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I'm really looking forward to Sunday. I've been dreaming a lot lately about Barbers Interception, return in the 2002 championship game. I'm more than ready to see Eagle fans cry and go poo poo again. The city and fans have only got a whole lot smellier since 2002. I would have been an eagles fan, but at a young age I got tired of having to smell the city and the Eagles, Schuylkill river bathing fans.

WB 0Z GEFS still lot of uncertainty on Imelda to be location and intensity. Low to the east is Humberto.

Tomorrow (today technically) looks like the best weather day. Gonna be humid.

We have seen tropical storms go from nothing to a cat 4 in a day lately under the right conditions. I would not be surprised.

Yeah that didn't count, just a few hundredths.

0Z Can is also a miss. Rain does not even get to Norfolk....

What a ridge on the GFS

borders? Tabloid would be a step up for that rag.

This pattern reeks of surprises and changes to come in the models. So many moving parts but the big high over the top gives opportunities

All the humidity this week and we couldn't even get a quarter inch of rain out of it. Frustrating. I'm sure the moderate drought will be expanding across the area over the next couple weeks. Hopefully it won't get as bad as it was last fall.

The timing of that meant I relied on it so much for it to cancel at least one day of school and the weekend/week aftereffects where it fell apart was probably my worst week of high school. God, the fact that it just went the wrong way for 8 runs in a row when I just needed 2 inches was devastating.

Seattle is now 3-1 with Mike MacDonald as HC.. they were 10-7 last year with Geno Smith QB. Baltimore may have missed an opportunity when they didn't upgrade him to HC after the defense was #1, 2 years ago.

Looks like a nascent eye was trying to develop as of a few hours ago.

WB OZ ICON has Imelda Jo be approach SC coast but then spins out to sea. Rain only makes it into SE VA.

on air mets said the *improvements* happened because we got more sunshine than expected this afternoon lol

we had mostly sunny skies for awhile really nice

we're also due for a 1983 like summer where you can be 95-100 from June through September

Speculative at this point but I think anything from a TS to C3 are possible. I agree with the odds of a 4 being very low. I've said this elsewhere but we have to remember that major hurricane strikes along the east coast are actually pretty rare. Since 1990 there have only been three. Andrew '92, Fran '96, and Jeanne '04. Here, there's a window where this will likely intensify, but near the coast future Imelda may have to deal with the effects of southerly shear and dry air being imparted into the circulation. Along with cooler temperatures near the coast. That said, the Euro has intensification near landfall, probably because there should be a strong outflow channel to the north. Right now there is a robust mid-level circulation apparent on satellite. We really need to see how that translates as it reaches the high SST/OHC environment near the Bahamas tomorrow. Given its current appearance and how Humberto was able to more quickly develop and intensify in its environment, I do think it's on the board that this has an impressive appearance tomorrow if shear relents some.

Yep, we have to make our own forecasts now, the way they used to do it

ET phone home?

Shrimp mode on satellite, we likely have a hurricane soon

1993: In both human and economic terms the Great Flood of 1993 was the most devastating in modern U.S. history. It was a catastrophe across portions of 9 states with losses estimated up to $20 billion dollars. Over 50,000 homes were damaged or destroyed forcing the evacuation of some 54,000 people. In all the floods took 50 lives. Water level records were set at 49 places on the Missouri River system and at 43 places on the upper Mississippi River system. The flood was notable for its duration as well as its size. Flooding began in March with record floods beginning in May and continued into September. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) wow this was still going on?

But the storm itself is tracking to our NW so this can't be a surprise.

Instead of looking at models, perhaps it's better to look at storm tracks, when a storm tracks to our NW we typically see more scattered precipitation. Those 2-4 inch amounts were very unrealistic. Our rainfall pattern is cycling back to where we were in the 80s.

what was a mid Pliocene climate like and what kind of flora and fauna were around back then Don? is there any 3D simulation we can run to see what the Earth looked like in different eras and what kind of species were on the planet back then? I'm wondering if the Pliocene was the era of giant mammals like Baluchitherium, giant terror birds (Dinorthus), giant sloths, etc.