Reb Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 8 minutes ago, Vol4Life said: Another 2 shifts like that and ETN is in business Man if I had a dollar for every time I said that the past 2 weeks I’d be living high on the hog! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Canadian is a big run from Cookeville and points east it looks like. It was really good with this last storm and the first turd in the punch bowl showing massive warm noses. Hopefully it's right here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago CMC looking good for ETN here we go again. Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago The Canadian is single digits to low 10s while snowing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, John1122 said: The Canadian is single digits to low 10s while snowing. The ratios would be amazing. 20:1 likely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago The Canadian wound the energy up over west Tennessee instead of East/Middle Tennessee and that was the response. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Just now, John1122 said: The Canadian wound the energy up over west Tennessee instead of East/Middle Tennessee and that was the response. I will say, this has a huge boom or bust potential. I’ll gladly swing at this one and potentially miss vs what he had with the ice etc 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matthew70 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago If Euro AI says we have a chance then I will place my bets. We have cold & it looks like it’s here to stay. Waiting patiently for our chance in middle that does not include ice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintryMixmaster Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, John1122 said: The Canadian wound the energy up over west Tennessee instead of East/Middle Tennessee and that was the response. Weird how it pulled west from 12z but also went out to sea faster and ended up much worse for PA, NJ, and NY. I thought for sure it was going to crawl up the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GFS joined the others somewhat on the general placement of the 850 vort (circled in blue)...lift=somewhat of a check. DGZ near the ground=check (mountains aiding in the lift). 850 saturated and trapped in valley=check. Any minor change in that 850 vort placement will light fuse so to speak for the GFS (was really close). Now just hold those ingredients for next 4 days lol. The approach of the center of the lobe of cold air alot will also help enhance the lift by squeezing everything out. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 5 minutes ago, John1122 said: The Canadian wound the energy up over west Tennessee instead of East/Middle Tennessee and that was the response. Do you think there’s more room for that low pressure to hug the coast a little more or come just inland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Take where the 850 vort is placed on the GFS and overlay that onto the CMC snowfall map...you can see the where the forcing is breaking out the snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reb Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 6 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: GFS joined the others somewhat on the general placement of the 850 vort (circled in blue)...lift=somewhat of a check. DGZ near the ground=check (mountains aiding in the lift). 850 saturated and trapped in valley=check. Any minor change in that 850 vort placement will light fuse so to speak for the GFS (was really close). Now just hold those ingredients for next 4 days lol. The approach of the center of the lobe of cold air alot will also help enhance the lift by squeezing everything out. This is some good stuff here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago We saw the effect of trapped moisture with just enough lift last night and this morning..now place that DGZ near the surface and instead of mist you get nickles and dimes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago UKIE was a major westward shift too. Only helps the far east but it was about like the GFS. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vol4Life Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago GEFS mean looks better at 00Z compared to 18Z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Math/Met Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 3 minutes ago, TellicoWx said: We saw the effect of trapped moisture with just enough lift last night and this morning..now place that DGZ near the surface and instead of mist you get nickles and dimes There are several things I like I about this setup for us. I don't think we need the perfect track to see a good snow with this. We just don't want it to be too far east. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TellicoWx Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Math/Met said: There are several things I like I about this setup for us. I don't think we need the perfect track to see a good snow with this. We just don't want it to be too far east. I agree..vort is 50-100 miles east of where CMC has it most the eastern Valley loses the lift needed. The surface low off the coast only offers maybe some better moisture transport to the 850. Think we are 100% dependent on the 850...surface LP is just too far off (unless the whole setup can go negative tilt and phase together sooner) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted 43 minutes ago Author Share Posted 43 minutes ago Euro Ai is blah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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