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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season


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 The Gulf continues to have a low to moderate possibility for TCG next week per model consensus, including EPS/GEFS. This possibility has also been hinted at by the last few Euro Weekly runs for precip next week:

Yesterday’s EW for 6/1-7 precip:

IMG_0511.thumb.webp.483d2c35559adfb5eb18c177b656d28f.webp

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3 hours ago, GaWx said:

 The Gulf continues to have a low to moderate possibility for TCG next week per model consensus, including EPS/GEFS. This possibility has also been hinted at by the last few Euro Weekly runs for precip next week:

Yesterday’s EW for 6/1-7 precip:

IMG_0511.thumb.webp.483d2c35559adfb5eb18c177b656d28f.webp


Almost time for me to end my tropical hibernation lol.

At the very least the SE should get come much needed rain in the coming weeks. 

The operational GFS is doing its usual nonsense but the ensemble signal on the GEFS/EPS should raise an eyebrow. This is a good early season test for AI models like the GDM on whether it can accurately sniff out these marginal early season signals/false alarms. 

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