BooneWX Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Guys I’m going to be really negative this week so I apologize in advance. Partly because im in ill believe it when I see it on the ground mode, but I’m also going to generate good mojo by telling Mother Nature she’s not capable of pulling it off. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago Underground forecast has updated since the 12z runs for MBY. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago My thinking is that we all should’ve known better than to fall for a handful of GFS/NAM runs but we did anyway. Outside of that I actually think today’s event was fairly well modeled. South/Central GA appeared to be the bullseye at a decent lead time and it proved true. That being said I’ll absolutely temper my expectations, but if the EuroAI/Euro/EPS are all in as we move forward then there ain’t gonna be no stopping my excitement lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago I think it’s interesting how cold chasing moisture has no shot to work in the foothills, but it can work out for a quick pasting for anywhere from Winston-Salem on eastward. This isn’t even a bittercast; it’s just a statement of fact. If the cold is not present when the moisture arrives, downsloping will accompany the incoming cold air and dry up any residual moisture that be present. Cold chasing moisture also works in the Midwest and plains because the downsloping doesn’t occur there either.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 18z GFS shows my concern. Suppression city. edit: ends up not TOO bad. But, still the main thing I’m concerned about 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted 55 minutes ago Share Posted 55 minutes ago 6 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said: 18z GFS shows my concern. Suppression city. What suppression 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXNewton Posted 46 minutes ago Share Posted 46 minutes ago 15 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said: 18z GFS shows my concern. Suppression city. edit: ends up not TOO bad. But, still the main thing I’m concerned about At this stage I'd say storm sign is there and let's focus on ensembles, these runs are definitely going to change North and south this far out, but signal looks great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 11 minutes ago Share Posted 11 minutes ago Good or bad runs, it doesn’t matter with this upcoming storm - the gfs can’t be valued in any depiction. It’s as useful as the hrrr at 48 hrs. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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