Ji Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 It’s 200 hours out. What kind of signal are you expecting? Purple! Like the Ai ensembles has been Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 hour ago, psuhoffman said: But what if a 20”er is texting you a booty call? I don't believe @stormtracker is texting him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Pull that snow 75 miles SE and it's a forum winner I'm fine exactly where it is, it's been a long 10 years. It's our turn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 11 minutes ago, Ji said: Purple! Like the Ai ensembles has been The AIFS eps has a known under dispersion issue. So when it’s good it can be very good. And then it flips to nothing a run later. Thats a flaw with its ens. Any well distributed ensemble system from 200 hours isn’t going to snow some super crazy signal because at that range there should be a lot of variance to the perturbations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 15 minutes ago, ravensrule said: I'm fine exactly where it is, it's been a long 10 years. It's our turn. Cool, you don't want more snow. And I'll surely remember that! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Cool, you don't want more snow. And I'll surely remember that!You ready to stormtrack one more for more this season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here Uh oh you just sent up the batsignal to @Stormchaserchuck1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 14 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here Yup, been posting about this for a couple days. Interesting period for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 3 hours ago, psuhoffman said: I just realized that was a 10-1 map. After looking at the kuchy I can push it to 60! “After looking at the kuchy I can push it to 60” @ravensrule that’s your music, bud. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 13 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said: “After looking at the kuchy I can push it to 60” @ravensrule that’s your music, bud. Even with my performance enhancing drugs i can’t get there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 GFS coming in stronger with the S/w for 14th so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just now, stormtracker said: GFS coming in stronger with the S/w for 14th so far Just gunna say. Not exactly like the Euro, but a big change from 12z that had nada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 lol, watch the GFS fuck this up and go south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: GFS coming in stronger with the S/w for 14th so far weaker 50/50 stronger wave probably means rain this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 First little wave shunted south, but the main s/w is still north west of us...let's see what this does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just now, psuhoffman said: weaker 50/50 stronger wave probably means rain this run So far, cold enough..but we both know what's gonna happen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Snowing 6z Sat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Never mind NS SW dives across the top and saves the day. What do I know. Horrific analysis. Randy so sorry. I’m out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 moderate to heavy snow 9z 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just now, psuhoffman said: Never mind NS SW dives across the top and saves the day. What do I know. Horrific analysis. Randy so sorry. I’m out. lol, stop. Getting it good so far 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Moderate snow at 12z Saturday 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Still moderate snow at 15z. This is a good ass run 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: lol, stop. Getting it good so far I also wasn’t accounting for the timing difference. I was seeing the 50/50 retreating sooner but not factoring the wave was coming faster this run. They evened out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Still going at 18z Sat. @NorthArlington101, you know what to do 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Lock this mfer up. Too bad it's the GFS 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: Never mind NS SW dives across the top and saves the day. What do I know. Horrific analysis. Randy so sorry. I’m out. I think you're fine, probably no need to apologize. Everyone here respects your analysis. Even if you're making less than $150K hahaha! You always appropriately correct or re-state things when required. Besides, at this time range those smaller details like NS shortwaves and such are going to move around every cycle. Key takeaway is there is a solid signal for us in that time period, seems like one or two waves in there that could work? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Prob like 6-8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 4 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Still going at 18z Sat. @bncho, you know what to do 10:1 is very similar to this btw 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Still moderate snow at 15z. This is a good ass run 6-10” DC to PA line 3-6” south of DC another 40 miles 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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