Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread

[Blizzard of 93]

Also, my annual general hibernation time on here is coming up when snow chances end.

I won’t be involved in the drought talks…

I might come on here to complain about high dew points…

Maybe check in during thunderstorm chances…

[Itstrainingtime]

13 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

I just tire quickly of endless drought talk like the sky is falling or something.

We will survive, promise…

Endless drought talk? What?

I haven't said a word in months. Literally.

 

[Blizzard of 93]

3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said:

Endless drought talk? What?

I haven't said a word in months. Literally.

 

I am just recalling previous recent Spring/Summer seasons when I’ve checked in on here. Not saying you, just the general discussion of the topic.

Again, I won’t get involved in those discussions anymore.

Also, I’m kind of rooting for generally dry  conditions the next few months with my daughters softball seasons beginning now. Rescheduling practices & games is a nightmare, lol!

[canderson]

Tracking season ends tonight unfortunately 

[Blizzard of 93]

5 minutes ago, canderson said:

Tracking season ends tonight unfortunately 

Yes, 0z models will be tougher for sure to stay up for with the time change, but if we get a legit threat in the short range, I’m sure that I’ll stay awake!

[Blizzard of 93]

The 5 day period from the 15th to the 20th is pretty good for mid March standards for the region on the EPS, GEFS & AI EPS.

[Mount Joy Snowman]

Low of 38 with .03” of rain. Back to Hershey in a bit. 

[Itstrainingtime]

10 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Low of 38 with .03” of rain. Back to Hershey in a bit. 

Heading there as well.

To the zoo.

[WmsptWx]

Just keep watching the sun icon go further and further away in the hourly forecast. 

[WmsptWx]

Delayed, but not denied: The Sun. 

[mitchnick]

1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

 

The 5 day period from the 15th to the 20th is pretty good for mid March standards for the region on the EPS, GEFS & AI EPS.

I was through your quaint little town yesterday. I got rear-ended in York last week with $11K+ in damages. At first the insurance company was going to pay to repair but more work was probably needed so they totalled it.  Not happy.

Anyway, near identical car to mine was for sale at a dealer in Selinsgrove, so I  went up there and got it. Accidents suck, but fortunately my wife and I weren't hurt because the jeep that hit us slid above the bumper and crinkled the body lessening the impact, but causing more damage. I gotta shlep up there next week to pick it up and pay. I'll wave as I come through. 

[canderson]

25 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

I was through your quaint little town yesterday. I got rear-ended in York last week with $11K+ in damages. At first the insurance company was going to pay to repair but more work was probably needed so they totalled it.  Not happy.

Anyway, near identical car to mine was for sale at a dealer in Selinsgrove, so I  went up there and got it. Accidents suck, but fortunately my wife and I weren't hurt because the jeep that hit us slid above the bumper and crinkled the body lessening the impact, but causing more damage. I gotta shlep up there next week to pick it up and pay. I'll wave as I come through. 

That sucks. Glad you’re all OK. 

[Blizzard of 93]

32 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

I was through your quaint little town yesterday. I got rear-ended in York last week with $11K+ in damages. At first the insurance company was going to pay to repair but more work was probably needed so they totalled it.  Not happy.

Anyway, near identical car to mine was for sale at a dealer in Selinsgrove, so I  went up there and got it. Accidents suck, but fortunately my wife and I weren't hurt because the jeep that hit us slid above the bumper and crinkled the body lessening the impact, but causing more damage. I gotta shlep up there next week to pick it up and pay. I'll wave as I come through. 

Sorry to hear about your accident.
Wave on your way through Marysville! Happy to hear that you & your wife are ok.

[mahantango#1]

25

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

125 PM EST SAT MAR 7 2026

 

TORNADO WATCH 25 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EST FOR THE

 FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

 

PAC003-005-007-019-021-023-031-033-039-047-049-051-053-059-063-

065-073-083-085-105-111-121-123-125-129-080100-

/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0025.260307T1825Z-260308T0100Z/

 

PA

. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

 

ALLEGHENY ARMSTRONG BEAVER

BUTLER CAMBRIA CAMERON

CLARION CLEARFIELD CRAWFORD

ELK ERIE FAYETTE

FOREST GREENE INDIANA

JEFFERSON LAWRENCE MCKEAN

MERCER POTTER SOMERSET

VENANGO WARREN WASHINGTON

WESTMORELAND

$$

[mitchnick]

Euro lost the threat, but it's AI cousin has it.

[Blizzard of 93]

5 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Euro lost the threat, but it's AI cousin has it.

Yes, I would sign for the 12z AI.

A nice & simple moderate wave with a good non complicated slug of precip this run.

 

 

[Blizzard of 93]

3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Yes, I would sign for the 12z AI.

A nice & simple moderate wave with a good non complicated slug of precip this run.

 

 

Timing would be decent with a good chunk of the precip coming overnight through the morning.

[MAG5035]

Busted back out of the overcast/drizzle this afternoon and well into the 60s again today (as high ans 65ºF) after it had moved back in after dark last night.

The severe setup definitely escalated quickly in western PA, with temps reaching near 80 with dewpoints near 60. Decent shear/wind parameters and at least some CAPE (500-1000) along with some discrete cell formation. That will definitely need monitored over there. Obviously will remain much more stable in eastern PA at the low levels with the overcast and cool air damming but might still be some rumbles of thunder with anything that makes it over that way tonight. I do expect non-diurnal warming this evening in the spots that have been most locked in to the CAD as the approaching system/ SW flow will eventually mix some of the warmth down.