WmsptWx Posted yesterday at 01:41 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:41 AM 11 minutes ago, canderson said: I need to find a plow guy this winter since I’m on the DL. I'll do the plowing for you... I'll remove the snow, too. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted yesterday at 02:22 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:22 AM Sitting at 3.48” on the day in Lebanon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted yesterday at 02:28 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:28 AM Most rain at my casa in a very long time. Right now I'm at 3.73". Still some bands of convective showers moving up out of MD. Feeling greedy and hoping to reach 4". 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted yesterday at 02:56 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:56 AM 26 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Most rain at my casa in a very long time. Right now I'm at 3.73". Still some bands of convective showers moving up out of MD. Feeling greedy and hoping to reach 4". I’m at 2.70, but I agree, those showers in Maryland look to be heading towards the LSV, so maybe we will tack on more overnight. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted yesterday at 08:31 AM Share Posted yesterday at 08:31 AM My final was indeed 2.91" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted yesterday at 10:21 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:21 AM 9 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: When is everyone going out to shovel & plow? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted yesterday at 10:22 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:22 AM 3.11 was the final talley. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted yesterday at 10:24 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:24 AM US National Weather Service State College PA Favorites ·n͏t͏r͏s͏o͏p͏o͏S͏e͏d͏c͏1͏6͏0͏h͏l͏i͏0͏1͏f͏1͏6͏l͏2͏a͏4͏4͏c͏7͏f͏c͏f͏4͏5͏3͏t͏u͏1͏i͏3͏i͏i͏t͏8͏h͏f͏h͏9͏2͏l͏m͏m͏l͏2͏c͏2͏m͏3͏8͏i͏ · Which one are you looking forward to more? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted yesterday at 11:54 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:54 AM 11 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: When is everyone going out to shovel & plow? Was just thinking the other day I need to get the oil changed in my snowblowers. But right now I’m still mowing grass twice a week. .87 final tally manual gauge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted yesterday at 12:23 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:23 PM Looks like maybe our first frost and freeze this coming weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted yesterday at 12:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:37 PM Low of 56 with “only” 2.36” of rain. Looks like a few nice warm days upcoming. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted yesterday at 02:13 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:13 PM After plenty of rain yesterday with between 1.5" to 3" falling we dry out and warm up through much of this week. Temperatures will run 5 to 10 degrees above normal through Wednesday but by next weekend we will drop to over 10 degrees below normal. In fact, by Saturday many ridge locations will struggle to escape the 40's with temperatures not far from freezing at night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted yesterday at 03:07 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:07 PM 2 hours ago, Mount Joy Snowman said: Low of 56 with “only” 2.36” of rain. Looks like a few nice warm days upcoming. 3.76" here. There's a station about 1 mile NW of me that topped out just over 4". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted yesterday at 04:13 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:13 PM 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted yesterday at 07:05 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:05 PM shall we discuss the total and complete collapse of every single model and ensemble model for this past system. The HRRR literally had a negative skill score at 3 hours that's how bad it was. and it wasn't just the American the euro is just as bad I don't know what that hints for this winter time but that was the most epic and total failure I have seen by models in a long long timeSent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago in a little over 27 hours the Nam will be officially retired. Since June 13th, 2006 it's been our crazy uncle who was never afraid to swing for the fences. I figured the last day of its existences we should give it a little tribute as it did get the blizzard right. what are your best and worst memories of the nam?Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago so apparently it paid off someone to hang around till November 3rdSent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 54 with some fog when I left the house. Beautiful day ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 9 hours ago, Jns2183 said: in a little over 27 hours the Nam will be officially retired. Since June 13th, 2006 it's been our crazy uncle who was never afraid to swing for the fences. I figured the last day of its existences we should give it a little tribute as it did get the blizzard right. what are your best and worst memories of the nam? Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk This makes me sad. I know it hasn’t been great but it’s still another data point to consider when trying to get a feel for a forecast. Plus it’s had its wins over the years. It’s being replaced by the RRFS, correct? Some other legacy models being replaced by this too, no? Less weather models to check is never a good thing in my book. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago I'm definitely not looking forward to those cold gusty north westerly winds that could exceed 40mph late Friday and Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Unseasonably warm weather continues for much of the rest of the work week before we turn unseasonably chilly for the weekend before we rebound to normal to above next week. A couple chances of a shower or two both Wednesday and Thursday night with the better shot on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted 7 hours ago Author Share Posted 7 hours ago 4 hours ago, mahantango#1 said: I'm definitely not looking forward to those cold gusty north westerly winds that could exceed 40mph late Friday and Saturday. First widespread wind headline of the season ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AccuChris Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Currently 81° with a 67° DP…summers revenge. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 7 minutes ago, AccuChris said: Currently 81° with a 67° DP…summers revenge . Enjoy it while we can. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 hours ago, canderson said: First widespread wind headline of the season ahead Ugh! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 80 here dp 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted 2 hours ago Author Share Posted 2 hours ago 81 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jns2183 Posted 48 minutes ago Share Posted 48 minutes ago This makes me sad. I know it hasn’t been great but it’s still another data point to consider when trying to get a feel for a forecast. Plus it’s had its wins over the years. It’s being replaced by the RRFS, correct? Some other legacy models being replaced by this too, no? Less weather models to check is never a good thing in my book. Twenty years of the NAM was like having a crazy uncle in the room every time a storm threatened Harrisburg. Half the time it was off in its own universe NAMMING the LSV with a 30-inch fantasy, or drawing a snow/sleet gradient through Cumberland County so tight you could practically cross it walking down the street. March 2015 was vintage NAM: a run trying to dump 2–3 inches of sleet over parts of the LSVwhile taking snowfall from 12 inches to 2 inches in roughly 10 miles. Then came January 2016. While the Euro and GFS wandered around, the NAM kept hammering away at the same outrageous solution, the SREF had a camp increasingly interested in the bigger totals, and the 700–500 mb frontogenesis actually provided a physical reason to take it seriously. KMDT finished with 30.2 inches, with 36.9 inches reported at either Carlisle Mechanicsburg. That doesn't mean every crazy NAM map verified, but that storm is why you could never completely dismiss the damn thing. although it was great here in 2016 it's greatest coup in history had to be New York City Central Park same storm where 12 hours before you had the euro and the GFS adamant that Central Park would see no more than 12 in and the man was there drunk giving them the finger saying eat this with his 26". 24 hours later Central Park with register 27.5 in breaking their all-time record and forever cementing NAM in lore and more than making up for being burned by it the year prior. although I do feel bad for the Mid-Atlantic people maybe it's fitting poetry that it saves is absolute most let yourself on fire bad calls for that area the most. who forgets who could forget the famous March 6th 2013 10-in call with borderline crappy thermals. yes everyone knows not to trust in them but it was so adamant that so when you got their hopes up as I continue to print out 6 in of snow when it was nothing but sleet and rain. the name did everything and it's power to put some life and craziness into this hobby and a certain as it was it'd be too far north with the precipitation shield you knew that it was either going to have the one of the greatest groups ever or one of the greatest bust ever it was never not entertaining. That is why even though it might spend months going down in flames we still paid attention because at heart it was the biggest weather weenie model of them all. Cheers to your retirement you big doofaus. maybe just maybe it's 3 weeks until able to give it just enough time to have one last crazy ending by November 3rd, as it just 15 years ago on October 29th we had Jim cantore thunder snow whiteouts and 5.5 in on 1.4 in of precipitation with a high of 42. About as much as his nam storm as you're going to ever get. That was the only the second time we ever exceeded 3 in of snow by November 3rd. the first time was during the absolute most freakish 4 years of snow this area has ever seen November 3rd 1962.Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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