Weather Will Posted July 7 Author Share Posted July 7 WB 6Z GFS and EURO through end of workweek. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted July 7 Share Posted July 7 5 minutes ago, Weather Will said: WB 6Z GFS and EURO through end of workweek. GFS too spotty. WPC is looking good for day three. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM Share Posted Thursday at 04:00 PM I saw talk of this earlier and this has got me thinking. Are we finally moving into a wetter pattern or is this yet another head fake? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Thursday at 11:48 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:48 PM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Friday at 12:42 AM Share Posted Friday at 12:42 AM 53 minutes ago, frd said: JFC that's terrible. Wish it was just hot in the summer. 2 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a.salt Posted Friday at 02:39 AM Share Posted Friday at 02:39 AM 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: JFC that's terrible. Wish it was just hot in the summer. Nope, cold all the way my friend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted Friday at 11:00 AM Share Posted Friday at 11:00 AM Seems like the western ridge rolls over us mid/late next week for a few days of potentially high heat. But probably/hopefully short lived with BN air right after on northerly flow. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Friday at 12:38 PM Share Posted Friday at 12:38 PM 9 hours ago, a.salt said: Nope, cold all the way my friend! Cold all winter. Bury us in snow. Let us sweat to the 90s in summer. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Saturday at 01:25 AM Share Posted Saturday at 01:25 AM Again it looks like a nice thunderstorm pattern. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted Saturday at 07:21 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 07:21 PM WB 12Z EPS. Looks like a dry work week ahead. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Sunday at 06:14 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:14 PM Max heat begins to move West later this week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Sunday at 06:17 PM Share Posted Sunday at 06:17 PM Day 4 NSSL machine learning likes a day 4 threat and days 9, 10 and 11 as an active period. https://x.com/TylerSebreezy/status/2076303103263932677 The latest NSSL machine-learning severe probabilities highlight a potential northwest flow setup for a handful of days across the eastern U.S. The risk of some strong to severe storms appears evident at times. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted yesterday at 07:00 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:00 PM Ring of fire pathway 7 day totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd Multiple rounds of rain/thunderstorms are also possible from the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley to the East Coast as shortwaves and frontal systems focus moisture through the period. Marginal Risks of flash flooding are delineated for the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley to Appalachians on Friday, and stretching into the Mid-Atlantic on Saturday. Tate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Wetter period after the heat wave looking more likely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago SOI Dashboard Latest Southern Oscillation Index values SOI values for 14 Jul, 2026 Average SOI for last 30 days -23.53 Average SOI for last 90 days -17.62 Daily contribution to SOI calculation -36.56 Monthly average SOI values Apr -9.88 May -13.22 Jun -22.69 Date Tahiti (hPa) Darwin (hPa) Daily Contribution 30 day Av. SOI 90 day Av. SOI 14 Jul 2026 1011.36 1016.35 -36.56 -23.53 -17.62 13 Jul 2026 1010.44 1015.10 -34.53 -23.20 -17.20 12 Jul 2026 1009.89 1015.20 -38.53 -23.21 -16.92 11 Jul 2026 1011.77 1015.80 -30.66 -23.06 -16.66 10 Jul 2026 1013.16 1015.45 -19.94 -22.84 -16.52 9 Jul 2026 1011.59 