Jan 24 - 26 2026 Ice, sleet, and for a lucky few..... snow storm Observations Thread

[GBOVolz]

Where?

Halls, Hwy 33 at Emory Rd. N Knox Co


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[GBOVolz]

It looks like at H5 the kicker dropping in from Canada has kind of ended up sweeping everything, including the Baja wave, out north and east. All that spawns a gulf low, but nothing too wound up. Just a massive load of moisture overrunning and what the New England weenies call a southwest flow event. It doesn’t all ever really phase so much as it just keeps truckin. 

Does that change your thinking?


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[Tennessee Gal]

26 minutes ago, WishingForWarmWeather said:

16° (up from 14° earlier)

 heavy snow (up from moderate earlier)

 very fine snow (same all day no fat flakes)

 humidity 85% (up from 71% earlier)

 dew point 12 (up from 6° earlier)

 looking at a huge dry slot to the west over Arkansas confused about what’s going to happen bc nothing from here bc no models are in agreeance and I also feel like what’s happening isn’t what was modeled?

 My auto immunes are VERY unhappy and I am incredibly swollen. My today very veiny feet in which you can typically see each bone and numerous veins are wildly swollen and inflamed - looks like I blew up one of those gloves at the drs office, skin feels tight, hands are starting to feel the same. Anyone else in here have auto immunes and dealing with any weather induced side effects?

 

 Edited to add: forgot to mention snow amount - we’re up to 4.5 inches. 
edited to add again: we’re in Clarksville. 

My Ra has been horrible due to this storm, could’t use either hand yesterday due to to pain and swelling. Looks like the size of the storm has a lot to do with how bad I get. 
my sympathies to you, I know what you’re going through. I hope you feel better soon.

[John1122]

Temperature keeps falling. 

 

 

[Shocker0]

4 minutes ago, John1122 said:

Flake size staying around nickel at best but lots of them now. Very high ratio powder. 

About the best contrast I have is taking a photo towards a vehicle. Curious if the big flakes come right before sleet or not. 

 

Here they got big and went straight to freezing rain. But that still took maybe an hour.

[Holston_River_Rambler]

Just now, GBOVolz said:

Does that change your thinking?


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Not really. I was pretty well committed to about what I’ve seen so far. Light snow to sleet and now freezing rain. I guess it is just a waiting game to see how much accrues. 
 

I was just posting the radar pic in TX because of how convective the precip looked. Maybe an area that manages to hold on to lower temps longer gets some thunder ZR lol! 

[Weatheriscool]

We had about a half hour of sleet and now have switched to freezing rain; had hoped to make it to midnight or later before the change occurred, this could be bad.

[TellicoWx]

Went and took a nap, but save the modeled temp high. Never made it close. Topped out at 34.3, current 32.5 DP 23. Last couple runs of CAMs slowly increasing ice towards Madisonville, Sweetwater, with 20z RAP looking rough that way. 

[WishingForWarmWeather]

Out of nowhere it went from heavy fine snow to nearly nothing. 
 

looking at radar it is hard to believe there will be a “wave 2” - we’re definitely sure that this is a long term event lasting until Sunday? 
 

No one ever mentioned that we’d be without precipitation at all at any point where I’m located so I’m just a little confused honestly. 

[WishingForWarmWeather]

5 minutes ago, Tennessee Gal said:

My Ra has been horrible due to this storm, could’t use either hand yesterday due to to pain and swelling. Looks like the size of the storm has a lot to do with how bad I get. 
my sympathies to you, I know what you’re going through. I hope you feel better soon.

That’s exactly what I have. RA, and a few others but the RA is whooping my ASS right now. I have to be level or everything nearly immediately swells up big time. It’s still swollen flat but not as bad. 
 

I’m so sorry that you have any idea of what I’m going through let alone exactly. Prayers with you that this gets up outta here ASAP. 

[Hurricaneguy]

34 in Greeneville. Small flurries. Warm nose is embedded and not expected to report anything of significance 

[Carvers Gap]

3 minutes ago, WishingForWarmWeather said:

Out of nowhere it went from heavy fine snow to nearly nothing. 
 

looking at radar it is hard to believe there will be a “wave 2” - we’re definitely sure that this is a long term event lasting until Sunday? 
 

No one ever mentioned that we’d be without precipitation at all at any point where I’m located so I’m just a little confused honestly. 

