January 25-26 Winter Storm Potential

[beer]

2 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

A beer will do brother. 
 

to keep this weather related, icon is a massive hit. Probably a little mixing but still a foot + for almost everyone.

thanks,  beer wine vodka i need some shit !

[beer]

4 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

18z euro continues to slowwwly shave snowfall amounts near i95 and introduce more sleet and ice.

18z euro ai took an appreciable jog N.

Need the bleeding to stop soon. 

 

 

sleetzille is the worst frozen marbles

[The Iceman]

Gfs only out to 90 but it looks like it’s also going to be a massive hit. I don’t know that we even see mixing issues save for the coast? 

[MickeyTim6533]

hearing gfs south

[beer]

1 hour ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

The small tube in my Stratus got a crack at some point so need to replace that.  

And for completeness - the EC 18zs...

 

couldn't you just put some epoxy ?

[mattinpa]

4 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said:

hearing gfs south

It’s just not as amped as some but gets decent snow here. Looks like more Monday.

[The Iceman]

GFS is going to be drooling worthy. Long duration, snowing 24 hours at hour 102 and no signs of letting up. Can’t wait to see the clown maps.

[The Iceman]

Yeah it’s ok I guess(still snowing)

 

edit final totals below, that’s a beautiful run. Long duration MECS no mixing for most. Lock it in.

 

[ChescoWx]

[Ralph Wiggum]

4 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

Yeah it’s ok I guess(still snowing)

 

[RedSky]

The Canadian though 

[The Iceman]

Just now, RedSky said:

The Canadian though 

Still driving the primary further and further west. As long as the uk and euro don’t slide that way, it’s still ok. Even the cmc is still 6” thump followed by sleet and probably ending as snow. Far from a disappointment 

[RedSky]

Sleet apocalypse Canadian

[The Iceman]

Just now, RedSky said:

Sleet apocalypse Canadian

It’s way weaker with the high pressure and weakens it significantly more than the GFS that’s a big difference. 

[mattinpa]

2 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

It’s way weaker with the high pressure and weakens it significantly more than the GFS that’s a big difference. 

It can definitely overamp but the possibility of some sleet is real. Still should be a good front end regardless. 

[The Iceman]

 

1 minute ago, mattinpa said:

It can definitely overamp but the possibility of some sleet is real. Still should be a good front end regardless. 

If the CMC is the floor, sign me up. Still a 6-12” storm with significant sleet. Followed by the temps, it’ll be a glacier.

[The Iceman]

UKie also a solid hit 8-12”+ ending as light sleet.

[LVblizzard]

6 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

UKie also a solid hit 8-12”+ ending as light sleet.

I mentioned February 2014 earlier in this thread. The UKMET essentially repeats that. Huge front end thump, a period of a light wintry mix, then the CCB swinging through at the end. Would be a widespread foot plus for the area.

[bringmesnow1]

Great 0Z suite so far

GFS 12-18", didn't see p-type issues... liking the model with the ingested hurricane hunter data

UKMet 12-16"

Canadian has a lot of sleet; 6-10"

ICON 10-20"

Let's see what Dr. No has to say later.

 

[RedSky]

7 minutes ago, LVblizzard said:

I mentioned February 2014 earlier in this thread. The UKMET essentially repeats that. Huge front end thump, a period of a light wintry mix, then the CCB swinging through at the end. Would be a widespread foot plus for the area.

So much time to go could be a February 2007

[jrodd321]

26 minutes ago, The Iceman said:

UKie also a solid hit 8-12”+ ending as light sleet.

It’s a beauty Justin. 

[The Iceman]

Euro also 8-12” then ice. Looking good! Time for bed. First call coming in the morning

[RedSky]

Euro huge dryslot after initial thump which mitigates hours of junk

[CoolHandMike]

WSW hoisted. Woo!

[Duca892]

It is wild to me though how we swung from a legit concern about suppression to now mix making as far north as the LV with potential to make it even farther north lol. We still get thumped though 

[MickeyTim6533]

Hearing on the other forums, euro with a huge dry slot? thoughts?

[Newman]

All the caveats apply to the long range NAM, but it's got the sleet line up to the M/D line by 18z Sunday at hour 84 and quickly moving north. Much more significant CAD at 850 keeping things colder in that layer, but 700s above freezing. Still though, all of SE PA already has 0.7-0.9" QPF before any flip to sleet. Places further north would thump for much longer, the coastal transfer was occurring

[Newman]

11 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said:

Hearing on the other forums, euro with a huge dry slot? thoughts?

If the current evolution holds, there will definitely be a dry slot that quickly shuts off precip. Euro has it coming in almost immediately behind the initial thump.

[Duca892]

Feel like the soundings drops definitely influenced things last evening and the extremes have leveled out. It feels like 6-8in+ and slop for most of SEPA

[MickeyTim6533]

5 minutes ago, Duca892 said:

Feel like the soundings drops definitely influenced things last evening and the extremes have leveled out. It feels like 6-8in+ and slop for most of SEPA

yeah, starting to feel ike there is going to be a period of slop.