Met1985 Posted Saturday at 01:21 PM Share Posted Saturday at 01:21 PM 3 minutes ago, eyewall said: This is why I am visiting Vermont right now Jealous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Saturday at 01:59 PM Share Posted Saturday at 01:59 PM 41 minutes ago, eyewall said: This is why I am visiting Vermont right now How much did y’all get from the storm yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Saturday at 01:59 PM Share Posted Saturday at 01:59 PM Just now, NorthHillsWx said: How much did y’all get from the storm yesterday About 6-8 so right on the forecast on top of existing cover. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted Saturday at 02:56 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:56 PM Yikes, the NE is gonna get DUMPED on Sunday into Monday!!! Meanwhile here in GA went from 82 yesterday, down to low 20's this Monday. I am starting to think this could be our last 20's until next December. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted Saturday at 03:43 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:43 PM 1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said: How much did y’all get from the storm yesterday 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Saturday at 04:53 PM Share Posted Saturday at 04:53 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Saturday at 06:14 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:14 PM EURO has folded like a cheap lawn chair for tomorrow’s storm. Don’t think I’ve ever seen the euro fail this bad behind the GFS. MA to New England locked in on a legit blizzard. Going to be a hell of a storm from Philly to Boston what a winter NE is having 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornAgain13 Posted Saturday at 06:30 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:30 PM Been quite some time since the NE saw a Blizzard like this thats about to happen. Gonna be some SnowTV! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted Saturday at 06:31 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:31 PM 15 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said: EURO has folded like a cheap lawn chair for tomorrow’s storm. Don’t think I’ve ever seen the euro fail this bad behind the GFS. MA to New England locked in on a legit blizzard. Going to be a hell of a storm from Philly to Boston what a winter NE is having Yeah it did fold big time up there. Would love to be on the coast in New England getting a snowacaine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted Saturday at 06:46 PM Share Posted Saturday at 06:46 PM 14 minutes ago, Met1985 said: Yeah it did fold big time up there. Would love to be on the coast in New England getting a snowacaine. I’m going to enjoy watching coverage of this one it could be pretty epic even in the cities 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted yesterday at 12:44 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 12:44 AM I think March may have some tricks up its sleeve. I’m slowly getting reeled back in. PV is getting disrupted and a lot of the h5 maps aren’t too shabby at the tail end of the month/start of March. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted yesterday at 03:52 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:52 AM Anybody feel like these totals are exaggerated in many areas? Temps are marginal. Ratios?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted yesterday at 03:56 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:56 AM 5 minutes ago, SEwakenosnowforu said: Anybody feel like these totals are exaggerated in many areas? Temps are marginal. Ratios?? Are you looking at 10:1 totals or Kuchera totals? 10:1 are exaggerated where temps are marginal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEwakenosnowforu Posted yesterday at 04:02 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:02 AM 4 minutes ago, GaWx said: Are you looking at 10:1 totals or Kuchera totals? 10:1 are exaggerated where temps are marginal. That's what I mean. These snow totals in VA into South Jersey seem over the top. Even north of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted yesterday at 04:16 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:16 AM 15 minutes ago, SEwakenosnowforu said: That's what I mean. These snow totals in VA into South Jersey seem over the top. Even north of there. They’re crazy high, but this is a crazy strong storm (sub 975 mb) with a lowest at 500 mb of sub 520 and tons of moisture. I mean this is a once in 10+ years kind of deal with crazy heavy snowfall rates that can easily accumulate well on nonpaved surfaces even with temps up to 34-35. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted yesterday at 04:54 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:54 AM I actually don’t think they are- this is a crazy strong storm and rates are going to be unlike anything east coast has seen in a long time. Warmer also means more moisture available and seeing the dynamics at play someone’s getting buried. That being said, if you’re outside the areas of max lift (DC area) I could see a white rain event. Praying on the IVT is like playing lottery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KrummWx Posted yesterday at 02:57 PM Share Posted yesterday at 02:57 PM 11 hours ago, SEwakenosnowforu said: Anybody feel like these totals are exaggerated in many areas? Temps are marginal. Ratios?? Might be,but its not exactly impossible in this region. In Feb 2010 PHL saw 28" and then another like 12" a week later. December 2009 also saw a solid 18". That being said, it started off as a fair amount of rain here in Manhattan...on and off snow now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted yesterday at 03:23 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 03:23 PM This storm is going to be fun to watch even if we’re not involved. It’s been a hell of a year for the east coast. Not everyone has scored but collectively the best winter in a long time. