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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Buckethead replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Measured 2" just now. That's pretty much what GSP had for a storm total here. You guys upstream are going to like this! Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Well yesterday you loved the storm 12th-13th and felt great about it. So we lost that , lost the clipper Wednesday and now looking at Grinch .. oh man -
Im not expecting anything up here so good luck down there. It's pretty warm in my backyard this morning at 35
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From Blacksburg AFD: 00z RAOB still indicates a shallow warm layer just above the surface and below 850mb, which would indicate a brief period of rain occurs at the onset of the precipitation. Any rain should be brief as indicated by the wet bulb temperature, which supports all snow once the column completely saturates. Looks like this was expected. We should be fine.
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These charts below do a good job showing the current burst of stronger forcing in the MJO 4-6 areas. I suspect it’s one of the reasons we aren’t getting the canonical MJO 8 even with the RMMS in that space. This is why I like to look at the total forcing when they are out of alignment with the RMMS. Notice that the Pacific Jet hasn’t relaxed and we have a dominant northern stream. So even though we are experiencing a colder pattern since late November, the warmer storm track of the last 7 years hasn’t varied. This was the case during some of the colder intervals last winter also. Models are beginning to come into better agreement for the relaxation of the cold as the falling AAM and MJO 4-6 forcing supports a broad ridge across the U.S. mid to late month. This is a seasonal shift that we have seen frequently approaching mid to late December over the last decade. We had a big jet extension last December at this time also when the temperatures moderated.
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My concern is that at some point we are going to lose the BN temps (for the most part) we have had for almost a month now and trend to normal or maybe AN.
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Yea just was about to post that. DC and points south might get a surprise out of this.
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Probably won’t matter up here but it looks like precip is way north of where the HRRR thinks it should be.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
The clipper at hr 174 on the 6z GFS is my absolute favorite -
The Monday wintry event potential (12/8/25)
Buddy1987 replied to GaWx's topic in Southeastern States
Rain and 35… temp rose a good 3 degrees overnight.. ugh -
Pushing it back to Christmas. Just like the ones we used to know.
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First flakes (although very light and might have had a brief period of drizzle first) No hours of virga this time.
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It’s gonna have to dump later because it’s 35 and raining right now.. ugh
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
I thought that furnace had disappeared mid month? -
Just noting a fact. No whining here. Looking forward to 50s for Christmas.
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calculus1 started following The Monday wintry event potential (12/8/25)
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I thought it was automated too until I had a report edited to be a different total.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Now don’t you start whining -
At least RIC gets their second snow event in a week. 10 days in a row BN and a patchy coating to show. What a month. Love it.
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Buckethead replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
30 with light to moderate snow in Wolf. Already over 1" on the ground. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk -
3.25 inches of Arctic fluff here overnight from this clipper, leaf blower type stuff.
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I know its 5:24am… but the end of the CFS run is glorious on January 9th. [emoji1787][emoji1787] .
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
ncjoaquin replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
I can't tell if there is rain it, but definitely some flakes falling. Unfortunately, I am at 36 degrees, so I am sure that it won't last. Edit: Mostly rain now
