Feb 4-5 significant SE snow threat

[eyewall]

1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

 

Yeppers, called it lol

A frozen puddle advisory.

[Orange county]

3 minutes ago, eyewall said:

A frozen puddle advisory.

So dangerous to school buses

lol

[NorthHillsWx]

3 minutes ago, eyewall said:

A frozen puddle advisory.

We’ve had 5 snow days and 2 delayed starts already at my kids school. I’m at 3.7” of snow/sleet for the year, so more snow days than inches of snow received. There will be no surprise if they cancel school, again, tomorrow. This is putting a lot of strain on my wife and I’s jobs 

[NorthHillsWx]

I still think there is a decent jackpot somewhere within the banding this evening, likely from the I-40 corridor to SE Virginia. Most hi res modeling shows this to some degree and I think there’s a chance it might be under modeled as it will be localized. Think most areas see flurries but accumulating snow will be limited to wherever the band/bands set up. Would not surprise me at all to see some 3” reports tomorrow morning anywhere in that area 

[olafminesaw]

32 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

I still think there is a decent jackpot somewhere within the banding this evening, likely from the I-40 corridor to SE Virginia. Most hi res modeling shows this to some degree and I think there’s a chance it might be under modeled as it will be localized. Think most areas see flurries but accumulating snow will be limited to wherever the band/bands set up. Would not surprise me at all to see some 3” reports tomorrow morning anywhere in that area 

N and West of 85 looking pretty dry. My gut is somewhere between Raleigh/Rocky Mount/Greenville will do well as well as the northern foothills. Hires models this morning have trended in that direction as well

[olafminesaw]

We are relying on lift from the WAA to wring moisture out after the frontal passage. Since our system remains weak, it only will produce light precip

[eyewall]

[ObiWanKarlNobi]

1 hour ago, Orange county said:

So dangerous to school buses

lol

Orange County schools haven't been in session since January 23rd.  This is their 8th snow day in a row.

[olafminesaw]

Wet bulb temp running 4 degrees below forecast at GSO

[SUNYGRAD]

I'm skeptical with amount of sunshine peeking thru and current temps for much in the way of snow----limited window for precip changeover.   I have jumped to 44 here near Winston Salem.   

[eyewall]

[PenguinLover]

Nam is bringing snowfall to the N GA mountains. LOL.

[wake4est]

This is all just a warm up for the big event on Valentine's Day. 

[NorthHillsWx]

7 minutes ago, wake4est said:

This is all just a warm up for the big event on Valentine's Day. 

GFS just went crazy for it

[NCSU_Pi]

16 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

GFS just went crazy for it

Happy birthday to me, I hope.

[Brasiluvsnow]

I am driving from NY to Charlotte tomorrow early AM ( leaving like 5am ) and I have done the trip many times but never when the threat of snow was looming can any of you guys or gals tell me IF I am in for trouble when I get to those mountains in NC or Virginia ( taking 81 to 77)  do they salt those Roads well during minor events such as these ----also I am hoping that IF any snow does fall that it is over by the time I get to that neck of the woods ?  Thanks in advance 

[olafminesaw]

55 minutes ago, wake4est said:

This is all just a warm up for the big event on Valentine's Day. 

We should have known. It can only snow on the weekend

[Jimbo!]

I am driving from NY to Charlotte tomorrow early AM ( leaving like 5am ) and I have done the trip many times but never when the threat of snow was looming can any of you guys or gals tell me IF I am in for trouble when I get to those mountains in NC or Virginia ( taking 81 to 77)  do they salt those Roads well during minor events such as these ?  Thanks in advance 

I’m down here in Danville off 86/29 and let me tell you, despite brining and sanding heavily while plowing we still have lots of ice covered residentials. Growing up in NJ, the plan here seems like brine and let it melt.


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[Brasiluvsnow]

1 minute ago, Jimbo! said:

I’m down here in Danville off 86/29 and let me tell you, despite brining and sanding heavily while plowing we still have lots of ice covered residentials. Growing up in NJ, the plan here seems like brine and let it melt.


.

Jimbo I get that as my family is outside of Charlotte but like I said I have been on 81 and 77 many times but it has never been anything but while its'raining so just wondering what I am in for,,,,,,,also hoping this is a total miss and not much if any snow  falls

[Jimbo!]

Jimbo I get that as my family is outside of Charlotte but like I said I have been on 81 and 77 many times but it has never been anything but while its'raining so just wondering what I am in for,,,,,,,also hoping this is a total miss and not much if any snow  falls

Last time we drove interstate in the snow was Jan 24. Can’t speak to 81 as we did 95/66, but after it was dark, those interstates were barren snow covered highways. Didn’t even see a plow in the 11 hours we drove.


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[Brasiluvsnow]

Just now, Jimbo! said:

Last time we drove interstate in the snow was Jan 24. Can’t speak to 81 as we did 95/66, but after it was dark, those interstates were barren snow covered highways. Didn’t even see a plow in the 11 hours we drove.


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Thanks brother 

[NorthHillsWx]

Brining roads across Raleigh right now. Gotta think the supply is running low 

[SEwakenosnowforu]

23 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Brining roads across Raleigh right now. Gotta think the supply is running low 

Why? before this year they did not have to use any for like 10 years! lol

[eyewall]

45 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Brining roads across Raleigh right now. Gotta think the supply is running low 

They do realize this is Wake County right? 

[SHTFWX]

This is all just a warm up for the big event on Valentine's Day. 

Wow first I’ve heard of this.. Any other info on what’s going on?


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[Blue Ridge]

48 minutes ago, eyewall said:

They do realize this is Wake County right? 

Much like the addition of lanes to 440, such capital and maintenance expenditures on our roadways do little to tame the natural behaviors of area wildlife (Nissan Altimas). 

[Blue Ridge]

11 minutes ago, SHTFWX said:

Wow first I’ve heard of this.. Any other info on what’s going on?


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A decent storm signal, but as of now still a 240 hr (well, slightly under) pipe dream. 

[wake4est]

22 minutes ago, SHTFWX said:

Wow first I’ve heard of this.. Any other info on what’s going on?


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A single run of the gfs showed an epic storm but was not supported by anything else.

[olafminesaw]

Hires models conceding to King Hires-RGEM and showing very little moisture East of 77

[CAD_Wedge_NC]

48 minutes ago, wake4est said:

A single run of the gfs showed an epic storm but was not supported by anything else.

It has some support now.... Euro AI made a huge step south and has a 2 to 3 inch snow mean across NC at day 9.