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July Medium/ Long Range


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Day 4 NSSL machine learning likes a day 4 threat and days 9, 10 and 11 as an active period.  

https://x.com/TylerSebreezy/status/2076303103263932677

The latest NSSL machine-learning severe probabilities highlight a potential northwest flow setup for a handful of days across the eastern U.S. The risk of some strong to severe storms appears evident at times.

 

 

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https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd

 

Multiple rounds of rain/thunderstorms are also possible from the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley to the East Coast as shortwaves and frontal systems focus moisture through the period. Marginal Risks of flash flooding are delineated for the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley to Appalachians on Friday, and stretching into the Mid-Atlantic on Saturday.

 

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