Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range

[Stormchaserchuck1]

1 hour ago, psuhoffman said:

Look at some of the -pna snowstorms in the 60s. It can happen. Especially if that 50/50 and Hudson high combo verify. But yea what could go wrong is more likely because snow is never the most likely outcome unless it’s that rare -NAO El Niño situation. 

I don't think it's broadbrushed like that. You keeping pointing out anomalies, I'm saying that the mean is X. I'm basing this on 73 years x 28 days, so 2,044 analogs:

So if our average high is mid 40s, that's upper 40s to near 50 on the mean. the average of 2,044 analogs. 

[Amped]

23 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

@mitchnick. FWIW all The ensembles think the bigger risk is an over amped miss to our NW 

There's like 10 members over Cape May.

[Stormchaserchuck1]

I mean, yeah, this doesn't look so bad. Much better than it did a few days ago. But sometimes when temps bust 5-10F warmer with an oncoming ridge, this trends less favorable in the next bit of time. 

[GreyHat]

5 hours ago, stormtracker said:

Sorry, it's dry according to greyhat

Thanks for thinking of me. But been screwed last time you all saw the digital snow. Turned out to be rain. I said earlier wait till Friday and I would believe it otherwise it's a nice rain event.