Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Looks like precip around .3" Thanks. Hard to tell how "heavy" the precip is in that image above, with those green shadings (and what they mean). On a related note, I believe the AI models typically are not the greatest for amounts, but are better for overall coverage. Something like that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 GfsAI is a lot of rain as the systems go to our NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreyHat Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: GfsAI is a lot of rain as the systems go to our NW. Agree, and the GFS has fool those before and sadly it will again, especially after posting snow maps with those amounts.I love snow just like anyone else, but climo and this time period. Need to be more realistic and if anything maybe the Euro AI is your goal post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 GFS trying , it’s there with a modest hit, but doesn’t climb, it stalls thru 156 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, Solution Man said: GFS trying You sound like my awful PBP. Anyway, it starts as rain but flips to some nice snowfall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, bncho said: You sound like my awful PBP. Anyway, it starts as rain but flips to some nice snowfall No one is that bad 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Low-end warning/high end advisory event on the GFS 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, bncho said: Low-end warning/high end advisory event on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Something to track for the weekend 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I'm going to crash out if we have to deal with another messy 5" while NYC and BOS get 20" of cold smoke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 The fact it has a system and that it stalls like the Icon is VERY encouraging to me. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: The fact it has a system and that it stalls like the Icon is VERY encouraging to me. My big fear is that we end up too far south for the redeveloping Miller B, but at this lead time, it's very encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 The GFS is a huge impact to the possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: The fact it has a system and that it stalls like the Icon is VERY encouraging to me. Two worst models. This has north trend feeling. Even a blind squirrel finds a nut know and then.. We will see 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 ICON is sexy AF. GFS sucks ass and still snows on us. I’m back in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 CMC puts all of that energy into the CAPE cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Geez....ENE doesn't lose on any of the models. Wonder what that's like. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 13 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Geez....ENE doesn't lose on any of the models. Wonder what that's like. Here’s what it’s like https://youtu.be/E07s5ZYygMg?si=JxP42Rz0bokRecsw 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 CMC says what storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 9 minutes ago, Shad said: CMC says what storm But has a similar storm at the end that is moderate had the run gone over 240hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Here is ukie, Gotta see temps first not sure where it goes from there. CMC has completely different spacing vs icon/gfs/ukie. Would like to see the euro/ai be in the good camp. PAC is likely to give models some issues next 2 days or so until the progression is settled on 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, Heisy said: Here is ukie, Gotta see temps first not sure where it goes from there. CMC has completely different spacing vs icon/gfs/ukie. Would like to see the euro/ai be in the good camp. PAC is likely to give models some issues next 2 days or so until the progression is settled on UKIE starts as rain but flips to mod-heavy snow as the low turns stronger 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, Heisy said: Here is ukie, Gotta see temps first not sure where it goes from there. CMC has completely different spacing vs icon/gfs/ukie. Would like to see the euro/ai be in the good camp. PAC is likely to give models some issues next 2 days or so until the progression is settled on Starts as rain but goes over to 7-10” southern Md into Pa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, TSSN+ said: Starts as rain but goes over to 7-10” southern Md into Pa 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 But has a similar storm at the end that is moderate had the run gone over 240hrs.The pac giving the models problems. Play gfs/icon vs cmc H5 and you can sort of see why they’re doing what they’re doing. I don’t like that the 6z euro is camp cmc, but hopefully that changes here soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Here's the SPIRE for reference... quite INSPIRING 3 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 GfsAI is a lot of rain as the systems go to our NW.Same thing it did last week and it was off by 1000miles 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Where’s Chuck? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 minutes ago, anotherman said: Where’s Chuck? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Is this the only thing you post here? lol 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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