Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand

[Typhoon Tip]

8 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I think today is beautiful, but this is COC now?

I bet 72/52 may even feel a bit chilly to some after recent acclimation biasing -

[Typhoon Tip]

Heh... too bad we couldn't move the snow temperature from 32 to 52, huh

[dendrite]

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Heh... to bad we couldn't move the snow temperature from 32 to 52, huh

No thanks...we'd have an ice cap while tanning. 

[Typhoon Tip]

5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

No thanks...we'd have an ice cap while tanning. 

LOL, tru

...guess I was thinking along the dopey lines of losing winters for 85/60 chamber of commies.  

[kdxken]

Super.

 

[Damage In Tolland]

Nam and Euro look nothing like that . Just very light stuff 

[JACKASS]

6 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Super.

 

Aww Crap

[vortex95]

25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Nam and Euro look nothing like that . Just very light stuff 

The 18z HRRR up'ed the ante big time.  The two versions of the RRFS are have the same idea w/ one max swrn CT (what else is new) and another near former stomping ground of @CoastalWx (GHG).

NAM/HRRR/RRFS show a weak sfc/925 low developing near the S coast and takes its time moving E, so we get comma head backlash in ern MA.  There is a stronger upstream 500 trof moving into the Great Lakes by early Sat, and that would tend to move things along.  However, the system impacting SNE has little in the way of reflection at 500.  It's all low-level, so standard trof "kicker" rules may not apply here.

Weymouth 6" special like last year????
 

[vortex95]

3 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

Really starting to think alot of these GFS "canes" are a mere factor of a heavy climatological skew so the GFS just wants to pump out hurricanes. 

Where has you been?    Long-known GFS gets TC spin-up happy after a week.  Has been that way for over 10 years.
 

If I had a dime for every time the GFS LR hit New England w/ a hurricane in the last 20 years?

[NoCORH4L]

Yeah weekend shaping up to look junky unfortunately 

[kdxken]

30 minutes ago, JACKASS said:

Aww Crap

Weekend looks like ass too.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Nam and Euro look nothing like that . Just very light stuff 

HRRR has that flash flooding look tomorrow evening and night from NYC metro  to Boston Metro 

[CoastalWx]

Sell and toss that hrrr output here 

[vortex95]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Sell and toss that hrrr output here 

What about the RRFS (both versions?).

[CoastalWx]

50 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

What about the RRFS (both versions?).

Looked like nothing special. Congrats NYC and srn CT.

[Torch Tiger]

1 hour ago, kdxken said:

Weekend looks like ass too.

Should be some nice dews, maybe a few showers.  Solid weekend

[CoastalWx]

That complex tomorrow will take the moisture with it. Have a hard time seeing that little low cause all that up here. 

[vortex95]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Looked like nothing special. Congrats NYC and srn CT.

Both RRFSs show a 4" max near GHG.  That's not nothing special!

[Baroclinic Zone]

Another sneaky warm day today. Saw some low 90s at local stations around area.

[vortex95]

7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That complex tomorrow will take the moisture with it. Have a hard time seeing that little low cause all that up here. 

@CoastalWx mode -- downplay by default.  I know this attitude b/c if one does not get excited at all and dismisses, then less disappointment.  But if it does occur, that makes for good.
 

It would nice if you could provide more than EEYORE-natured one-liners.  I guess that's what nearly 178k posts do, makes one jaded and worn out! 

[kdxken]

9 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Should be some nice dews, maybe a few showers.  Solid weekend

If you live under a bridge. 

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, kdxken said:

If you live under a bridge. 

I will be drawing some blood if I don’t get more rain soon.

[kdxken]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

I will be drawing some blood if I don’t get more rain soon.

Doesn't look good for you.

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

@CoastalWx mode -- downplay by default.  I know this attitude b/c if one does not get excited at all and dismisses, then less disappointment.  But if it does occur, that makes for good.
 

It would nice if you could provide more than EEYORE-natured one-liners.  I guess that's what nearly 178k posts do, makes one jaded and worn out! 

I just gave you my reasons. Time and time again this happens in these setups. 

[dendrite]

Vortex with the tough love for Scoot. Laying himself down like a bridge over troubled waters.

 

[CoastalWx]

If that low somehow hangs around and maybe teams up with the Saturday thing like some models show then perhaps we get decent rains. I just have a hard time buying those amounts when I’m sure that complex tomorrows drives the moisture south. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Vortex with the tough love for Scoot. Laying himself down like a bridge over troubled waters.

 

 

[kdxken]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Nam and Euro look nothing like that . Just very light stuff 

Same winners as usual. If you consider getting rained on a win. 

 

[dendrite]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

 

 

[CoastalWx]

15 minutes ago, dendrite said:

 

None of these lately