Typhoon Tip Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 19 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Wednesday could be socked in with clouds, though could be some potential to get some breaks in I doubt it... The continent is too dry. The flow is WSW under that polar boundary transporting a kinetically charged well mixed layer originating from the west TX high country. Good luck. If we are safely in that warm conveyor like the GFS? not much cloud. That's a red flag warning scenario there this early and prior to our own geographical green up. Even if the RH sigmas are juicier ( 800 to 300 mb levels) I'd personally lean on that being dryer verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: I doubt it... The continent is too dry. The flow is WSW under that polar boundary transporting a kinetically charged well mixed layer originating from the west TX high country. Good luck. If we are safely in that warm conveyor like the GFS? not much cloud. That's a red flag warning scenario there this early and prior to our own geographical green up. Even if the RH sigmas are juicier ( 800 to 300 mb levels) I'd personally lean on that being dryer verifying. I agree with that, however, I think what we'd have to watch for is cloud cover from upstream precipitation/convection...though perhaps shear vectors favor us avoiding this mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 39 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: how much did you wind up with ? I bet with high sun shining on snow, the dry wet-bulb actually ends up being a sublimation hisser. It'll be evaporating like dry-ice man. The sun doesn't just 100% bounce off the snow... it will warm the molecules in air-contact interface, to above the DP temp and that's evaporating quickly. Like an "acid layer" eating into it. It's less like melting pack and more like going directly to gas at an accelerated rate that way. But obviously.. one wouldn't notice this if you have a ton to start Sublimation is a stronger latent cooler than evaporation. We had over 3”. I expect it to mostly be gone by evening, but I don’t think we bust warm until tomorrow. Tonight looks like another strong rad night in the pits. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, dendrite said: Sublimation is a stronger latent cooler than evaporation. We had over 3”. I expect it to mostly be gone by evening, but I don’t think we bust warm until tomorrow. Tonight looks like another strong rad night in the pits. Yeah, 3" seems a lot. It may be enough 'in the bank' to last it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 14 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I agree with that, however, I think what we'd have to watch for is cloud cover from upstream precipitation/convection...though perhaps shear vectors favor us avoiding this mess. ha... watch, the polar boundary ends up PIT - ACK ...and we have 38 -r with one or two pellets that day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: ha... watch, the polar boundary ends up PIT - ACK ...and we have 38 -r with one or two pellets that day Certainly can't rule that out this early in the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago you can see the snow coverage pretty fantastically here... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: you can see the snow coverage pretty fantastically here... https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=subregional-New_England-02-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined The only thing I can see is GWDLT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 27 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: The only thing I can see is GWDLT Agree…all that concrete down there shows up easily on vis. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 37 minutes ago Share Posted 37 minutes ago 36.5 baby. Leaf out rolls on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 27 minutes ago Share Posted 27 minutes ago 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: 36.5 baby. Leaf out rolls on. Evap cooling off the water? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 24 minutes ago Share Posted 24 minutes ago 16 minutes ago, dendrite said: Evap cooling off the water? Yep. Getting ravaged. At least it’s sunny and not that windy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted 8 minutes ago Share Posted 8 minutes ago On 4/7/2026 at 12:32 AM, metagraphica said: Couldn’t agree with you more. The purposeful imprecision of ALL of our media companies is appalling no matter what side of the spectrum one might be on. It's bad enough the hard science gets mucked up, but an increasing problem w/ time is the how all/any information is presented. It has become egregious in many respects So many tropes, logical fallacies, slant/spin, and sleazy rhetoric that taints the facts and truth! I get the business of the media and other outlets, it is a business, but they way things has degraded over time has become a disservice to the public by in large. Weather is fascinating enough as it is, and there is more than enough great info out there available to all to have plenty to talk about w/ distracting "bells and whistles." I find so many have a genuine interest in weather, but they have trouble where to start for info and even then have trouble separating fact from fiction, hype from the real deal! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 7 minutes ago Share Posted 7 minutes ago about a 10/10 nape factor. 43 F with 0 wind and high sun. Very dichotomous sensations going on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted 5 minutes ago Share Posted 5 minutes ago On 4/7/2026 at 6:28 AM, weatherwiz said: Well that was fun while it lasted. Saw something out of the corner of my eye and looked and it was snow lol. Just enough for a little bit to stick to the grass, not much though. Down to a very light flurry now April snow is ALWAYS welcome, esp. the big PHATTY flakes! LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted 4 minutes ago Share Posted 4 minutes ago On 4/7/2026 at 7:18 AM, CoastalWx said: Actually, we snow now. Any "WE GRAUPEL" later in the day w/ the convective stuff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 4 minutes ago Share Posted 4 minutes ago Just now, vortex95 said: April snow is ALWAYS welcome, esp. the big PHATTY flakes! LOL. In the midwest it's known as 'Farmer's Gold' .... late nitrogen fixing for agrarian vitality and stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted 1 minute ago Share Posted 1 minute ago On 4/7/2026 at 7:47 AM, weatherwiz said: I think a strong EL Nino has some pretty high odds, you have some anomalously warm subsurface sea temperatures in the equatorial PAC and have already significantly weakened the easterlies with some impressive WWBs as of late. We shall see what happens though over the next 6-8 weeks but if the ongoing trends continue through these next 6-8 weeks I think we are definitely headed towards a strong EL Nino. We had the WWB in the WPAC and two strong TCs form in the SPAC w/ one currently developing in the NW PAC. A strong WWB like this is often a precursor for s sig El Nino. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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