August 2026

[winterwx21]

2 hours ago, straphanger said:

Only 0.22" of rain for me...bit lower than I would've preferred to avoid watering the garden this week but it's fine with more rain chances coming up this week.

Does anyone know what might happen for next weekend?  Models seems to leave storm chances in much of the weekend, which is a bit of a bummer after the last 3 weekends were pretty dry.

Still a long way to go to figure out the weekend, but latest runs of GFS and Euro now show a dry Saturday. They do bring in some rain for Sunday. 

[SACRUS]

86 / 73 steaming up

[mikeysed]

For central NJ into interior new England, rains have been good to remove most drought conditions. How will our summer weather effect how foliage looks heading into the fall months?

[FPizz]

Clouded back up and looks like maybe some storms later if they hold on

[TriPol]

1 hour ago, mikeysed said:

For central NJ into interior new England, rains have been good to remove most drought conditions. How will our summer weather effect how foliage looks heading into the fall months?

If it continues to rain like it has, we could have excellent foliage. Imagine vibrant reds and oranges in central park!

[doncat]

83/71 currently...0.29" for event.

[donsutherland1]

A few spots could see an evening shower or thundershower. Most of the region will remain dry.

Tomorrow and Wednesday should mainly fair and warm. Highs will likely reach the middle 80s to perhaps upper 80s across the region. 

Another cold front could bring some showers or thundershowers to the region Wednesday night or Thursday. The frontal passage will be followed by a reinforcing shot of cooler air. Thursday and Friday could see highs in the lower 80s. The weekend could feature cool and perhaps unsettled weather.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.7°C for the week centered around August 12. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.32°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -18.45 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.064 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 50% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.1° (near normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.9° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[Cyg]

Cool sky

[MarcmmKU]

4 hours ago, mikeysed said:

For central NJ into interior new England, rains have been good to remove most drought conditions. How will our summer weather effect how foliage looks heading into the fall months?

I would think good, but the likely warmer than normal overnight lows will reduce color. We need a very cold fall now to get good foliage.

[MarcmmKU]

3 hours ago, TriPol said:

If it continues to rain like it has, we could have excellent foliage. Imagine vibrant reds and oranges in central park!

Central park rarely gets good colors anymore because the UHI and CC+higher atmospheric moisture is producing record overnight lows.