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Pretty cool from the NYC forum NWS AFD. Fun reading the MA and NY forums right now. While the latest 12z GFS is now lower with QPF and more in line with the Canadian and ECMWF, these global models are struggling with banding. Current forecast QPF and Snow Amounts remained similar to previous forecast which is more in line with hi res/HREF guidance. Snow amount was derived using similar snow ratios to the previous forecast. Much of the guidance including the NBM appears to be too high. This was mannualy adjusted down to 10:1 or even a bit lower today, then increasing to 12-14:1 by late tonight into daybreak Monday as colder air wraps around the system. Using these ratios with generally 1.25 to 1.50 inches of QPF across the interior and 1.75 to 2.00 inches along the coast resulted in a swath of about 20 to 24 inches of snow for NYC and Long Island and 16 to 20 inches elsewhere. While this is the expected amount, a few isolated readings of 30 inches are possible in the heaviest banding, mainly along the coast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago 967 MB bomb off the Jersey shore tomorrow. One of the Mets said that’s a cat 2 in hurricane season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Hartford CT is getting the Wake County treatment this morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Insane radar for Eastern Mass this morning 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Watching Jim Cantore in Plymouth and will be late for work. It’s insane!. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 11 minutes ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said: Watching Jim Cantore in Plymouth and will be late for work. It’s insane! . New England is having an absolutely epic winter. This will be their second historic storm of the season and they’ve had almost non stop minor to moderate events. Looking at models, they aren’t even close to done either. Some places probably go 200% of seasonal snowfall by the end of winter especially when this current storm winds up. Seems like a large swath of 20+” is a guarantee and looking at radar I think isolated 30” totals are almost a lock too. What a storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 32 degrees and getting caked at Plymouth . Low at sub 970 I think. Guy is on a plow being interviewed without any hat or headgear. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 11 minutes ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said: 32 degrees and getting caked at Plymouth . Low at sub 970 I think. Guy is on a plow being interviewed without any hat or headgear. . It was hard to turn off the tv and go to work this morning. Those live reports with 100 foot visibility and 20” otg are insanely rare, not to mention cantore got TS live on air, again. High end stuff 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago NYC is going to be over 50" with a real shot at over 60" by the end of the month looking at the GFS. Not sure what the Euro shows as I no longer waste my time looking at it ... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Leesville Wx Hawk Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago NYC is going to be over 50" with a real shot at over 60" by the end of the month looking at the GFS. Not sure what the Euro shows as I no longer waste my time looking at it ...Unreal that you are writing that and most of us believe it has credibility. It’s certainly plausible even if H5 not as ideal as it currently is.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Upstate Tiger Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 35 minutes ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said: Unreal that you are writing that and most of us believe it has credibility. It’s certainly plausible even if H5 not as ideal as it currently is. . Someone on the NYC forum posted this is there second 50" plus winter this decade and there were only 2 50" plus winters in the 70's. Kind of surprising for those of us who lived through those cold 70's winters. Of course I could argue that this winter IMBY with 11" from 2 events would be up there with the really good winters of the 70's and 80's in the upstate in terms of seasonal snowfall. A quick check of GSP snowfall records confirms this... The only difference would be below average temp. winters were more common and the winter storms impacted larger areas of the SE when they did occur. I still think there is opportunity for another SE winter storm before mid March. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just wow at snow totals in NE this morning. 26-30” totals showing up from eastern Long Island into rhode island with providence approaching its all time record. They still have hours to go! I think 35” is doable in places up there 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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