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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post


Weather Will
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11 minutes ago, Ji said:


Purple! Like the Ai ensembles has been

The AIFS eps has a known under dispersion issue. So when it’s good it can be very good. And then it flips to nothing a run later. Thats a flaw with its ens. Any well distributed ensemble system from 200 hours isn’t going to snow some super crazy signal because at that range there should be a lot of variance to the perturbations. 

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still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well

sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here 

IMG_3994.thumb.png.d4de970f2cb4ce4b66a1808de9a4b147.pngIMG_3996.thumb.png.293b302fd9a80fa2f05be5b6b22be561.png

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5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well

sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here 

IMG_3994.thumb.png.d4de970f2cb4ce4b66a1808de9a4b147.pngIMG_3996.thumb.png.293b302fd9a80fa2f05be5b6b22be561.png

Uh oh you just sent up the batsignal to  @Stormchaserchuck1

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14 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well

sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here 

IMG_3994.thumb.png.d4de970f2cb4ce4b66a1808de9a4b147.pngIMG_3996.thumb.png.293b302fd9a80fa2f05be5b6b22be561.png

Yup, been posting about this for a couple days. Interesting period for sure.

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