ChescoWx Posted Tuesday at 01:33 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 01:33 PM Plenty of 40's for lows this AM across the area with our overall chilliest morning since back on June 2nd. The coldest reading was the 42.7 at Warwick DEOS. Below normal temperatures look to continue today before we start a warming trend that peaks on Thursday before we turn cooler again for the weekend and looking ahead we see some unseasonably chilly air by early next week. Highs may not get to far above 60 degrees for some of the higher spots by next Tuesday. Our next rain chances hold off till Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted Tuesday at 02:32 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:32 PM 46.6F at the Lancaster homestead this morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted Tuesday at 02:54 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:54 PM Went to let the dogs out this morning and saw my breath. At 10:54 it is still 55°F currently. That was a fast crash. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted Tuesday at 05:04 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:04 PM Sitting outside having lunch. It’s gorgeous. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted Tuesday at 05:27 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:27 PM 18 hours ago, TheDreamTraveler said: Finally some action... Yes. as of today they have increased the chance of further formation to 40 to 60% In the next seven days, and it's moving W to WNW. We may end up having to keep an eye this puppy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted yesterday at 02:49 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:49 AM 9 hours ago, Yardstickgozinya said: Yes. as of today they have increased the chance of further formation to 40 to 60% In the next seven days, and it's moving W to WNW. We may end up having to keep an eye this puppy. I was just updating myself on that area just now and NHC lowered it back down to 30% in the next 7 days lol. That's just how inhospitable the Atlantic's been this year. It's really crazy how hard it is for anything to form. I'd love at least one decent hurricane to track but maybe I'll get lucky with something in October hopefully if this one doesn't pan out. I think we're entering 5 days in a row now since September 11th when we beat the record for the latest forming hurricane in the satellite era and every day just keeps adding onto that record. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted yesterday at 10:29 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:29 AM 57 upon leaving the house. Some humidity returns for a couple days but all in all not bad. Not much rain to be had. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted yesterday at 10:39 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:39 AM 56 degrees this morning . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted yesterday at 11:05 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:05 AM 53 this morning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted yesterday at 11:09 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:09 AM Wxrisk.com 9 hours ago · ** ALERT ** 1ST POSSIBLE Coastal LOW of the Season SEPT 23-25 then 1st SERIOUS Cold air Blast SEPT 26-28 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted yesterday at 01:39 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:39 PM Our beautiful autumnal weather continues with temperatures warming to a few degrees above normal both today and tomorrow with Highs not far from 80 degrees. We then start a sharp cooling trend over the weekend and into the new work week with temperatures by next week according to the ChescoWx forecast only in the low to mid 60's by the start of next week. The NWS forecast has those days about 10 degrees warmer – let’s see who is closer. Rain chances ramp up by late Saturday night into Sunday and Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted yesterday at 02:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:37 PM 3 hours ago, mahantango#1 said: Wxrisk.com 9 hours ago · ** ALERT ** 1ST POSSIBLE Coastal LOW of the Season SEPT 23-25 then 1st SERIOUS Cold air Blast SEPT 26-28 Did David intend to make that look like an Emergency Alert System scare graphic? LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 89 for the high. Quite gross. I need rain desperately bad. My garden is brown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 67 degrees this morning . Some rain showers on the way. Need to keep that grass growing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=CTP&issuedby=CTP&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Highlight Changed Discussion -- 115 FXUS61 KCTP 170747 AFDCTP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 347 AM EDT Thu Sep 17 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... * Level 1 excessive rain risk expanded to all of CPA for today * Cooler temperature moderation next week && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Very humid with locally heavy rainfall possible this afternoon && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1: Very humid with locally heavy rainfall possible this afternoon Highly anomalous moisture for this time of year (NAEFS mean pwat values near climatological maximum percentiles) pooling around the periphery of subtropical high over the southern Plains and lower MS Valley will interact with a surface cold front moving slowly south/southeastward from the lower Great Lakes to produce periods of showers and a few locally heavy thunderstorms across Pennsylvania later today. 17/00Z HREF indicates the potential for spot rain amounts of 2-3 inches. It`s very likely that most of central PA picks up some rainfall by tonight. However, we do not anticipate an all-day rain/washout. Cloud trends remain a tough call with early morning convection over north central PA, but fcst instability this afternoon across south central PA will be more than supportive for thunderstorm development. SPC continues to maintain a general (non-severe) convective outlook for today which is likely due to the lack of deep layer shear (displaced farther to the north) and poor mid level lapse rates (very moist, tall/skinny soundings with warm cloud depths greater than 10kft). Another taste of Fall is on the way for the end of the week with noticeably cooler and much drier/less humid air poised to return behind the front (Td crashing into the 40s/50s). Expect a crisp and cool overnight Friday into Saturday morning with some upper 30s possible across the northern tier. Dry/fair wx conditions are forecast to start the weekend and last through the day on Saturday followed by periods of potentially heavy rainfall Saturday night through early next week. Both NAEFS and ECMWF SATs show at least 90th percentile PWs returning the the region which is supportive for at least a marginal excessive rain signal. NBM temps have also cooled/moderated quite a bit Mon-Wed with most locations struggling to exceed 70F for daytime highs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago On 9/15/2026 at 10:49 PM, TheDreamTraveler said: I was just updating myself on that area just now and NHC lowered it back down to 30% in the next 7 days lol. That's just how inhospitable the Atlantic's been this year. It's really crazy how hard it is for anything to form. I'd love at least one decent hurricane to track but maybe I'll get lucky with something in October hopefully if this one doesn't pan out. I think we're entering 5 days in a row now since September 11th when we beat the record for the latest forming hurricane in the satellite era and every day just keeps adding onto that record. Latest update from the NHC said that thunderstorms have become better organized and may continue to do so over the coming days. They must have decided to raise it back up to 40% chance of development over the next 7 days. It's to keep moving west over the next 24 hours, then possibly turn to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yardstickgozinya Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Low of 67. Brief bouts of the muggies to get through today and Sunday before things turn Fall-like next week. Looks like a nice little storm line on the approach here this morning, curious to see if it arrives with much punch. Onward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Water is falling from the sky at nice heavty rate! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Today will turn noticeably more humid with temperatures around 5 degrees above normal in the lower 80's for most spots. We could see a brief shower in spots this morning. A cold front crosses the area late tonight with maybe a couple showers. We turn a bit cooler and less humid tomorrow and Saturday with near normal temperatures. Rain chances increase by late Saturday night and look to last through the day on Sunday. We turn unseasonably chilly to start the new work week with my backyard ChescoWx model forecast keeping afternoon highs both Tuesday and Wednesday in the upper 50's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheDreamTraveler Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Next week is going to feel very fall with highs in the 60's and rain. I'm kind of looking forward to it honestly but I'm also one of those weird ones that like long cool rainy days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago .25” rain this morning. Very very nice. Next week looks incredible!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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