Junorch obs and discussion 2026

[Damage In Tolland]

19 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Doesn't really seem like a cool(er) look to me, outside of perhaps any post fropa but we probably go right back to above average

A few folks is cocked today or have monitors upside down 

[ineedsnow]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

A few folks is cocked today or have monitors upside down 

Wow you started early then

[Damage In Tolland]

3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Wow you started early then

Gotta settle diwn on your colder than normal forecast next week. It won’t be 90’s and June but that cool will struggle to make it over the Apps. Probably 80’s

[weatherwiz]

12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I didn't look at the AI's. I have not been particularly impressed with them lately. That seems extremely overstated to me

[dendrite]

Def cooler next week. 

[Torch Tiger]

Yeah it'll be cooler than high 80's-90's. Not shocking

[kdxken]

28 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Gotta settle diwn on your colder than normal forecast next week. It won’t be 90’s and June but that cool will struggle to make it over the Apps. Probably 80’s

Summer's over. 

 

[Typhoon Tip]

Looks cooler to me ...

It may be transient  but it's hard to ignore or gaslight a -2 SD seasonal regression spv rollin through the Lakes. 

It may be overselling in the runs and destined to normalize some... okay, but just as is? that's definitely colder.  

[kdxken]

At least the folks whining about needing more rain will get their wish. 

 

[weatherwiz]

Well I guess its cooler if you're going to compare 86 versus 93 lol. 

[SnoSki14]

22 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Looks cooler to me ...

It may be transient  but it's hard to ignore or gaslight a -2 SD seasonal regression spv rollin through the Lakes. 

It may be overselling in the runs and destined to normalize some... okay, but just as is? that's definitely colder.  

Nino pattern finally kicking in 

[JACKASS]

Still can’t get 3 days without any rain!

[weatherwiz]

Violence Thursday on the 18z NAM. 

[Torch Tiger]

12z euro is very active with the N stream.. has like 8-10 chances to whiff on storms over the next two weeks. Hoping one or two work out 

[ineedsnow]

[ineedsnow]

This is beautiful to see in the Summer 

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said:

Yeah it'll be cooler than high 80's-90's. Not shocking

But not 60’s/ 70’s like they think 

[Torch Tiger]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

But not 60’s/ 70’s like they think 

Maybe NNE...not where people live within SNE

[kdxken]

22 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

This is beautiful to see in the Summer 

Hard to beat '60s and '70s.

[Torch Tiger]

At 7am 

[ineedsnow]

7 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

At 7am 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, ineedsnow said:

Remember the last few time you did this . Posted op runs. And they turned out 20-30 degrees warmer upon verification. When will you learn?

[ineedsnow]

11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Remember the last few time you did this . Posted op runs. And they turned out 20-30 degrees warmer upon verification. When will you learn?

EPS not much better there sparky 

[Torch Tiger]

12 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Yeah its not a hot pattern, we'll see if we sneak in a day or two of post front/wave clouds and cool

[kdxken]

Absolute perfection out there now. 76° / 48° with clear skies.

 

[Typhoon Tip]

3 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

Nino pattern finally kicking in 

Too early for that
 

No, it looks to me more like it’s just a regression to what happened all last winter

Very sting  Ninos more correlate to a sub tropical jet and on this side of the solstice with summer still suing we are nowhere near engineering that sort of hemispheric response until the seasonal gradient steepens next autumn/winter That is … if it really gets strong enough to exceed RONI numbing