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9 minutes ago, BobbyHolikWillFindYou said:

The megathread in r/Aviation is eye opening. It's almost like they flew into a perfect recipe for disaster.

I hope it was just awful luck. Like they diverted around one storm and accidently ended up directly in the path of an explosive developing cell.

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ECMWF has been trending toward a sharper/more amplified upper level trough Fri/Sat, with more pronounced convergence/vorticity at lower levels.

The rainfall amounts it is forecasting would likely be enough to lead to flash flooding from E. LI to SE New England, despite the dry soils.

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ecmwf_24h_precip_neng_90.png

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