Weather Will Posted July 7 Author Share Posted July 7 WB 6Z GFS and EURO through end of workweek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted July 7 Share Posted July 7 5 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS and EURO through end of workweek. GFS too spotty. WPC is looking good for day three. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted July 9 Share Posted July 9 I saw talk of this earlier and this has got me thinking. Are we finally moving into a wetter pattern or is this yet another head fake? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 53 minutes ago, frd said: JFC that's terrible. Wish it was just hot in the summer. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a.salt Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: JFC that's terrible. Wish it was just hot in the summer. Nope, cold all the way my friend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 Seems like the western ridge rolls over us mid/late next week for a few days of potentially high heat. But probably/hopefully short lived with BN air right after on northerly flow. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 10 Share Posted July 10 9 hours ago, a.salt said: Nope, cold all the way my friend! Cold all winter. Bury us in snow. Let us sweat to the 90s in summer. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted July 11 Share Posted July 11 Again it looks like a nice thunderstorm pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted July 11 Author Share Posted July 11 WB 12Z EPS. Looks like a dry work week ahead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Sunday at 06:14 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:14 PM Max heat begins to move West later this week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Sunday at 06:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:17 PM Day 4 NSSL machine learning likes a day 4 threat and days 9, 10 and 11 as an active period. https://x.com/TylerSebreezy/status/2076303103263932677 The latest NSSL machine-learning severe probabilities highlight a potential northwest flow setup for a handful of days across the eastern U.S. The risk of some strong to severe storms appears evident at times. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Monday at 07:00 PM Share Posted Monday at 07:00 PM Ring of fire pathway 7 day totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Tuesday at 01:14 AM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:14 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Tuesday at 02:05 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:05 PM https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd Multiple rounds of rain/thunderstorms are also possible from the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley to the East Coast as shortwaves and frontal systems focus moisture through the period. Marginal Risks of flash flooding are delineated for the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley to Appalachians on Friday, and stretching into the Mid-Atlantic on Saturday. Tate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Tuesday at 02:09 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:09 PM Wetter period after the heat wave looking more likely. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Tuesday at 03:36 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 03:36 PM SOI Dashboard Latest Southern Oscillation Index values SOI values for 14 Jul, 2026 Average SOI for last 30 days -23.53 Average SOI for last 90 days -17.62 Daily contribution to SOI calculation -36.56 Monthly average SOI values Apr -9.88 May -13.22 Jun -22.69 Date Tahiti (hPa) Darwin (hPa) Daily Contribution 30 day Av. SOI 90 day Av. SOI 14 Jul 2026 1011.36 1016.35 -36.56 -23.53 -17.62 13 Jul 2026 1010.44 1015.10 -34.53 -23.20 -17.20 12 Jul 2026 1009.89 1015.20 -38.53 -23.21 -16.92 11 Jul 2026 1011.77 1015.80 -30.66 -23.06 -16.66 10 Jul 2026 1013.16 1015.45 -19.94 -22.84 -16.52 9 Jul 2026 1011.59 1014.45 -23.45 -22.68 -16.60 8 Jul 2026 1008.90 1015.20 -44.63 -22.32 -16.71 7 Jul 2026 1009.02 1015.35 -44.81 -21.68 -16.58 6 Jul 2026 1011.31 1015.45 -31.33 -21.34 -16.28 5 Jul 2026 1010.44 1015.25 -35.46 -21.21 -16.03 4 Jul 2026 1010.84 1015.20 -32.69 -21.02 -15.72 3 Jul 2026 1012.59 1014.20 -15.76 -21.11 -15.44 2 Jul 2026 1012.97 1013.80 -10.96 -21.75 -15.38 1 Jul 2026 1013.06 1012.90 -4.86 -22.28 -15.31 30 Jun 2026 1012.34 1013.05 -14.06 -22.69 -15.35 29 Jun 2026 1012.32 1013.40 -16.66 -22.71 -15.25 28 Jun 2026 1012.24 1013.25 -16.17 -23.03 -15.20 