January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[winter_warlock]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

So far, looks like a bit of an improvement over 18z...still. not at the relevant panels yet tho.  I'd be careful about extrapolating.  But this doesn't seem bad so far

You got me drooling here Randy !!

[SnowenOutThere]

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

72 has a bigger area of precip in Texas...

So far I’m willing to say I think it’ll be better than 18z and possibly even than 12z at least with the first wave (ignoring potential spacing issues which may be worse to my eyes but I can’t tell)

[Ji]

This might be more west than 12z lol

[nj2va]

Nice moisture in the Gulf

[stormtracker]

Good snow over the area at 90...not heavy, but not light ass green either

[bncho]

I wanna say the jack will be DC, but I will await the money panels.

[NorthArlington101]

[TSSN+]

Yes!

 

[stormtracker]

Broad low pressure on SC coast

[Ji]

This is gonna be a monster

[WeatherGeek2025]

yuge gfs 

[bncho]

HOLY SHIT BABY

[Solution Man]

Let’s bring it home

[nj2va]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Wow

[stormtracker]

Yeah looking like a modest lil hit

[SnowenOutThere]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Was about to say it’s going to be good, the wave spacing is far better (though completely different than how 12z worked out for us with constructive interference) as it just holds the vorticity behind it back 

[stormtracker]

2 to 4 so far area wide

[Solution Man]

We have a consensus growing, winning right now

[ravensrule]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

This is gonna be a monster

 

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

yuge gfs 

 

1 minute ago, bncho said:

HOLY SHIT BABY

 

Just now, stormtracker said:

Yeah looking like a modest lil hit

Ummmmmmm. 

[NorthArlington101]

waiting for WxBell to catch up 

[stormtracker]

Could be a little more, but not much.  Starting to move north east just outside our benchmark

[stormtracker]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

waiting for WxBell to catch up 

Looks good..about what SV shows

[Solution Man]

Who has the map

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, ravensrule said:

 

 

 

Ummmmmmm. 

Pays to be conservative 'round here.  Trust me it was a huge hit, the beethoven shocked face would have come out

[Ji]

The phase got sloppy at the key point. Kept it from being really good

[ravensrule]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Pays to be conservative 'round here

Always does. By the PBP of everyone but you i thought it was at least 8-12”. 

[Ralph Wiggum]

Slower moving system. Noice.

[winter_warlock]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Pays to be conservative 'round here

Yup the more conservative we are the less we get disappointed!!   If that makes any sense 

[SnowenOutThere]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

waiting for WxBell to catch up 

I think this depiction (unlike 12z’s weirder progression) is a good reasonable hope for what we can get. Ofc, more shifts are possible but as of now I like this as a sort of high water benchmark until the Euro shows snow over us… if that happens it’s game on 

[nj2va]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

waiting for WxBell to catch up 

Awesome, poor @aldie 22, he may need to move for the 50th time