What I looked at has generally been two waves.  The GFS has a constant stream of moisture on a few of its runs.  Most other models...There is the lead out wave, and then whatever forms in Texas.

[Weatheriscool]

3 minutes ago, WishingForWarmWeather said:

Out of nowhere it went from heavy fine snow to nearly nothing. 
 

looking at radar it is hard to believe there will be a “wave 2” - we’re definitely sure that this is a long term event lasting until Sunday? 
 

No one ever mentioned that we’d be without precipitation at all at any point where I’m located so I’m just a little confused honestly. 

Yea, all of that precip out in Texas and Oklahoma has yet to come through here

[Uncle Nasty]

Crazy. We went from forecast mix turning to rain with temps rising to mid-upper 30's today. Instead, we had a front end thump, now 7 hours of dry, minus a few minutes of sleet. Temp is only 29° here. Dry as a bone. I think when/if precip starts back, it will be frozen for maybe 1 hour. Warm nose is overhead, but can't push through the cold, dry air. Once the dome breaks, we'll have a lot of rain. Crazy we had precipitation and then went through Virginia after snow, sleet started.

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[Carvers Gap]

8 minutes ago, John1122 said:

Temperature keeps falling. 

 

 

Incredible.  8 degrees below guidance now?

[Holston_River_Rambler]

Up stream looks pretty good for areas east of Nashville for the rest of the evening. 

 

 

[tnweathernut]

4 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

What I looked at has generally been two waves.  The GFS has a constant stream of moisture on a few of its runs.  There is the lead out wave, and then whatever forms in Texas.

This is correct. Wave two should bring in a surge of warmth in the upper levels.  Surface in Clarksville will remain below freezing I'd think.

[John1122]

3 minutes ago, Carvers Gap said:

Incredible.  8 degrees below guidance now?

The 18z 3k had me at 27 at 4pm. 

The HRRR keeps adjusting down as it runs each hour. Two hours ago it had 4pm at 25. 

[Stovepipe]

Latest RAP has most of east TN surface temps going above freezing around midnight then climbing into the lower to mid 40s.

[Uncle Nasty]

16° (up from 14° earlier)
 heavy snow (up from moderate earlier)
 very fine snow (same all day no fat flakes)
 humidity 85% (up from 71% earlier)
 dew point 12 (up from 6° earlier)
 looking at a huge dry slot to the west over Arkansas confused about what’s going to happen bc nothing from here bc no models are in agreeance and I also feel like what’s happening isn’t what was modeled?
 My auto immunes are VERY unhappy and I am incredibly swollen. My today very veiny feet in which you can typically see each bone and numerous veins are wildly swollen and inflamed - looks like I blew up one of those gloves at the drs office, skin feels tight, hands are starting to feel the same. Anyone else in here have auto immunes and dealing with any weather induced side effects?
 
 Edited to add: forgot to mention snow amount - we’re up to 4.5 inches. 
edited to add again: we’re in Clarksville. 

Not being mean, but I think I would be seeing a doctor.

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[Scottie16]

Reflectivity shows cold air still being ushered in outta Kentucky. Not going to change much but worth noting.


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[John1122]

Very heavy snow falling now. Flake size has increased. Not sure if that's the turn signal or not. 

[Holston_River_Rambler]

HRRR sees the break out near Clarksville and points west, but seems to want to fill precip. back in quickly as the evening wears on. I'm not sure it will fill back in as quickly as the HRRR thinks, but I'm 100% sure there is more coming when the second slug of moisture back in TX starts to swing though around daybreak tomorrow. 

[Silas Lang]

Still at 29 here just northwest of downtown Knox. 

[Scottie16]

Holston and others. Check out the KOHX Reflect and share your thoughts? Watch the Sumerset area.


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[Holston_River_Rambler]

Usual downsloping suspects doing well:

 

[Knoxtron]

Can really see the midlevel warmth on the 4:04PM Eastern Skew-T RAP imagery

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=17&parm=pmsl&underlay=1&source=1#

[John1122]

It's what we call, ripping. 

[Holston_River_Rambler]

3 minutes ago, Scottie16 said:

Holston and others. Check out the KOHX Reflect and share your thoughts? Watch the Sumerset area.


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Honestly, it looks pretty typical to me. See if you can grab a screenshot of what you see on the below

[TellicoWx]

This is from the closest station to the state line on Skyway (station is next to Indian Boundary...if/when warm nose gets going, this station always picks it up first.