frd Posted July 26 Share Posted July 26 WPC's afternoon update below has increased totals again for the Mid Atlantic region. Here is a snippet from the AFD Mount Holly - PWats will rise to near 2" by the end of the day. Some models suggest we could have a stalled or slow moving frontal boundary across the central or northern portion of the forecast area, which could act as a focusing mechanism for heavy rainfall. Heavy rain leading to flash flooding could end up being a bigger concern and greater impact than the severe thunderstorm threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted July 26 Author Share Posted July 26 WB 18Z NBM thru 2pm Wed. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted July 26 Share Posted July 26 3 hours ago, Weather Will said: WB 18Z NBM thru 2pm Wed. Continuation of the summer theme. Same winners and losers over and over again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted July 26 Share Posted July 26 17 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: Continuation of the summer theme. Same winners and losers over and over again. Agree with you.... 1.48 here for the entire month... Northern Waynesboro across the SNP into the western / northwestern areas of Albemarle is extremely dry and dusty now... Very very low water levels in the Moormans / Doyles river basins in north western Albemarle.... Not surprising thats where the extreme drought is still showing on the drought monitor... Loud thunder outside with zero rain again from a storm south of town where there have been repeated deluges this month... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 1 hour ago, frd said: We can only hope this is a preview of winter in the temp department. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 4 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said: We can only hope this is a preview of winter in the temp department. Now why would that be the case, though? I mean it's gonna be overall above average, right? (I'd imagine December alone will ensure that, judging by previous super niños) I'm just hoping we can get a 10-day stretch or two of just cold enough...and get lucky. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Now why would that be the case, though? I mean it's gonna be overall above average, right? (I'd imagine December alone will ensure that, judging by previous super niños) I'm just hoping we can get a 10-day stretch or two of just cold enough...and get lucky. Because I have #FaithInTheFlakes™. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 Layman prediction: If we wanna see a classic region-wide 12" snowstorm before the end of this decade, it has to happen this winter. If it doesn't...for that kind of thing it'll be 29-30 before we have another chance. And that would be a new futility record...every decade from the 1900s had at least one. 2020s would be a first--even the least snowy ones like the 40s, 50s, and 70s. C'mon man...can we get at least one? I hope so. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 12 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Because I have #FaithInTheFlakes™. At no time in it's history has that slogan ever rung more hollow, lol I mean maybe for where HE lives! (Just over the M/D line) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 8 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Layman prediction: If we wanna see a classic region-wide 12" snowstorm before the end of this decade, it has to happen this winter. If it doesn't...for that kind of thing it'll be 29-30 before we have another chance. And that would be a new futility record...every decade from the 1900s had at least one. 2020s would be a first--even the least snowy ones like the 40s, 50s, and 70s. C'mon man...can we get at least one? I hope so. I haven't had a normal snowfall season, let alone above normal, since moving to Maryland in August 2016. I don't see that changing this winter. Maybe we get lucky with a Jan 2016 redux that gives us a statistical win, but I'm not going to hold my breath anymore. 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: At no time in it's history has that slogan ever rung more hollow, lol I mean maybe for where HE lives! (Just over the M/D line) Agreed. The only faithful flakes I've had in my life are corn based and in my cereal box. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said: Layman prediction: If we wanna see a classic region-wide 12" snowstorm before the end of this decade, it has to happen this winter. If it doesn't...for that kind of thing it'll be 29-30 before we have another chance. And that would be a new futility record...every decade from the 1900s had at least one. 2020s would be a first--even the least snowy ones like the 40s, 50s, and 70s. C'mon man...can we get at least one? I hope so. If I had to make a Winter prediction it would slightly lean towards above average snowfall. The reason is the AO may be negative a lot of the time, and that combined with El Nino STJ can really produce some big storms. On the other side the Pacific is not looking El Nino like at all, -PNA dominates, so we could be looking at a Winter overall above average temp wise with possibly average to above average snowfall. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted July 27 Share Posted July 27 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: I haven't had a normal snowfall season, let alone above normal, since moving to Maryland in August 2016. I don't see that changing this winter. Maybe we get lucky with a Jan 2016 redux that gives us a statistical win, but I'm not going to hold my breath anymore. Agreed. The only faithful flakes I've had in my life are corn based and in my cereal box. I had my biggest Winter last year since returning from CA in 2017, 24" here. -AO was the reason for that: but it was a dry pattern. In normal precip we could have done better. Kind of disappointing the last 2 Winters have been cold with below average snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 3 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: I had my biggest Winter last year since returning from CA in 2017, 24" here. -AO was the reason for that: but it was a dry pattern. In normal precip we could have done better. Kind of disappointing the last 2 Winters have been cold with below average snowfall. I will always take a cold, dry winter over a warm one. There is nothing worse than 65 degrees on Christmas Day with bad air quality. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted July 28 Share Posted July 28 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: I will always take a cold, dry winter over a warm one. There is nothing worse than 65 degrees on Christmas Day with bad air quality. Yeah last Winter we had something like the 4th longest streak since the 1800s where Baltimore had >6" on the ground (22 days or something). I love that - 8" of snow and 3" of ice on top there for almost a whole month of the Winter! That storm was really anomalous to the overall pattern last Winter. I'm glad it was timed at the beginning of the pattern. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted July 29 Author Share Posted July 29 August is around the corner! Someone open the August 2026 thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 29 Share Posted July 29 1 hour ago, Weather Will said: August is around the corner! Someone open the August 2026 thread... NFL Football..early Fall. Bring it! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted July 29 Share Posted July 29 On 7/27/2026 at 8:56 PM, Eskimo Joe said: I will always take a cold, dry winter over a warm one. There is nothing worse than 65 degrees on Christmas Day with bad air quality. Do we really get bad air quality anymore? Also if its warmish around Xmas but we get a blizzard in late Jan/early Feb, is that ok? Nino winters generally aren't very cold around here. The historic Modoki of 2009-10 was just cold enough to produce big snowstorms multiple times. The beast of a -NAO had a lot to do with that. The one legit cold powder storm occurred in late Jan after 5 weeks of no snow, and kicked off the pattern that resulted in back to back blizzards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now