January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[clskinsfan]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

that 1040 high is doing lots of work

[stormtracker]

Still some light snow over the area at 240, but main shield looks like it's getting the heave ho from that high

[winter_warlock]

5 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Why is everything 8-10 fucking days out? Always.

It's like saying we will get it tomorrow,... But tomorrow never comes lol

[stormtracker]

But still a modest hit so far

[Ji]

Feb of 23. I had 8 inches last January brother. You live in a different world than me as far as snow goes. You really need to move west just another 30 miles. 

Zero chance you got 10 inches in Feb 23

[stormtracker]

Bob Chill special so far.  plenty cold enough from him and up to us.

[winter_warlock]

A modest hit is still the best hit I've had here in quite a while 

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

This is the Cape timeframe

My bad.

[ravensrule]

Just now, stormtracker said:

Bob Chill special so far

If only he still lived in Rockville. 

[stormtracker]

It's a cute storm tbh.  Looks like a broad 3 to 5

[winter_warlock]

Just now, ravensrule said:

If only he still lived in Rockville. 

Or in North Central Md 

[bncho]

GFS is a solid whack, might be a decent two part overrunning if that next part can hit us.

[clskinsfan]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

Zero chance you got 10 inches in Feb 23

Sorry. You are right. 22

[Solution Man]

15 hours of light snow then it picks up, let’s see what else it does

[winter_warlock]

Just now, stormtracker said:

It's a cute storm tbh.  Looks like a broad 3 to 5

I'd take that!

[Ralph Wiggum]

I dont think the system is done yet.

[stormtracker]

Well...back to day 10 as of tonight.  But not a chance anybody should be giving up on the first swirlie thingy.

[Blizzard of 93]

Just now, Ralph Wiggum said:

I dont think the system is done yet.

So much potential in this time frame…

[bncho]

Part 1 snow map down below. 3-6". Whether there is a part 2 TBD

[Ralph Wiggum]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

It's a cute storm tbh.  Looks like a broad 3 to 5

Its actually a simple way to score. No complicated phasing bs or ridge axis perfection etc. Wave riding along a boundary with overunning.

[Maestrobjwa]

1 minute ago, winter_warlock said:

Or in North Central Md 

Right? We C. Mder need our own support group I'm telling ya, lol

[stormtracker]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

GFS is a solid whack, might be a decent two part overrunning if that next part can hit us.

It's trying.  Carolina's getting it good so far

[Ji]

Sorry. You are right. 22

Try again

[stormtracker]

We get into part 2 around 270.  Light so far

[bncho]

southern va is getting pummeled

[Ralph Wiggum]

Main takeaway, winter tracking is resuming. Plenty of chances coming. Enjoy the mild weather next day and a half or so.

[Solution Man]

Part two inbound

[stormtracker]

Carolinas getting mauled

[Stormchaserchuck1]

I'm surprised it stays so cold. Maybe models will pick up on -NAO, since we've had 4 straight months with NAO of -0.65 or lower. Also a weak 50/50 low for the Day 10 storm

[stormtracker]

Firmly into part 2, altho the heaviest stays south...looks like it's about to scout out