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Never received even a sprinkle down here northern Waynesboro... 2nd time past 24 hours that occurred with a blob completely evaporating after appearing to be a cant miss...
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Not surprised we dont have a summer thread. VT is boring.
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1.3 mi path spinner moves thru 3 states!
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Euro weeklies have it around the 2nd week of July -
A buddy of mine is running the Highlands 40 through Dolly Sods this weekend, and a few of us non-runners got to our weekend rental a couple of hours ago. Absolutely spectacular night. I drove and though the others have gone to bed, i still need a little more time to relax and unwind after the drive. One more wee dram of whiskey on the porch should do it.
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Thanks for a personal experience report! Makes 95 w/ a 70 dew point feel "great", right?
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
For obvious reasons, I’m taking this with a humongous grain and thus assume this won’t verify closely: -
Experienced that in Kuwait several times. It can be dry as a bone and a few hours later the muck rolls in with winds off the gulf (Yes, normally in the mornings but not always). The humidity can be so thick when we'd go from the air conditioned comfort of an office building outside our phones would immediately sweat moisture all over the phone. It became a necessity to use an external cell phone holder to avoid a wet spot on your pants. (It's funny for about 5 mins and then gets to be a royal PITA) The humidity and Heat Index (HI) in India was a challenge also when the monsoon season rolled in (lived there 3 years). The HI was routinely off the charts for most western forecasting. The temps would "relax" from the 118-122 range in late May to a "mere" 108-114 or so with the humidity. Taking 3 showers a day was the norm.
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I count approx 90 wind reports for New England today. Not something CoastalWx can just go "MEH!" LOL. Looks like we have at least one spinner. I was thinking 1-2 spinners for the event all along. As WxWiz said, event about as expected. Limited CGs makes sense given the low CAPE. Funny, almost like a cool season event b/c of the high shear/low CAPE and limited LTG! So a victory for the models and pattern recognition well in advance.
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You can definately see the environmental wind shear from the cloud motions at different levels!
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That looks suspicious. Anytime you see trees sheared/snapped off mid-way like that, that suggests PSBL SPINNER!
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Max I see so far is 2.76" Kingfield ME. Meso models showed the NNE R+ well. Mt. Mansfield 2.08"
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That S+ event was truly exceptional! Even I was impressed! It takes a lot to impress me big for wx events these days. When you study wx history and records a lot, that tends to do that.
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Well, CoastalWx had a spinner in Weymouth a few years ago, and he is still EEYORE! How many of us can claim we had a spinner in New England history in their hometown, given how many cities/towns there are? My claim to fame is an F2 in late Oct 1925 in Woburn - the strongest spinner for so late in the season in New England.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If the 30C isotherm gets all the way to 140W (like the Copernicus is forecasting to happen by November), you aren’t going to have to worry about it. I think these big WWBs/DWKWs cause that entire WPAC/Indo warm pool to discharge and slosh east this time. This event isn’t playing -
Yes it is! For comparison, the July 10, 1989 "WxWiz PT event" (most spinners on record in one day in New England (9) and largest NEUS outbreak for spinners adding in ern NY/LI and nrn NJ (17), the sfc low that tracked across srn Quebec and nrn ME deepened "only" from 1000 to 998 mb during the event. However, this event had an excellent EML, and no upstream convection the day before, so EML pure!
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Have faith, it’s coming tonight
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Seems like Woodstock, VT saw a legit EF1 or EF2 tornado based on the photos and drone images. Enough to peel some roofing off and level trees.
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Alaskas beauty was incredible. Highly recommend a visit. They had a very harsh winter so there was still lots of snow left on the higher mountains and I got to enjoy multiple feet drifts haha. Also saw a massive glacier up close. What a way to run summer.
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I have had Zero measurable rain in Garner today A few hours ago we had gusts and the Big raindrops 3 feet part for 30 seconds It did drop the temp about 13-14 degrees
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Heat index at my parents house today hit 118. -
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Now that's stupid. What, now cancel everything for a slight risk of svr? We can't be "held hostage" by the wx for the mere fact there is risk out there! I am reminded of the 2009-10 winter when DCA got slammed and CoastalWx was shutout. The hype was SO out of control, locations in the Northeast such as BUF, that were not going to see a single flake of snow, they cancelled things b/c of the crazy storm hype. I recall OCMs from YYZ at an AMS conference in 2012 stating the stupid hype from the U.S. stations bleed into Canada, and that was messing things up in Toronto! This is one reason why I slam the MSM so much, this constant hype and installing fear is counterproductive for society. There are real social and economic costs/losses b/c of being put in a state of alert all the time. Every inclement wx is treated as "so dangerous." The ordinary gets turned into the extraordinary needlessly. How did society ever survive and progress back in the day before all this nonsense? Society is being turned into a bunch of softies, unable to handle physically or psychologically any risk/hazard.
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I was hoping for a little more but I'm starting to think I am the rain shield. So far .18" this evening. Better than the shut out. Radar looks to be quieting down now. One more last chance of maybe a heavier shower with that cluster near asheboro. looks good up I 85 towards the state line though.
