to-pixel 'communication' rate of one C, all heredity ceases. No reality. Not as we know it. There is no state of no pixels. The entire physical volume of the cosmos is pixels. There is no 'space in between' in that sense. More over, the most fundamental/rudimentary information level is 0 point energy. The information has a fixed transmission rater of one C at 0 point energy. Otherwise known as the vacuum energy density. 10¹⁹ KeV A pixel is equivalent to a Plank unit .. roughly 10⁻³⁵ m As we add information - the drag is gravity but what is it dragging against? the expansion of the cosmos.

There is a tiny, stationary cell just pouring on my work, while my home a few miles to the north has nothing. Grr.

Media is starting to show the potential noreaster this weekend

A week left in the season and now he wants to manage… https://www.thebanner.com/sports/orioles-mlb/orioles-craig-albernaz-criticism-jeremiah-jackson-UVEFAY7AAVA4FD3NGXABIXKABM/?bis=article-action-link