1014.45 -23.45 -22.68 -16.60 8 Jul 2026 1008.90 1015.20 -44.63 -22.32 -16.71 7 Jul 2026 1009.02 1015.35 -44.81 -21.68 -16.58 6 Jul 2026 1011.31 1015.45 -31.33 -21.34 -16.28 5 Jul 2026 1010.44 1015.25 -35.46 -21.21 -16.03 4 Jul 2026 1010.84 1015.20 -32.69 -21.02 -15.72 3 Jul 2026 1012.59 1014.20 -15.76 -21.11 -15.44 2 Jul 2026 1012.97 1013.80 -10.96 -21.75 -15.38 1 Jul 2026 1013.06 1012.90 -4.86 -22.28 -15.31 30 Jun 2026 1012.34 1013.05 -14.06 -22.69 -15.35 29 Jun 2026 1012.32 1013.40 -16.66 -22.71 -15.25 28 Jun 2026 1012.24 1013.25 -16.17 -23.03 -15.20 27 Jun 2026 1011.64 1014.05 -26.01 -23.61 -15.12 26 Jun 2026 1012.48 1015.20 -28.19 -23.51 -14.93 25 Jun 2026 1012.84 1015.15 -25.31 -22.78 -14.75 24 Jun 2026 1011.76 1015.15 -32.90 -22.11 -14.60 23 Jun 2026 1011.31 1015.45 -38.17 -21.86 -14.34 22 Jun 2026 1012.65 1016.30 -34.73 -21.65 -14.02 21 Jun 2026 1014.99 1017.00 -23.20 -21.10 -13.63 20 Jun 2026 1015.10 1016.25 -17.15 -20.98 -13.17 19 Jun 2026 1014.90 1014.50 -6.26 -21.36 -12.93 18 Jun 2026 1015.57 1014.80 -3.66 -21.66 -12.87 17 Jun 2026 1016.03 1015.35 -4.29 -21.73 -12.88 16 Jun 2026 1015.83 1014.90 -2.53 -21.79 -12.82 15 Jun 2026 1014.24 1014.70 -12.30 -22.62 -12.75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Rain needed, and plenty of it. Except for what I water, everything is fried. Starting to see crispy leaves otg from tree stress. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 18 minutes ago, CAPE said: Rain needed, and plenty of it. Except for that I water, everything is fried. Starting to see crispy leaves otg from tree stress. Euro says: ask and ye shall receive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 hours ago, frd said: SOI Dashboard Latest Southern Oscillation Index values SOI values for 14 Jul, 2026 Average SOI for last 30 days -23.53 Average SOI for last 90 days -17.62 Daily contribution to SOI calculation -36.56 Monthly average SOI values Apr -9.88 May -13.22 Jun -22.69 Date Tahiti (hPa) Darwin (hPa) Daily Contribution 30 day Av. SOI 90 day Av. SOI 14 Jul 2026 1011.36 1016.35 -36.56 -23.53 -17.62 13 Jul 2026 1010.44 1015.10 -34.53 -23.20 -17.20 12 Jul 2026 1009.89 1015.20 -38.53 -23.21 -16.92 11 Jul 2026 1011.77 1015.80 -30.66 -23.06 -16.66 10 Jul 2026 1013.16 1015.45 -19.94 -22.84 -16.52 9 Jul 2026 1011.59 1014.45 -23.45 -22.68 -16.60 8 Jul 2026 1008.90 1015.20 -44.63 -22.32 -16.71 7 Jul 2026 1009.02 1015.35 -44.81 -21.68 -16.58 6 Jul 2026 1011.31 1015.45 -31.33 -21.34 -16.28 5 Jul 2026 1010.44 1015.25 -35.46 -21.21 -16.03 4 Jul 2026 1010.84 1015.20 -32.69 -21.02 -15.72 3 Jul 2026 1012.59 1014.20 -15.76 -21.11 -15.44 2 Jul 2026 1012.97 1013.80 -10.96 -21.75 -15.38 1 Jul 2026 1013.06 1012.90 -4.86 -22.28 -15.31 30 Jun 2026 1012.34 1013.05 -14.06 -22.69 -15.35 29 Jun 2026 1012.32 1013.40 -16.66 -22.71 -15.25 28 Jun 2026 1012.24 1013.25 -16.17 -23.03 -15.20 27 Jun 2026 1011.64 1014.05 -26.01 -23.61 -15.12 26 Jun 2026 1012.48 1015.20 -28.19 -23.51 -14.93 25 Jun 2026 1012.84 1015.15 -25.31 -22.78 -14.75 24 Jun 2026 1011.76 1015.15 -32.90 -22.11 -14.60 23 Jun 2026 1011.31 1015.45 -38.17 -21.86 -14.34 22 Jun 2026 1012.65 1016.30 -34.73 -21.65 -14.02 21 Jun 2026 1014.99 1017.00 -23.20 -21.10 -13.63 20 Jun 2026 1015.10 1016.25 -17.15 -20.98 -13.17 19 Jun 2026 1014.90 1014.50 -6.26 -21.36 -12.93 18 Jun 2026 1015.57 1014.80 -3.66 -21.66 -12.87 17 Jun 2026 1016.03 1015.35 -4.29 -21.73 -12.88 16 Jun 2026 1015.83 1014.90 -2.53 -21.79 -12.82 15 Jun 2026 1014.24 1014.70 -12.30 -22.62 -12.75 Lowest 30 day SOI since 1997... almost 30 years. It's impact on the global pattern has been nothing very impressive so far however Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 33 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Lowest 30 day SOI since 1997... almost 30 years. It's impact on the global pattern has been nothing very impressive so far however Also record negative streak possibly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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