DeltaPilot Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Ill take the NAM! Timing will be an issue, hoping for earlier start so maybe we can get some of it to stick. In the bullseye there S-SW of ATL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 3 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: NAM had BL temp issues for about everyone even those areas in that snow footprint. It was also earlier which does not help as it doesn’t give enough time for arctic air to bleed over mountains. It’s hour 70+ NAM so I wouldn’t look too deep into it but just another in a long line of growing thermal issues trending for everyone outside the mountains Really hope this doesn't fall apart 3 days out when yesterday things were looking pretty good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago NAM must of had a glitch issue around Hr 81. The precip dissappear but then came back lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Brick Tamland said: Really hope this doesn't fall apart 3 days out when yesterday things were looking pretty good. Oh don’t worry. It will. It always does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago The icon and rgem wont make many friends. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago RDPS shifted east slightly. West trend seems over for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said: The icon and rgem wont make many friends. RGEM tilts neutral too late and too far north so it's a late bloomer, best precip over VA by the time the cold air arrives. Axis of best dynamics over DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tony Sisk Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, CentralNC said: James Spann weighs in https://x.com/spann/status/2011784584837358010?s=20 I agree with this. Unfortunately, the formula for snow in the SouthEast just isn't there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 9 minutes ago, Tony Sisk said: I agree with this. Unfortunately, the formula for snow in the SouthEast just isn't there. I miss the days when it would just snow here and we didn’t need 5,731 things to go right for it to. GSP hasn’t seen an inch of snow now in 1,459 days. Yeesh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Yesterday the GFS had around 6 inches of snow here. So far today it looks like I'll be lucky to see any snow and have cold rain instead. GFS is running now. Let's see if it folds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, lilj4425 said: I miss the days when it would just snow here and we didn’t need 5,731 things to go right for it to. GSP hasn’t seen an inch of snow now in 1,459 days. Yeesh. This is literally insane. Every year we say it’s going to end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Flatter is the main trend seen so far. Makes sense given the progressive flow and has been the overall theme of the past few years. More times than not flatter, drier, and disorganized wins lately. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago To me this has been a slow bleed. Yes we had some great runs yesterday with the subpar models but thermals have been trending poorly for days. As others have noted, this isn’t a dynamic strong coastal low, so you’re not just going to wrap cold air in. It will be dynamic cooling we’re relying on and if you start at 38-40 at 10 am you’re in big trouble even if you get the precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=qpfhsd In other words the professionals who get paid for this don't have a clue either,let's just flip a coin then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS looks almost identical to 6z so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Maybe a tick west through HR 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said: GFS looks almost identical to 6z so far A bit south/more positive tilt through 69, seems to be a step towards the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS aint that good...I've got to quit leaning on the GFS so heavily even if it shows what I want it to. The Euro is still the king for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: Maybe a tick west through HR 60 No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Close your eyes foothills folks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS still looks the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Continues the trend towards late bloomer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 12z GFS is a good run for central and eastern NC/SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS is not budging with it being all snow for 99% of central and eastern NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS was a good run for RDU but foothills blanked. Thermals even under the heavy stuff are borderline. It went much more positively tilted early on and was a late bloomer. Really can’t fight the EURO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
neverSnowsLCSC Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Here’s to hoping for some token flakes at the back end at least. not looking like a repeat of last January for us near the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Still a decent hit for central and eastern NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now