27 Jun 2026 1011.64 1014.05 -26.01 -23.61 -15.12 26 Jun 2026 1012.48 1015.20 -28.19 -23.51 -14.93 25 Jun 2026 1012.84 1015.15 -25.31 -22.78 -14.75 24 Jun 2026 1011.76 1015.15 -32.90 -22.11 -14.60 23 Jun 2026 1011.31 1015.45 -38.17 -21.86 -14.34 22 Jun 2026 1012.65 1016.30 -34.73 -21.65 -14.02 21 Jun 2026 1014.99 1017.00 -23.20 -21.10 -13.63 20 Jun 2026 1015.10 1016.25 -17.15 -20.98 -13.17 19 Jun 2026 1014.90 1014.50 -6.26 -21.36 -12.93 18 Jun 2026 1015.57 1014.80 -3.66 -21.66 -12.87 17 Jun 2026 1016.03 1015.35 -4.29 -21.73 -12.88 16 Jun 2026 1015.83 1014.90 -2.53 -21.79 -12.82 15 Jun 2026 1014.24 1014.70 -12.30 -22.62 -12.75 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted Tuesday at 08:00 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:00 PM Rain needed, and plenty of it. Except for what I water, everything is fried. Starting to see crispy leaves otg from tree stress. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Tuesday at 08:19 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:19 PM 18 minutes ago, CAPE said: Rain needed, and plenty of it. Except for that I water, everything is fried. Starting to see crispy leaves otg from tree stress. Euro says: ask and ye shall receive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Tuesday at 08:44 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:44 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Tuesday at 09:47 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 09:47 PM 6 hours ago, frd said: SOI Dashboard Latest Southern Oscillation Index values SOI values for 14 Jul, 2026 Average SOI for last 30 days -23.53 Average SOI for last 90 days -17.62 Daily contribution to SOI calculation -36.56 Monthly average SOI values Apr -9.88 May -13.22 Jun -22.69 Date Tahiti (hPa) Darwin (hPa) Daily Contribution 30 day Av. SOI 90 day Av. SOI 14 Jul 2026 1011.36 1016.35 -36.56 -23.53 -17.62 13 Jul 2026 1010.44 1015.10 -34.53 -23.20 -17.20 12 Jul 2026 1009.89 1015.20 -38.53 -23.21 -16.92 11 Jul 2026 1011.77 1015.80 -30.66 -23.06 -16.66 10 Jul 2026 1013.16 1015.45 -19.94 -22.84 -16.52 9 Jul 2026 1011.59 1014.45 -23.45 -22.68 -16.60 8 Jul 2026 1008.90 1015.20 -44.63 -22.32 -16.71 7 Jul 2026 1009.02 1015.35 -44.81 -21.68 -16.58 6 Jul 2026 1011.31 1015.45 -31.33 -21.34 -16.28 5 Jul 2026 1010.44 1015.25 -35.46 -21.21 -16.03 4 Jul 2026 1010.84 1015.20 -32.69 -21.02 -15.72 3 Jul 2026 1012.59 1014.20 -15.76 -21.11 -15.44 2 Jul 2026 1012.97 1013.80 -10.96 -21.75 -15.38 1 Jul 2026 1013.06 1012.90 -4.86 -22.28 -15.31 30 Jun 2026 1012.34 1013.05 -14.06 -22.69 -15.35 29 Jun 2026 1012.32 1013.40 -16.66 -22.71 -15.25 28 Jun 2026 1012.24 1013.25 -16.17 -23.03 -15.20 27 Jun 2026 1011.64 1014.05 -26.01 -23.61 -15.12 26 Jun 2026 1012.48 1015.20 -28.19 -23.51 -14.93 25 Jun 2026 1012.84 1015.15 -25.31 -22.78 -14.75 24 Jun 2026 1011.76 1015.15 -32.90 -22.11 -14.60 23 Jun 2026 1011.31 1015.45 -38.17 -21.86 -14.34 22 Jun 2026 1012.65 1016.30 -34.73 -21.65 -14.02 21 Jun 2026 1014.99 1017.00 -23.20 -21.10 -13.63 20 Jun 2026 1015.10 1016.25 -17.15 -20.98 -13.17 19 Jun 2026 1014.90 1014.50 -6.26 -21.36 -12.93 18 Jun 2026 1015.57 1014.80 -3.66 -21.66 -12.87 17 Jun 2026 1016.03 1015.35 -4.29 -21.73 -12.88 16 Jun 2026 1015.83 1014.90 -2.53 -21.79 -12.82 15 Jun 2026 1014.24 1014.70 -12.30 -22.62 -12.75 Lowest 30 day SOI since 1997... almost 30 years. It's impact on the global pattern has been nothing very impressive so far however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Tuesday at 10:21 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 10:21 PM 33 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Lowest 30 day SOI since 1997... almost 30 years. It's impact on the global pattern has been nothing very impressive so far however Also record negative streak possibly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Wednesday at 02:58 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 02:58 PM WPC increased rainfall total 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Wednesday at 06:27 PM Share Posted Wednesday at 06:27 PM https://x.com/commoditywx/status/2077437310145077290 Commodity Wx Group @commoditywx Day 15: Another chance for Central heat rebuild, with maybe some expansion into Texas, as coasts stay mostly relatively cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 53 minutes ago Author Share Posted 53 minutes ago WB latest EURO weeklies now go through the end of August.... warm and only wet in the mountain areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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