1/23/26-1/25/26 Winter Storm Thread

[fountainguy97]

Euro coming north as well

[Holston_River_Rambler]

1 minute ago, fountainguy97 said:

Euro coming north as well

18z Euro is disgusting. Brings rain into the lower plateau glacier load of ice

[Holston_River_Rambler]

Damn! It changes east TN over to rain:

[Hurricaneguy]

Euro just rained on everyones parade. Pun intended lol 

[Holston_River_Rambler]

Toasty 850s Sunday PM

[fountainguy97]

So either 18" of snow or a warm rain... got it lol

[Holston_River_Rambler]

850s run-to-run change:

[GBOVolz]

I’m not buying 850’s running as far north as central WVa.


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[John1122]

It's hard to fathom a world where the Euro folds to the Canadian.

[Math/Met]

4 minutes ago, fountainguy97 said:

So either 18" of snow or a warm rain... got it lol

When it lifts that far north, the 850mb winds not only brings the surge of warm air but probably a downslope component for our area. 

[John1122]

I take solace that the AI isn't remotely as warm as the Euro OP.

[Holston_River_Rambler]

Euro has an 850 lp circulation run from Arkansas to Lake Ontario:

[GBOVolz]

Something has had to throw the euro off for it to make that big of a jump


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[John1122]

1 minute ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

Euro has an 850 lp circulation run from Arkansas to Lake Ontario:

So the Lakes low strikes even this. 

[Reb]

Im going to reserve any judgement until that baja is sampled tomorrow.

[Tucker1027]

Nearly two inches of freezing rain then a cold rain….


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[Reb]

2 minutes ago, Tucker1027 said:

Nearly two inches of freezing rain then a cold rain….


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Verbatim this outcome is way better for us than all ZR

[GBOVolz]

Has the AI ran yet?


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[Holston_River_Rambler]

Just now, GBOVolz said:

Has the AI ran yet?


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Yeah. It was a tick north of 12z. 

[Tucker1027]

Verbatim this outcome is way better for us than all ZR

I agree but just wild


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[Mrwolf1972]

Nothing is etched in stone still 3 days away 

[1234snow]

Euro was a total phase right?

[Scottie16]

Euro has the Baja low blocking the cold shot we need from what I’m seeing.


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[GBOVolz]

Euro was a total phase right?

I was about to ask that. That’s the only way it cuts right?


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[Holston_River_Rambler]

1 minute ago, 1234snow said:

Euro was a total phase right?

Looks like it:

[Hurricaneguy]

If 00z euro looks like that then we are toast on the good snow scenario 

[Holston_River_Rambler]

Even the CMC didn't get the full phase:

[WintryMixmaster]

1 minute ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

Even the CMC didn't get the full phase:

Would really suck after all winter having such a northern stream dominated pattern that when we finally get the subtropical jet to cooperate, it causes our storm to phase and cut like that

[GBOVolz]

Will be interesting to see what the ensembles say


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[Mrwolf1972]

Same as main eruo 18z suks